50 F. average high for April 3.
66 F. high in Rochester on Sunday.
13 days since the Twin Cities has seen measurable snow, more than a trace. 4.1" fell on March 23.
4" snow fell on Grand Marais yesterday.
Wind Advisory in effect today from west central to south central MN for gusts to 40-45 mph.
55 F. predicted high in Minneapolis on Friday for the Twins Home Opener (less than a 20% chance of a shower).
.56" rain predicted for Thursday night and early Friday morning (GFS).
.70" rain predicted for next Sunday night (GFS).
Record Highs on Sunday:
88 F. St. Louis
90 F. Kansas City
...STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY... .A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE ADVISORY BEGINS IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AT 1 AM...AND THEN AT 4 AM FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM ON MONDAY...AND NOW INCLUDES AREAS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM AROUND ALEXANDRIA...TO WILLMAR...TO ST. PETER AND OWATONNA. THE ADVISORY ALSO INCLUDES THE INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDOR OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE LATE TONIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WILL ENVELOP WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THESE WILL EXPAND EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA DURING THE DAY MONDAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING IN SPEED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA... WISCONSIN...
ST CROIX RIVER AT STILLWATER AFFECTING WASHINGTON...PIERCE AND ST. CROIX COUNTIES. .THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON SATURATED GROUND FROM PREVIOUS AND ON GOING SNOW MELT...AND OR THE PRECIPITATION RECEIVED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND THE FORECAST SNOW MELT WHERE APPROPRIATE...AND THE FORECAST PRECIPITATION OUT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE EXTRA RUNOFF THAT WILL CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER AND FASTER THAN PREDICTED. (file photo of Stillwater).
Latest Trends. See the impending warming trend for yourself, courtesy of WeatherSpark. The European solution (met.no) is hinting at 60 by Saturday - the best window for rain Thursday night, again late Sunday into Monday.
Going Fast. A swath of 5-15" of snow remains on the ground from the Great Lakes into the northern half of Wisconsin, central and northern Minnesota and much of North Dakota. Click here for the latest, courtesy of NOAA's National Snow Analyses.
How To Talk To Your Children About Tsunamis. Granted, this is one of the few natural disasters Minnesotans don't have to worry about. The odds of encountering a major offshore quake and subsequent tsunami are minimal - but if questions arise about what happened in Japan you may want to consider sharing this video, geared to kids under 12 years of age.
Tsunami Facts. NOAA's Ocean Today has a video that delves into the science behind tsunamis. A few highlights: "It can be many miles long, from 1 to 100 feet high, traveling at 400 miles per hour. This ocean monster is known as a tsunami and it can wreak havoc on coastal populations and landscapes. A tsunami is a series of ocean waves caused by any large and sudden disturbance of the sea surface. Tsunamis can be generated by landslides, volcanic eruptions, or even meteorite impacts in the ocean. But they are most often caused by an earthquake where there's a sudden displacement of the ocean floor. When that happens, there's a transfer of energy from the seafloor to the ocean, causing waves on the surface to radiate outward in all directions. In deep waters, these waves may not even be detectable. But when the tsunami enters shallower waters, the wave speed slows and its height increases. The water along the coast may recede noticeably. A large wall of turbulent water, called a "bore," may also form. When the tsunami hits, it may come ashore like a fast rising flood and strike with devastating force. The series of waves may continue for hours. The first one may not be the last or the largest. For your safety, know the potential warning signs of an incoming tsunami: a strong earthquake that causes difficulty standing; a rapid rise or fall of the water along the coast; a load ocean roar."
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
The Truth, Still Inconvenient. A number of Republican friends (who still have respect for the scientific method) are scratching their heads over an apparent disregard for peer-reviewed climate science and a willingness to turn this issue into a political litmus test. You can't be a true Republican and believe that people, industry, and the release of trillions of tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere might actually be having an impact on long-term climate trends? 97.4% of peer-reviewed climate scientists believe that anthropogenic (man-made) climate change is real, yet many are unconvinced. Some can't get past Al Gore - others are stuck on "Climategate" and rumors of a global conspiracy to fudge the numbers. Don't call them deniers - they prefer to be called skeptics, or "the unconvinced." O.K. Minnesota's own Thomas Friedman at the New York Times tackles the subject in a Monday editorial: "So the joke begins like this: An economist, a lawyer and a professor of marketing walk into a room. What’s the punch line? They were three of the five “expert witnesses” Republicans called for last week’s Congressional hearing on climate science. But the joke actually ended up being on the Republicans, when one of the two actual scientists they invited to testify went off script. Prof. Richard Muller of Berkeley, a physicist who has gotten into the climate skeptic game, has been leading the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, an effort partially financed by none other than the Koch foundation. And climate deniers — who claim that researchers at NASA and other groups analyzing climate trends have massaged and distorted the data — had been hoping that the Berkeley project would conclude that global warming is a myth. Instead, however, Professor Muller reported that his group’s preliminary results find a global warming trend “very similar to that reported by the prior groups.” The deniers’ response was both predictable and revealing; more on that shortly. But first, let’s talk a bit more about that list of witnesses, which raised the same question I and others have had about a number of committee hearings held since the G.O.P. retook control of the House — namely, where do they find these people?"