2.2" snowfall in March.
9" snow on the ground as of Tuesday evening.
39 F. high on Tuesday (2 degrees above average for March 8).
1-2" expected today in the metro area.
1-2" more snow possible Friday night and Saturday morning.
1-2" possible Sunday night.
40s possible next week in the Twin Cities, even a slight chance of seeing the first 50 F. of the year.
* What happened? Why did today's storm fizzle? Ultimately the storm we've been tracking for over a week took a track about 75-100 miles farther south and east than earlier projected, taking the heaviest snow bands across far southeastern MN and southwestern WI. A difference of even 50 miles in the track can make the difference between an inch or two, and half a foot of snow.
Snow Water Equivalent. This is the top weather story - not the 1-2" of slush expected to fall today. According to NOAA's National Snow Analysis, there is 3-6" of liquid water in the snow across most of southwestern and western Minnesota, with pockets of 6-10" amounts. That is more than I can remember seeing (at this time of year) going back at least 15 years. This, coupled with saturated soil, and the (growing) potential for a rapid warming trend - coupled with rain, may result in very rapid snow melt and runoff in the weeks ahead. April will be a very tough month for river flooding - I still believe it may be worse than 1997 for some towns on the Mississippi, Minnesota and Red Rivers. The latest flood forecast from the local NWS office is here.
More Nuisance Than Plowable. An inch or two is possible today, the brunt of the heaviest snow veering off well south and east of MSP (6" or more possible over northeastern Iowa and southwestern Wisconsin). The farther south and east you drive down Highway 61, the greater the odds of a few inches of slushy accumulation.
Dribs and Drabs. No mega-storms, just three separate (relatively minor) snow events, an inch or two today, another couple of slushy inches early Saturday, yet another chance of a minor snowfall late Sunday night and early Monday.
The top 10 states and their average well-being scores (out of a possible 100 points):
1. Hawaii: 71.0
2. Wyoming: 69.2
3. North Dakota: 68.4
4. Alaska: 68.3
5. Colorado: 68.0
6. Minnesota: 68.0 (really a tie for #5).
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Light snow tapers to flurries, little or no additional accumulation. Low: 22