70 on Sunday? 1 in 3 chance that the mercury at MSP will hit 70 by mid afternoon Sunday.
+9.2 F. October temperatures in the Twin Cities are running more than 9 degrees warmer than average, to date.
Mild start to November? The GFS is hinting at one, possibly two 60-degree days during the first week of November at MSP.
Good Timing. The mercury inflates to near 60 again today, but readings may climb into the mid 60s Sunday, a few models take the mercury up to 70, with enough marginal instability for a few isolated T-showers. Thunder in late October? Rare, but hardly unprecedented.
Halloween Preview. A Canadian high should result in a mostly clear, cool Halloween from the Twin Cities to Milwaukee, Chicago, St. Louis and Denver. Rain is possible over the Pacific Northwest and parts of northern New England. No major storms are brewing between now and Halloween.
* Click here to read more about the Orionid Meteor Shower from spaceweather.com.
Friday Record Lows. Data courtesy of NOAA:
THE LOW TEMPERATURE YESTERDAY AT CHANUTE KS WAS 25. THIS TIED THE PREVIOUS RECORD SET IN 1989.
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 30 DEGREES WAS SET AT TULSA OKLAHOMA TODAY. THIS TIES THE PREVIOUS RECORD SET IN 1976.
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 25 DEGREES WAS SET AT FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 26...SET IN 1964.
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 19 DEGREES WAS SET AT PIERRE SD TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 23 SET IN 1987.
The Other Shoe Drops. Here's an excerpt from this week's edition of WeatherTalk from Mark Seeley: "After starting October with two weeks of unusual warmth, thermometers recorded below normal temperatures on many days this week, bringing another round of widespread frosts. On Thursday, October 20th some observers reported lows in the 20s F, including: 28 degrees F at Luverne, Tracy, Worthington, Grand Marais, Orr, Detroit Lakes, Fergus Falls, and Grand Rapids; 27 degrees F at Warroad and Hibbing; 26 degrees F at Embarrass; 25 degrees F at Marshall, Wheaton, Ortonville, Thief River Falls, Big Fork, Roseau, Wadena, Moorhead, and Aitkin; 23 degrees F at Staples and Crookston; 22 degrees F at Kelliher; 21 degrees F at Pine River, Mahnomen, and Fosston; 20 degrees F at Park Rapids; 19 degrees F at Hallock, Waskish, Morris, and Bemidji. The 19 degrees F was coldest in the contiguous 48 states on October 20th."
Tarpon Springs Hurricane - 90 Year Anniversary. The Tampa office of the NWS has an interesting recap of the major hurricane that struck 90 years ago - and what might happen if a similar hurricane struck the same region today. Click here for more details.
Storm Surge. The Tarpon Springs Hurricane of 1921 created a 10-11 foot storm surge over downtown Tampa.
Tarpon Hurricane Track. The late October 1921 hurricane scored a direct hit on the Tampa/St. Petersburg area, tapping warmth and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Map courtesy of the Tampa NWS.
Indian Summer Rerun. Not bad at all for late October. We're 59 days away from the Winter Solstice, and here we are, basking in the 60s, with a shot at 70 on Sunday. Under a perfect-blue sky Friday highs ranged from 50 at Grand Marais to 61 in the Twin Cities, 62 at St. Cloud and a balmy 69 at Redwood Falls.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota: