28 F. average high for December 12.
.65" rain predicted for tomorrow, possibly ending as a little slushy snow Wednesday night.
6-8" snow - what would have fallen on MSP had temperatures throughout the lowest mile of the atmosphere been 3-4 degrees colder.
56% of the USA experienced either extreme drought or excessive rainfall in 2011, a new national record.
22% is the national average for extreme drought/rainfall.
Thin Ice. Note to self: stay off the ice until further notice. It's nowhere close to being thick enough to support people, much less snowmobiles or vehicles. This shot was taken by WeatherNation meteorologist Bryan Karrick at Benton Lake in Cologne.
December Thunder? SPC is predicting a few general T-storms as close as Iowa, possible far southeastern Minnesota, late tonight into Wednesday morning. Yes, very odd for mid December.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH 900 AM TUESDAY MORNING. SOME CITIES INCLUDED IN THE ADVISORY ARE BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...NEW RICHMOND...CAMBRIDGE...EAST BETHEL...MILACA...ZIMMERMAN AND CLEARWATER. AREAS OF DENSE FOG CONTINUE TO EXPAND OVER PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. VISIBILITIES WERE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. THE DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND EAST AND SOUTH ALONG THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR AND INTERSTATE 35 NORTH FROM THE TWIN CITIES...CAMBRIDGE TO MORA. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF STOPPING DISTANCE BETWEEN THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU. SOME LIGHT COATING OF ICE MAY FORM ON ROAD SURFACES THAT ARE UNTREATED. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
Arizona Snow? Check out the photo from Strawberry, Arizona, about 100 miles northeast of Phoenix - altitude 6,000 feet. It's strange that parts of Arizona have more snow on the ground that Minnesota.
White Christmas? It's Going To Be Close. Last December we didn't have to worry - a grand total of 33.4" of snow fell during December of 2010. This year we're going to come right down to the wire - not sure we'll see the 1" of snow on the ground (or more) that defines a "white Christmas". The statistical odds of 1" or more of snow is 72% but 100% of Christmases are white over the Iron Range. The odds drop to 55-60% near Windom and Redwood Falls. More from the Chanhassen National Weather Service here.
Winter Outlook For 2011-2012. Here's an update from NOAA's CPC, the Climate Prediction Center: "CPC has updated its winter outlooks of the forecast for the months of December, January and February. And the winter outlook for this winter favors above average temperatures across much of the South, from New Mexico across the Southeast to the Atlantic coast… and also favors below average temperatures across much of the Northern plain, the Northern Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, and a good part of the West as well as the southern half of Alaska. With regards to precipitation, we see those areas most likely to experience below-average precipitation across the South– in particular Florida and Texas– with a better than even chance of being wetter than average across much of the North– particularly from the Ohio valley and the Northern Rockies and the Pacific Northwest. On a particular climate forecast map, what we show in terms of colors is the most likely forecast, or the most likely category, in a three-class system. At every location, though, there are three possible outcomes. If we look just at the precipitation forecast, precipitation can either be below average, near average, or above average."
Many Storms To Go. From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet: "The featured chart presents a climatology of winter season snow storms for Des Moines. For this chart, a snow storm is defined as having at least one day with measurable snowfall followed by at least one day without snow. The years with the maximum and minimum number of storms are shown as well. With only a few storms in the books this year, we have plenty more to go. "
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
TODAY: Cloudy and mild. Winds: SE 5-10. High: 39
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with drizzle or light rain late. A few icy bridges outside the metro late? Low: 32
A: It's unfortunate when politics gets in the way of serving the American people. The kind of climate services we provide is simply information so that people can plan. It's clear that that information is highly valued, and needed.
Q: Do you have any plans to reorganize the National Weather Service?
A: The National Weather Service plays a key role both in providing weather forecasts as well as disaster warnings. We will always continue to do better and better, and often times with less and less, and that's the direction we're headed, but I don't foresee any major restructuring.