SUNDAY: Lot's of clouds, turning cooler. Winds: NW 5. High: 15
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partial clearing, noticeably colder again. Low: -6
MONDAY: Blue sky, another cold swipe. High: 5 (feels like -15 to -20 at times)
TUESDAY: Sunny. No-drama commutes. Wake-up: -9. High: 8
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, a little better. Wake-up: 2. High: 22
THURSDAY: First thaw since January 3. Gray and mild. Wake-up: 12. High: 33
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, few complaints. Wake-up: 17. High: 33
SATURDAY: Clouds linger, few flurries. Wake-up: 15. High: 30
Snow Drought
Comedian
Carl Reiner finds snow to be an unnecessary freezing of water, but many
Minnesotans beg to differ. A reliable winter blanket of white is part
of our heritage, our identity. We tromp, ski, skate, slip, slide and
drill our way through these dark days by fixating on fresh moonscapes of
snow and ice.
"Up north this weekend, near Pelican, and amazed
how little snow we saw on the way up" a friend e-mailed. I called up the
latest snowcover map, surprised to see so little snow for so much of
central Minnesota. Subzero with brown ground from Brainerd and Wadena to
Morris. What gives?
The 18.6 inches of snow so far in the Twin
Cities this winter is almost 7 inches less than normal. An active
southerly branch of the jet stream, possibly pumped up by El Nino, is
whisking the wettest storms well south of Minnesota, keeping us in a No
man's land of dry, relatively quiet weather, with swings from subzero to
30s. No bitter blocking pattern setting up similar to last winter.
Expect
storm-free weather into next weekend as temperatures mellow. Highs
reach the 30s Thursday into at least the first few days of next week. By
January standards in Minnesota that's probably a warm front.
Where's The Snow?
A friend reminded me how little snow is on the ground across central
Minnesota, which got me looking up the data via NOAA NOHRSC. He's right,
less than an inch on the ground from St. Cloud to Brainerd westward to
Detroit Lakes, Fergus Falls and Morris. Good grief. There's enough snow
on the ground for snowmobiling and cross country skiing over far
northern Minnesota, with 2-5" across most of southern Minnesota.
60-Hour Snowfall Potential.
Latest NAM guidance from NOAA shows a streak of light snow spreading
across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes; lake effect dropping 1-2 feet of
new snow near Buffalo and Watertown, New York. Source: HAMweather.
Tracking Ice.
Our internal models show a good chance for icing conditions Little
Rock, Indianapolis and Dayton to Baltimore and Washington D.C. over the
next couple of days as moisture rides up and over a dome of numbing air
over the northern USA.
Thank You Very Much.
Weather is obviously cyclical (although last winter natural cycles gave
way to a long-term blocking pattern). After another cold surge early
next week European model guidance shows a Pacific breeze and a welcome
thaw from Thursday into Sunday. I don't see any significant snow through
the period, either. Fewer expletives for your commute next week. And
trust me, 30s will feel amazing.
Cooling Trend Last Week of January?
Upper level winds are forecast to swing around to the northwest by
Saturday evening, January 24, allowing a fresh surge of cold air to pour
south out of Canada. It's unclear whether this next shot will be as
cold as last week, but there's little doubt more subzero nights are
ahead.. Map: GrADS:COLA/IGES.
Cold Start To January.
Dr. Mark Seeley summarizes the whiplash going from a relatively balmy
December to an old-fashioned January; here's an excerpt from
WeatherTalk: "
After
a mild December (11th warmest since 1895 on a statewide basis), the
other shoe dropped over the first full week of January, with
temperatures averaging from 7 to 10 degrees F colder than average
through the first seven days of the month, somewhat analogous to the
start of January last year. Brimson (St Louis County) reported the
coldest temperature in the nation on January 4th with -28F and on
January 5th Togo (Itasca County) reported the coldest in the nation at
-29F..."
Cold Comfort: U.S. Weather in 2014 Not Too Hot, Disastrous.
Roughly the eastern half of the USA was cooler than average, in stark
contrast to record heat in the west, and what appears to be the warmest
year on record, worldwide. Here's a snippet from
Yahoo News: "...
The
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced Thursday that
the U.S. average temperature in 2014 was half a degree warmer than
normal and weather was less disastrous and drought-struck than previous
years. While 2014 was warmer than 2013 in the lower 48 states, it was
still only the 34th warmest on record. That contrasts with the
experience of the world as a whole. Globally, it will likely go down as
the warmest year on record..."
Planes Flew From New York To London At Near-Supersonic Speeds Due To Powerhouse Jet Stream.
