* 63 F. low temperature Monday morning, smashing the old record (48 in 1910) by 15 degrees.
43 F. average high for March 19.
25 F. average low temperature for March 19. Hey, what's 30-40 degrees among friends?
50 F. high temperature one year ago, on March 19, 2011.
14 new daily records for the metro area since March 10.
+13.7 F. Temperatures for the first 18 days of March are running nearly 14 F. warmer than average. I still have a strong hunch this will wind up being the warmest March in modern-day history for the Twin Cities.
.58" rain fell at Twin Cities International Airport Monday evening.
3rd Earliest Ice-Out On Lake Minnetonka? It's not official, but I can find only 2 years with an earlier ice-out date: 2000 and 1878. More details from the Freshwater Society below.
"The seasons are what a symphony ough to be: four perfect movements in harmony with each other." - Arthur Rubenstein
The Records Keep Piling Up. We are rapidly losing track of reality. A normal high of 43 F; a normal low of 25 F? We passed normal a long time ago. I count 14 new daily temperature records for KMSP since March 10. More details from the Twin Cities National Weather Service.
Not Much Of A Cool Front. If skies brighten at all the next few days (likely) we should come close to 70. After cooling into the 60s Friday and Saturday we warm back up to near 70 Sunday, maybe mid to upper 70s again Sunday. Our unprecedented, historic warm weather treadmill shows no sign of slowing down. Graphic: Iowa State Meteorology Dept.
10 warmest years on record have occurred in the last 14 years. Source NASA. Details below.
Warmest Years Worldwide:
"I wrote a few weeks ago about how nice it is to have had a warm winter, and I’m not sad to see the flowers starting to bloom. But I’d also like the local ecosystem to survive intact over the next several decades, and it occurs to me that if winters become significantly warmer, the summers could, too — a pretty unpleasant prospect." - from a post at Climate Central below.
Mostly Minor Wind Damage Far South Metro. Here is a preliminary list of some of the wind damage reports, mostly Le Sueur county. More details from NOAA here.
Early Ice-Outs On Lake Minnetonka. I took the photo above at about 2 pm yesterday at Gray's Bay, on Lake Minnetonka. There was still a little ice in some of the (northern) bays, but ice was off the main lower and upper lakes.
1878: March 11
2000: March 18
2012: March 19 ??
* data courtesy of the Freshwater Society. Details below.
* pdf above courtesy of the Freshwater Society.
** The earliest recorded ice-out, measured by noted naturalist Dr. Thomas Roberts, was March 11, 1878, and the latest recorded date was May 8, 1856. Source: The Freshwater Society.
No Cold Fronts Anytime Soon. The record early heat (and humidity) is awe-inspiring, but what I can't get over is this: usually the atmosphere "auto-corrects": periods of unusual warmth are usually followed by cold spells as the sky floating overhead attempts to regain some sense of equilibrium. Not this month. I keep waiting for a real cold front to come screaming south of the border, but we may have wait a little longer (October?) This spring we have 2 speeds: warm and hot. The 6-10 Day Extended Outlook from NOAA's CPC is courtesy of Ham Weather.
Superlatives From The Chicago National Weather Service. No, we're not the only ones gawking at the weather maps with a mix of awe, euphoria and...some level of trepidation? (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
Unsettled And Showery Into Thursday Night. Almost .70" rain fell Monday evening, another quarter to half inch of rain may fall from showery rains the next 3+ days, followed by slow clearing Saturday, and a dry, sunny, 70-degree Sunday.
Extended Outlook: Mild (Not Hot). The GFS keeps vascillating back and forth, the 12z run is a bit cooler, the 00z run is warmer. All the models suggest 60s, even a few 70s in late March and early April. I wouldn't be surprised to see a day or two in the 50s, but that's about as cool as it gets anytime soon.
