25 F. average high on January 31.
28 F. high on January 31, 2015.
+ 1.5 F. January temperatures are running 1.5 degrees warmer than average at MSP, as of January 30.
1" snow left on the ground at KMSP.
February 1, 1931: A 'heat wave' develops across southern Minnesota. St. Peter hits 60.
Brushed by a Blizzard - The Politics of Snow
TV talking heads babbling about politics almost make the meteorologists look good. No hedging, place your bets! Iowa is under a Blizzard Watch but heaviest snows come tonight, well after the caucus votes.
There's some anecdotal evidence that rain and snow favors Republican candidates in general elections. Then again you can prove anything with statistics.
It's almost appropriate that Iowa will bear the brunt of the blizzard, with a foot of wind-whipped snow for Des Moines. The term "blizzard" was originally used to describe a volley of cannon and musket fire. In 1870 a creative editor at an Iowa newspaper borrowed the word to describe a severe winter storm, an extreme "volley of snow" and a new, enduring definition was born.
The heaviest snow bands set up over southeast Minnesota but a period of (light) accumulating snow is still possible in the metro Tuesday, especially southern and eastern suburbs. The PM hours tomorrow may still be a slushy mess.
Seasonably chilly air follows the storm but latest models aren't as cold as two weeks ago, in fact we may thaw out again by Sunday.
40s this past weekend? Felt good.
WINTER STORM TO IMPACT SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... A STRONG WINTER STORM IS FORECAST TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW AND STRONG WINDS TO A PORTION OF THE UPPER MIDWEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND TRAVEL IMPACTS IN FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THROUGH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. STRONG WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA MAY RESULT IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...A BLIZZARD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ST. JAMES THROUGH MANKATO TO OWATONNA. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST AREAS OF MINNESOTA...INCLUDING FARIBAULT AND RED WING AS WELL AS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...INCLUDING RIVER FALLS...MENOMONIE...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS AND EAU CLAIRE.
Graphic credit above: Ritchie King and Ella Koeze
TODAY: Some sun, no problems. Winds: W 3-8. High: 34
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, still dry. Low: 23
TUESDAY: Snow develops by afternoon, becoming windy. An inch or two of accumulation possible, more southeast metro - difficult travel southern and southeastern MN and southwest WI. Winds: NE 15-25. High: 27
WEDNESDAY: Flurries taper, partial clearing as winds diminish. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 13. High: 19
THURSDAY: Flurries, still cooler than average. Wake-up: 10. High: 23
FRIDAY: Another clipper, snowy coating? Wake-up: 13. High: 25
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, storm-free. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: 9. High: 22
SUNDAY: Sunny peeks, risk of a thaw. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 19. High: 33
- Averaged over the five-year period 2016-2020, forecast patterns suggest enhanced warming over land, and at high northern latitudes. There is some indication of continued cool conditions in the Southern Ocean, and of relatively cool conditions in the North Atlantic sub-polar gyre. The latter is potentially important for climate impacts over Europe, America and Africa.
- During the five-year period 2016-2020, global average temperature is expected to remain high and is likely to be between 0.28°C and 0.77°C above the long-term (1981-2010) average. This compares with an anomaly of +0.44 ± 0.1 °C observed in 2015, currently the warmest year on record. These high global temperatures are consistent with continued high levels of greenhouse gases and big changes that are currently underway in the climate system and were highlighted in a recent Met Office research news article...
Photo credit above: "Cloud cover shrouds the ice cap near Kangerlussuaq in western Greenland." (Nikolaj F. Rasmussen via Flickr).