* Series of (significant) clippers this week. Snow develops today, lingers into much of Tuesday, 1-2" today, another 1-2" possible Tuesday, potential for a total of 2-4" by late Tuesday in the metro area, over 6" for parts of southwestern Minnesota.
* Second clipper arrives Friday with a few more inches, possibly enough to shovel/plow.
* Turning colder over the weekend, potential for subzero highs over much of Minnesota by Sunday.
* An even colder front brewing for the end of next week: 3-4 days of subzero highs in the metro, nighttime lows may dip to -25 F. between January 21-25. Up north temperatures may fall into the -40 range during that same period.
* Historically temperatures "bottom out" next next couple of weeks. With a rising sun angle temperatures should begin to trend upward again in late January and early February.
* Third snowiest winter on record, to date. Since November 29 MSP has experienced 30 days with at least a trace of snow (details below).
* Since November 29 we've had 30 days with at least a trace of snow in the Twin Cities. In the last decade only one winter (2005-2006 had more days with a trace or more of snow during a 40 day period).
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
MONDAY NIGHT: Light snow continues, still icy. Low: 19
January To Be The Coldest Since 1985. Where's Global Warming? I'm still amazed by the number of sane, rational people confusing weather with climate. Livescience tackles the topic in this article. An excerpt: "Climate change won't absolutely get rid of cold days, or even months, but we'll probably have fewer of them, and the ones that we do have will be less intense," said David Easterling, chief of the Scientific Services Division at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. "So what if it's unusually cold since, wow, 1985? That's not a big deal in the context of time. Next year may be really warm, but you can't just take one winter and say, 'where's global warming now?'"
Global Warming Is Real, We Ignore It At Own Peril. From an article at the Guardian: "Research on ice cores and lake sediments show that the climate system has suffered other abrupt fluctuations in the distant past. The climate appears to have "tipping points" that can send it into sharp lurches and rebounds. Although scientists are still analyzing what happened during those earlier events, it's clear that an overstressed world with 6.3 billion people is a risky place to be carrying out uncontrolled experiments with the climate. Julius Ningu, a director in the environment department in the office of Vice president said in an interview this week that the current warming trend is expected to cause extinctions. “Numerous plant and animal species, already weakened by pollution and loss of habitat, are not expected to survive the next 100 years. Human beings, while not threatened in this way, are likely to face mounting difficulties” said Ningu. He said recent severe storms, floods and droughts, for example, appear to show that computer models predicting more frequent "extreme weather events" are on target.“The average temperature of the earth's surface has risen by 0.74 degrees C since the late 1800s. It is expected to increase by another 1.8° C to 4° C by the year 2100 - a rapid and profound change according to environmentalist” he added."
The Catastrophe Of Climate Change Skepticism. Here's an excerpt from the Pacific Free Press: "Unlike in politics or painting, when it comes to climate change, the opinions of laypersons are not relevant. In the face of another diplomatic disappointment in Cancun’s climate change talks, we approach the end of the hottest year on record. While experts again try to ring alarm bells, our media still gives voice to the pseudo-intellectual pursuit of climate skepticism. Perhaps while Rome burned, some bravely questioned the finer qualities of fire. Perhaps on Easter Island, as the last trees fell, some elders courageously debated the necessity of wood. Today, our own Margaret Wente and Rex Murphy sing in tune with the likes of Glenn Beck, sincerely believing their skepticism to be a form of intellectual virtue. It is not.
German chancellor Angela Merkel calls the low-carbon economy the “third industrial revolution.” A new energy internet supplied by clean energy sources like biomass, wind solar, hydro, and geothermal is spread across the continent. There are new storage technologies like compressed air and low-friction flywheels. Large-scale efficiencies make economies more competitive. If Canada gets it right, we’ll sell this stuff to the rest of the world. The transition to a low-carbon economy brings huge economic opportunity, but it is not optional."