Tuesday, November 29, 2011

End of November

Todd's SCTIMES Outlook for St. Cloud and all of Central Minnesota:

WEDNESDAY: Sunny start, clouds increase. Light snow far northern MN late. High: near 41
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: A little light snow, could see a coating in the Twin Cities. 1" to 2" possible in central MN. Low: 28

THURSDAY: Light snow moves out by late morning. Breezy and bite to the air. High: 32

FRIDAY: Cold and quiet start. Lots of sun with a breezy south wind through the afternoon. Low: 15. High: 31

SATURDAY: Possible 'bigger' snow event developing 'somewhere' in the Upper Midwest. Best chance for a shovelable/plowable snowfall southeast of the Twin Cities. At this point, there's a chance of snow in the Minneapolis/St. Paul area with the best of 'heavier' snow setting up in Southeastern MN. Low: 19. High: 33

SUNDAY: Lingering light snow chances early, then another shot of light snow as another clipper drops south of the border by late afternoon/evening. Low: 18. High:27

MONDAY: Windy, feels like December! Few scattered light snow showers possible early. Low: 16. High: 25
TUESDAY: Lighter winds with a few passing clouds, but still cold. Low: 14. High: 25
More Snow In Arkansas Than in the Twin Cities
The picture below was relayed on Facebook by the National Weather Service in Little Rock, AR earlier Tuesday of snow falling in Corning, Arkansas in the Northeastern part of the state. It's interesting because some spots in the south have snow seen more snow than the Twin Cities since this latest storm in the south.
Southern Snowfall Reports
Typically, theses areas of the nation don't see their first snowfall accumulation until late December or early to mid January... With this latest snowfall event, this puts them about 1 to 1.5 months ahead of schedule!
Video of Snowfall From Dyer Tennessee
This is a weather video from Dyer, Tennessee of big fat flakes falling across the late fall landscape. You can actually still see green grass and flowers in bloom. Quiet a shock to the system for plants, animals and Homosapiens.
Twin Cities Snowfall So Far
This is a look at the Twin Cities snowfall so far this season, which is quite pitiful compared to last year. To date, we've officially only seen 3.0" at the MSP airport, which is 6.4" below normal. It also puts us 5.0" behind normal for the month, in which we average 10". Last year at this time we had already seen 9.3" and were well on our way to a white Christmas.
Next Best Chance of Snow
A fast moving clipper system will track through the Dakotas on Wednesday and deposit some snow across parts of Minnesota Wednesday night through early Thursday morning. The map below depicts the European model interpretation of snow moving through the Twin Cites after midnight early Thursday morning.
How Much Wednesday Night - Early Thursday Morning?
It doesn't appear to be much, but there could be a light coating across the Twin Cities (how fitting, since the first day of December is Thursday, which also coincides with the first day of Meteorological Winter). The best chance of a couple of inches exists through central Minnesota into northern Wisconsin.

Saturday Snow Chance
There is also a chance of snow on Saturday, perhaps a little more significant somewhere in the Upper Midwest. Longer range models diverge, but one brings it closer to home, the other sails it off to the south near Chicago, IL... Regardless, it bears watching 

ECMWF Output:
Brings it closer to the Twin Cities

GFS Solution
Tracks it farther southeast towards Madison,WI
  It could be a little more wintry around here by the first weekend of December... Stay tuned!
Meteorologist Todd Nelson

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