The sharper the gradient in temperature at the surface the stronger
winds have to blow to keep the atmosphere in equilibrium. Here's an
excerpt from a story at
Mashable: "
A
jet stream roaring across the North Atlantic at more than 200 miles per
hour early Thursday morning nearly succeeded in bringing back
supersonic air travel for the New York to London route. Several flights
from New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport made the trip from
there to London's Heathrow Airport (from gate to gate) in about five
hours and 20 minutes.British Airways Flight 114,
a Boeing 777-200 jet, took off from JFK at 10:50 p.m. ET, and landed at
9:06 a.m. local time, taking just five hours 16 minutes to make a trip
that typically takes more than six hours..."
Image credit above: "
Visualization
of the jet stream on Jan. 8, 2015, showing a swath of 200 knot winds
blowing across the North Atlantic, affecting flights." Image:
http://earth.nullschool.net.
Almost 4,000 U.S. Schools Are Running on Solar. I had no idea the number was that high. This includes 21 schools in Minnesota and 147 schools across Wisconsin, according to
thesolarfoundation.org. Here's an excerpt from
sustainablebusiness.com: "...
Few
places benefit more from solar than our public schools, where the
energy savings can literally make the difference in being able to pay
teacher salaries and buy textbooks. The first study of solar at US
schools finds installations at 3,752 K-12 schools, reaching nearly 2.7
million students. The schools are saving a combined $77.8 million a year
on utility bills - an average of almost $21,000 a year per school..."
Photo credit above: "
Brighter
Future: A Study on Solar in U.S. Schools. The Bolles School in
Jacksonville, Florida has a 15 million BTU/day solar pool heating
installation." Photo: Solar Source.
In A World of Phones Gadgets Must Adapt.
Remember stand-alone navigation systems, even "cameras"? Now many of us
rely on one device, our pocket computers (formerly known as "phones")
to do just about everything. From gadgets to apps,
The New York Times reports on the implications of this brave new tech landscape; here's a clip: "...
But
the travails of CES are a symptom of a larger transformation in tech.
The era dominated by consumer electronics — what most of us call gadgets
— is in turmoil. One reason is that many devices have been superseded
by a single, all-powerful tool: the smartphone. Today, just about
everything that once required a small, dedicated electronic device —
from cameras to portable game consoles to GPS navigators to music
players to too many others to name — works better as an app on a phone..."
Has Technology Killed The Jewelry Industry?
Millenials seems to have more of a taste for gadgets, connections and
experiences than colorful rocks, it seems. Here's an excerpt from
Pacific Standard: "...
But as Golden Gate University psychology professor Kit Yarrow told Jeweler’s Circular Keystone,
millennials have a different idea of success. “The psychology of this
generation is not that of a depression generation…. Status for this
generation isn’t about money—it’s about attention,” Yarrow explained.
“Previous generations got that Chanel handbag or 3 carat diamond to tell
the world they made it. This generation has already grown up in a time
of unprecedented prosperity…. Their expectations are much higher..."
Manila Would Like Just About Everyone To Wear Diapers For The Pope's Visit Next Week. Trust me, this is going to become a trend. Because getting up off the sofa is hard!
Quartz has the squishy details: "...
A
chronic shortage of portable toilets has prompted Francis Tolentino,
chairman of the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority, to resort
to extreme measures during Pope Francis’ visit to the Philippines next
week: Recommending adult diapers for traffic police and many of the millions of people expected to attend an open-air mass in the heavily Catholic country..."
Photo credit above: "A
Filipino man sells shirts with images of Pope Francis for 150 pesos
each ($3) outside a church in downtown Manila, Philippines, Sunday, Jan.
4, 2015. Pope Francis will visit this predominantly Catholic country on
Jan. 15-19." (AP Photo/Aaron Favila).
McCook County Pile-Up Leaves Road Covered in 500 Pounds of Fries. Yep, I'm 'lovin it! Chances are road crews were not, according to this article at
Argus Leader: "...
The
McCook County Emergency team spent Friday morning and early afternoon
finishing the removal of more than 500 pounds of McDonald’s fries off
Interstate 90 near Salem after a six-car pileup Thursday afternoon...."
Climate Stories...
Winter May Be Knocking On Your Window, But 2014 Was The Warmest On Record. Here's a clip from a story (and audio clip) at PRI,
Public Radio International: "...
You
have to look past the rapidly melting ice around both poles and on most
of the world's glaciers. You have to look past the rapidly warming
Arctic and rising sea levels. You have to look past the millions of data
points from every corner of the globe that have convinced virtually all
of the world's best climate scientists and major scientific
organizations that climate change is real, and happening now. But there
are still a few folks who do look past all this evidence and contend
that the earth is not warming. And the data most of them point to first
to support this argument are recent global average surface temperature
records...."
