25 F. average high on January 30 (up 2 degrees since mid-month).
27 F. high on January 30, 2015.
2" snow left on the ground at KMSP.
January 31, 1893: The temperature drops 40 degrees in five hours during a blizzard at Park Rapids.
Midwinter Doldrums. Snowy Possibilities Tuesday
"There is a privacy about winter which no other season gives you. Only in winter can you have longer, quiet stretches when you can savor belonging to yourself" wrote Ruth Stout.
Breaking an ankle has forced me to slow down, something I'm not terribly good at. It's left more time for reading, reflection and recharging the battery. Believe it or not meteorologists savor spells of quiet weather, because we know it can't last.
Tuesday's potential snowfall is still an enigma wrapped in a riddle. A consensus of models keep the heaviest snow bands south/east of MSP. We could still see a few inches; it may even be plowable. But don't trust any forecast down to the inch this far out. The science just isn't there.
What's not in doubt is an inevitable cooling trend. We chill into the teens and 20s by late week. A quick thaw Superbowl Sunday gives way to a reinforcing shot of fresh air; a few more subzero nights may be 10 days away. But it can't stay as cold - for as long - in February, thanks to a higher sun angle.
NOAA's CFS climate model predicts a milder than average February, and a much warmer March.
Photo credit: xcelenergy.com.
Graphic credit above: Ritchie King and Ella Koeze
Photo credit: New York Times.
TODAY: Overcast, still mild. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 35
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy, temperatures still above average. Low: 24
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy, good travel weather. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 29
TUESDAY: Potential for a few inches of snow PM hours. Winds: NE 10-20. Wake-up: 23. High: 26
WEDNESDAY: Flurries taper, some PM sun. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 15. High: 18
THURSDAY: Weak clipper, few flurries possible. Winds: SW 5-10. Wake-up: 12. High: near 20
FRIDAY: Sunny start, light snow arrives late? Winds: SE 8-13. Wake-up: 16. High: 23
SATURDAY: Flurries taper, cold wind. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 14. High: 19
Photo credit above: "Cloud cover shrouds the ice cap near Kangerlussuaq in western Greenland." (Nikolaj F. Rasmussen via Flickr).