Oh, to be Normal Again
By Todd Nelson
Put a weather geek in front of a computer screen and you'll
get anything but normal. I'm surprised that my wife still puts up with
my nerdy antics, even she's getting a little sick of me talking about
how cold and snowy it has been this March.
Welcome to the Super bowl of weather. Other than hurricanes,
we get it all in the Midwest. From cold snaps and blizzards to heat
waves and tornadoes. Over the course of a year, it can get pretty wild
around here; last year, we went from a tornado in the Twin Cities on
November 10th to snow the next day!
The last winter storm that sailed south of us brought record
snow to St. Louis, MO on Sunday (2nd greatest 24-hour snowfall on record
with 12.4"); Springfield also had its snowiest day in recorded history
with 19" on Sunday.
The heavy snow along the Hwy I-70 over the last few days was a
response to the jet stream being well to our south, helping to keep
that cold air in place over us. Slowly, that colder air will retreat
back north allowing slightly warmer air to bubble north along with it.
Temps may actually get back to normal by the weekend! 50s may be
possible for some in S. MN! Oh, to be normal again.
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Todd's CONSERVATION MN Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 21. Winds: NNW 5-10
TUESDAY: Partly sunny, nagging chill. High: 34. Winds: NW 5.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, nothing rough. Low: 18.
WEDNESDAY: Plenty of sun. More drips. Midday sunburn in 45mins. High: 37
THURSDAY: Blue sky, still quiet. Wake-up: 21. High: near 40
FRIDAY: Fading sun, happy to see 40s. Wake-up: 26. High: 46
SATURDAY: Clouds increase, feels like March again. Brief rain shower possible. Wake-up: 32. High: 46
SUNDAY: Easter sprinkle or flurry early. Wake-up: 31. High: 45.
MONDAY: No Arctic plunges. Wake-up. 30. High: 45.
____________________________________________________________________
Can you believe that we're wrapping up the month of March and we're
still seeing more winter like weather? Good grief, when will it be over?
Thanks to Ruby for the pictures below out of Pittsylvania county, VA
where daffodils are in bloom and the bluebirds seems to be a bit
confused just as much as Mother Nature does.
Snowfall Analysis
The image below shows the snowfall analysis over the last few days.
Note the heavy snow swath along the Hwy I-70 corridor from Denver, CO
to Washington D.C. -- The heaviest snow blobs appear to be over parts
of Colorado and Central Illinois.
Happy Skiers and Snowboarders!
I think there are still several people that are happy about the
recent cold and snowy weather and that includes skiers and
snowboarders! I've heard of several locations across the nation that
aren't as busy right snow! Check out your local ski resort to see if
they're still open, good chance they are and they aren't that busy at
all! Thanks to Breckenridge Ski Resort Facebook Page for the picture
below.
Snow From Space
The National Weather Service out of Pueblo, CO posted the image
below on their Facebook Page. It's a satellite view of the snow across
eastern Colorado... Keep in mind that this view is from nearly
23,000miles high!
Colorado Snowfall Tallies
Here are some of the heaviest snowfall tallies that I could find from Colorado earlier this weekend.
Heavy Snow on Sunday...
Look at the wild totals on Sunday from Missouri to Illinois. How about that 12.4" remark from St. Louis, MO!
MORE Thundersnow!
According to my good friend out of Kansas City, MO, they had more
thundersnow over the weekend, which was the 3rd time this winter
season! Crazy to think that 2 Friday's ago, they were in the 80s and
over the weekend, they had some shoveling to do. Thanks to
@persimmonsmith for the picture below out of Lee's Summit, MO, which is
just southeast of Kansas City.
Thanks to@pitstickFarms for the interesting picture below out of
South Central Illinois. It appears the snow was pretty sticky as it
caked on the front of this vehicle!
Record Snow in St. Louis, MO
Not only was the 12.4" of snow on Sunday a record for March 24th,
but it was also the 2nd largest single day snow from them (Record:
12.8" on 2/26/1906)
See more St. Louis records HERE:
Record Snow in Springfield, MO
How about this stat; Springfield, MO had it's greatest 24-hour
snowfall in recorded history! The previous record was 15" set
2/28/1900. Interestingly, other than 2 of the 10 top tallies all have
occurred in either February or March!
Heavy Illinois Snow
Here are some of the top 5 Illinois snow tallies that I could find from the event.
Monday Morning Snow Burst
The same storm that plowed through the central part of the country
over the weekend also brought snow to parts of the Northeast earlier
Monday. Thanks to @dcairports for the picture below from the Dulles
International Airport.
Snow Hole in D.C.?
Prior to Monday's snow, Washington D.C. had only seen 1.7" of snow
this season and was nearly -13.5" below normal. Talk about a snow
drought!
Cherry Blossom Festival
Keep in mind that the Cherry Blossom Festival is still in progress. According to the National Mall and Memorial Parks Facebook Page, the cold weather slows the blooms, but the snow does not.
The festival runs through April 14th and the peak is expected around April 3rd-6th. See more from the
NationalCherryBlossomFestival.org HERE:
National Snow Cover
This looks like a scene more out of December or January, not mid to
late March doesn't it?! According to NOAA's NOHRSC, nearly 50% of the
nation was covered with snow on March 25th!
2012 Snow Cover
The snow cover one year ago looks quite a bit different. Thanks to a
record setting March 2012, there was very little snow left across the
nation last year.
Minnesota Snow Depth
There is still a lot of snow on the ground across parts of
Minnesota, Wisconsin and the U.P. of Michigan. The concern is still
that all this snow will melt rapidly over the coming weeks and major
flooding will be found along area rivers/stream/creeks. The National
Weather Service is still suggesting that Fargo, N.D can expect a "Top
5" flood this Spring. There is also a greater than 95% chance that
Major flooding will occur along the Red River Valley as it flows north
toward Canada.
Seasonal Snow From Normal
The image below shows how much above or below normal snowfall we are
from normal. After a very lackluster start to the winter season, many
spots have caught up to near normal are are above normal snowfall for
the season.
Sunday Severe Storms
Nasty storms rolled through parts of Florida on Sunday as well.
There were a number of damage reports across the state including some
around Bay Hill, FL where the Arnold Palmer Invitation Gold Tournament
was taking place. The 4th round of the tournament was suspended until
Monday...
Here's another damage picture thanks to @OrlandoInformer of damage at Universal Studios!
Low 2013 Tornado Count So Far...
2013, so far, has been fairly quiet in terms of tornadoes. According
to the Storm Prediction Center, the 2013 tornado count was 146
tornadoes, while the running average at this time of the year is around
216.
Chilly March Temps
It's no surprise that temperatures have been cool this March. There
are several locations in the eastern part of the country that are
running below average. As of March 24th, the Twin Cities was running
-6.5F below average. Temperatures on Tuesday are still expected to be
cooler than average for those in the eastern half of the country.
Near Normal Temps?
It appears that temperatures by the weekend/Easter will be back
close to normal for most locations across the country. How about that!
Oh to be normal again...
Arctic Oscillation
It's always interesting to look at the Arctic Oscillation, which
suggests whether or not the Lower 48 is colder/warmer than normal.
Typically, when the AO is below the horizontal black line, we generally
see colder/snowier than normal conditions. Look at how big the dip was
in the negative phase just after March 16th, which would help to
explain why we've been so cold lately. Note how the forecasts (red
lines) show near neutral conditions by the star of April with perhaps a
slight dip into the first few days... this would indicate that we'd
see some slight warming, back to near normal temps, then a slight
cool-down into the first few days of the month. We'll see what happens.
Thanks for checking in, have a great rest of your week!
Don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWNTV
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