Image credit above: "
Glaciers around
the world are retreating as the climate warms. NASA tracked a retreat of
3 kilometers (2 miles) of Argentina's Upsala glacier, in Patagonia,
between 2001 and 2013. A new anaysis of global temperature data from the
Japan Meteorological Agency found that 2014 was the warmest year on
record." Credit: NASA.
Just 90 Companies Produced Two-Thirds of All Global Warming Emissions Ever. Billmoyers.com has the story; here's an excerpt: "...
Who
is to blame for climate change? Nearly two-thirds of all man-made
global warming emissions from 1751 – 2010 can be traced back to just 90
companies, according to a 2013 report in the journal Climatic Change.
And 30 percent of all emissions were produced just by the top 20. Of
the 90 companies, 50 are investor-owned (Chevron, Exxon, and BP are
among the worst offenders), 31 are state-owned companies and nine are
government industries..."
Republican-Led Group Launches Ballot Petition To Boost Solar Power in Florida.
The Tea Party backing a solar power initiative? Why not - this is about
having the freedom to resell power generated on your rooftop, courtesy
of the sun. Here's a clip from
The Tampa Bay Times: "...
Backers
of broader use of solar energy in Florida have quietly launched a
petition for the 2016 ballot that would allow those who generate
electricity from the sun to sell the power directly to other consumers.
If the measure passes, solar proponents argue that it would open up
Florida's solar energy market, which has largely stagnated for years.
The measure would allow business or property owners to produce up to 2
megawatts of solar power and then sell that power directly to others, such as tenants, without having to go through a utility..."
NASA Takes Climate Change Study To The Air.
Gizmag has the details; here's the intro: "
With
the goal of shedding more light on a number of Earth system processes
whose effect on our climate is incompletely understood, NASA will this
year launch five new airborne field campaigns. These studies will look
at long-range air pollution, warming ocean waters, melting Greenland
glaciers, greenhouse gas sources, fires in Africa and clouds over the
Atlantic, with the captured data to complement satellite- and
surface-based observations to help provide a better understanding of the
interconnected systems that affect our climate and how it is changing..."
Image credit above: "
The
DC-8 airborne laboratory is one of several NASA aircraft that will fly
in support the five new Earth Venture class missions to launch this year." (Photo: NASA).
17 U.S. Cities On Track For Hottest Year (2014).
MSN News has the story; here's an excerpt: "...
Perhaps
not surprisingly, the five states with record-setting cities - Arizona,
California, Nevada, Oregon and Washington - are all on track for one of
their 5 warmest years. Of those five states, California has 10 of the
17 hottest cities, in part because it's such a huge urban state, but
also because the heat there has been so extreme this year. As of
November, the state was running about 2 F. above its previous hottest
year, a surprisingly high margin in a world where temperature records
are usually set by tenths or hundredths of degrees..."
EPA Chief: Arguing Climate Change is "Kind of Nuts". Amen. Here's a clip from
azcentral.com: "...
McCarthy
said that while the vast majority of scientists agree that the climate
is changing, the scientific community doesn't always do a good enough
job of explaining those changes and their impact to the public. She said
it was important to make that point to the general public because the
cost of inaction was great. "Science is under attack like it has never
been before," McCarthy said. "Now is not the time for us to hide or to
begin to be more quiet. It's the time for us to embrace this challenge..." (Source: WMO).
Survey Finds Doctors Concerned About Impacts of Climate Change on Patient Health. Here's a snippet from a story at
Huffington Post that got my attention: "...
A survey of members of the American Thoracic Society,
which represents 15,000 physicians and other medical professionals who
work in the fields of respiratory disease, critical care and sleep
disorder, finds that the majority of respondents said they were already
seeing health effects in their patients that they believe are linked to
climate change. Seventy-seven percent said they have seen an increase in
chronic diseases related to air pollution, and 58 percent said they'd
seen increased allergic reactions from plants or mold. Fifty-seven
percent of participants said they'd also seen injuries related to severe
weather..."
Henry Cisneros: We're Hitting "Point of No Return" on Climate Change. NBC News has the interview; here's an excerpt: "...
We're
moving toward points of no return where the cumulative effect of the
damage becomes a spiral downward from which the systems cannot recover,
so issues like rising sea levels or exorbitant heating or historic level
droughts take on multiple dimensions beyond the initial and that's the
danger of trying to duck the conversation the way many are trying to do
today..." (Source: IPCC).
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