95 F. predicted high today (more clouds and a few T-storms should keep it a few degrees cooler).
80 F: maximum dew point reported at MSP yesterday (2 am).
80 F. predicted dew point once again today, resulting in a heat index close to 110 by afternoon.
Severe storms possible later today, especially north/east of the Twin Cities.
96-100 F predicted high on Wednesday, possibly the hottest day of the hottest week of summer. No storms to cool things off (temporarily) tomorrow.
58 F dew point returns by Thursday afternoon, meaning lless than HALF as much water in the air as today.
* 25% of America is under some sort of heat warning, an area roughly the size of Mexico (CNN).
9.1" rain in the Twin Cities metro since June 1; that's 2.39" wetter than normal, just about 1" wetter than 2010 as of July 18.
* The Schwan's USA Cup youth soccer tournament in Blaine, Minn., suspended play for a time Sunday because of heat indexes that soared to 110 degrees. Tournament spokesman Barclay Kruse said organizers wanted to avoid any heat-related health issues before they developed.
* Oklahoma City temperatures have been 90 degrees or more for 47 straight days, topping a hundred nearly every day this month. With triple-digit heat possible through September, the city is on pace to break its record for such days (50, set in 1980).
* Heat advisories and warnings are in place in 17 states, from Texas to Michigan, as temperatures and humidity combine to make being outside uncomfortable for millions.
COUNCIL BLUFFS 124
ORANGE CITY 117
SIOUX CITY 116
DES MOINES 111
ST JAMES 111
SIOUX FALLS 115
VOLK/CAMP DOUGLAS 114
EAU CLAIRE 112
GREEN BAY 110
State Softball: 3 Umpires Leave Games In 95-Degree Heat. A story underscoring the suffocating heat in the Des Moines Register: "Fort Dodge, Ia. — Three umpires were removed from state softball tournament quarterfinals this afternoon after 95-degree temperatures produced heat-related problems for the men. The heat index rose to a high of 120 degrees during games at Rogers Sports Complex. Home-plate umpires Mark Peterson and Randy Morris both left their Class 1-A quarterfinals in the fourth inning.Cary Griffith was carted off the field after collapsing in the sixth inning. Peterson clung to the backstop fence, hunched over, trying to catch his breath during the Lynnville-Sully vs. North Sentral Kossuth/Armstrong-Ringsted game. He was replaced by Tony Sauer."
A "Few" Records. O.K. There have been 2813 records since Monday, July 11, mostly record warm daytime highs and nighttime lows. Green dots show record 24-hour rainfall reports, a few low-temperature records for California. Map courtesy of Ham Weather.
Outlook: Core Of Heatwave Shifts East. By Friday heat indices are forecast to be as high as 110-115+ from the eastern Carolinas to D.C. and Philadelphia - some (slight) relief for the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. Map courtesy of NOAA NCEP.
Tuesday Severe Threat. SPC is forecasting a few isolated severe storms from Duluth and the Twin Cities to Madison, Chicago, Louisivlle, eastward to Washington D.C. and Raleigh, a second area of strong/severe storms from Boise to Billings, Montana.
- located 65 miles NNW of Great Abaco Island.
- moving NE at 3 mph.
- min central pressure is 998 mb.
- max winds at 60 mph.
- expecting to turn NNE with a gradual increase in forward speed tonight and into Tuesday
- max winds will likely strengthen later tonight.
- Note: At least 1 named storm has formed during July in Atlantic basin 9 out of the last 11 years (since 2000).
- By the way, we have about a month to go before the meat of the hurricane season arrives. August 15 = Cape Verde season (typically).
Bret's Track. Almost all the models whisk Tropical Storm Bret into the Atlantic, very little risk of a direct strike along the east coast of the USA. Map courtesy of NHC and Ham Weather.
As Weather Becomes The Big Story, TV Forecasters Play The Hero. Yes, TV meteorologists have gotten a workout this year. 2010-2011 may go down in the record books as the 2 most severe years on record, nationwide. The New York Times has the story: "As the nation moves through a year of remarkable floods, drought and its deadliest tornado season in half a century, the broadcast meteorologist has emerged as an unlikely hero. Increasingly, the weather is becoming a bigger part of the national conversation. As scientists explore the implications of climate change and severe weather’s effect on everything from crops to urban infrastructure, broadcast meteorologists like Mr. Burns are the ones who bring it home every day in eye-popping computer graphics. “The weather is more extreme, the floods are wetter and the droughts are drier,” said Chris Vaccaro, a spokesman for the National Weather Service. “That’s going to have real implications on society, and it elevates the need for more information and a need for those on-air personalities. It’s beyond what to wear for the day or do I need to carry an umbrella.” Gone are the days when the local weather guy had to climb on a tricycle at the clown parade, and Diane Sawyer, who got her start delivering forecasts in Louisville, Ky., was called a weather bunny. Now, the forecaster is the egghead of the newsroom. Most have advanced degrees that include courses in calculus and atmospheric thermodynamics."
Blazing Sunshine. Yes, it was "hot enough for me". 98 in the Twin Cities, where the "urban heat island" added a few degrees to the air temperature, more asphalt and concrete heating up the metro area. Temperatures ranged from 75 at Grand Marais to 94 at St. Cloud and 96 at Redwood Falls.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
Global Warming, Ice Sheets and Sea Level Rise. Here's an interesting post (with some great resources for further research) from gcaptain.com: "Whales know that ~70% of the surface of the earth is covered in water. Penguins know that about 10%, or six million square miles is covered in ice. For now. Those values will change as the earth continues to warm and the ice sheets melt at an accelerated rate. There are three major repositories of ice left on the earth – the ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland, and various small mountain glaciers and ice caps. Between Greenland and Antarctica, they contain 99% of the fresh water on our planet. Just how much ice is sitting in Antarctica and Greenland? The answer is staggering. The volume of ice in Antarctica is around 30 million cubic kilometers (7.2 million cubic miles), spread over around 14 million square km, or an area about the same size as the United States and Mexico combined (5.4 million square miles). About 2.2 million cubic kilometers of this ice lies trapped in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (530,000 cubic miles). It is so massive that is has depressed the rocks on which it lies by around 0.5 to 1 km (Anderson, 1999). Up north, the Greenland ice sheet has a volume of ~2.9 million km3 (695,000 cubic miles)."
I was defeated by facts.
It wasn’t all that long ago when I joined others on the right in dismissing concerns about climate change. It was my firm belief that the science was unsettled, that any movement associated with Al Gore and Van Jones couldn’t possibly be trusted, that environmentalists were simply left-wing, anti-capitalist kooks. It wasn’t until after I read Stanford University professor Morris Fiorina’s book Disconnect (2009) that I started to reconsider things. Fiorina noted that while environmentalism is now considered the domain of the Democratic Party, for many years it was the GOP that was identified with conservationist concerns. I was curious as to how the political climate shifted with regard to environmentalism—and whether there was something to all this talk about climate change."