The Downside Of A Balmy Winter? Long Walks With The Dog Aren't Carefree. Yes, the ticks (and mosquitoes) are out early this year; details from The New York Times: "Alas, for poor Beau, a bichon frisé who suffered a nasty tick bite in February, the balmy winter weather also appears to have encouraged legions of ticks to abandon their typically sedentary winter habit of lounging docilely under snow drifts, in favor of feasting heartily on a late-winter canine blood meal. “The vet said the tick didn’t settle down until he found a juicy spot on Beau’s neck,” said Mrs. Kowalczyk, 74. “I was horrified,” she added. “It wasn’t like we were walking in the forest. We were on the sidewalk, in my neighborhood.” While entomologists say that the mild weather in much of the country this winter is unlikely to spawn a tick population explosion this spring and summer, they suggest that just like humans and dogs, the pesky critters appear to be enjoying the great outdoors a month or two earlier this year." AP Photo/David J. Phillip).
10 Deadly Sins Of TV Severe Weather Coverage. I have to say I agree with most of these - thanks to TV meteorologist James Spann for posting these at alabamawx.com: "Let me say up front we are far from perfect here, and have much to learn when it comes to long form severe weather coverage. But, on the other hand, we have been doing it for a long time, and we have learned things. I present my list of ten “deadly sins” when it comes to TV weather coverage.
Your thoughts and comments are welcomed.
10. Not knowing the geography of your market. When you tell someone a tornado is 14 miles southwest of Anytown, U.S.A… they generally have no idea what that means. But, if you can tell people a tornado is near a barbeque joint, restaurant, shopping center, a truck stop, or even a place like a big barn or a farm in a rural area, they get it. I am stunned by many TV meteorologists that have zero knowledge of their market outside the big cities. Here is an idea… get out and speak to school kids every day. And, don’t always drive on the Interstate highways. Take the roads less traveled…. where people actually live. Remember what you see… and use that knowledge next time you are working severe weather coverage. If you really do this job right, you will work long hard hours without much sleep. But, the rewards are worth it."
"Throughout history has there been reported warm temps this nearly and then a snowfall?"
I have a suggestion for you. On your blog, please talk about the best weather apps available for iPhones. One of the the articles you link to today references IMap Weather Radio App. The downside of this app is it costs $10. There are so many weather apps out there, which are the best? I'm looking for an app that will warn when severe weather is coming. I'd want the app to base alerts off my current GPS location and warn when storms are within a certain distance. I live in Hennepin county so when a warning is issued for Hennepin, it may or may not affect me. Also, I'd like the alert to be a noise coming from my phone (not an email, not a text, not a buzz), but a loud noise that will awaken me! Do you have an app recommendation for me?
Janelle - the folks at Midland Radio make a solid NOAA Weather Radio. You can spend $15, or as much as $70-80 to get a top of the line system. Make sure you get one with "SAME" technology. Every county in the USA has a number - if you enter that number into your NOAA Weather Radio you'll only get warnings for your county (so you won't go nuts with the radio going off all the time from storms nearby. Everyone cares about their family, their neighborhood, their county. Spend a little extra and get a NOAA Radio that lets you personalize your warnings. More info below, possibly more than you ever wanted to know:
This version *now includes* support for Hawaii, Alaska, and Guam!
Whether you are scanning reflectivity for a mesocyclone's tell-tale hook echo, trying to pinpoint the landfall of a hurricane's eye wall, or looking for small features like velocity couplets in the storm relative radial velocity product, only RadarScope gives you the power to view true radial NEXRAD weather radar on your iPhone or iPod touch.
When there are any Tornado Warnings (outlined in RED), Severe Thunderstorm Warnings (YELLOW polygons), or Flash Flood Warnings (GREEN polygons) in effect throughout the US, tap the warning button in the top right corner to browse the list of current warnings, view the details, and even zoom to the selected warning on the map".
• Real-time, animated radar
• Weather Map with conditions, temperatures, dew points, wind direction and wind speed overlays
• Animated Visible and Infrared Clouds
• Interactive StormWatch map with National Weather Service alerts
• Complete severe weather warnings, watches, and advisory alert text
• 7-day forecast with high/low temperatures and chance of precipitation
• Hourly forecast with temps, wind speed/direction and chance of precipitation
• Forecast graph including past, present and forecast wind, dew point, temperature, and sky conditions
• Save your favorite and recently viewed locations for anywhere in the U.S.
• Shake for live data refresh
• One-button push for GPS positioning
• No ads!"
- display your current location
- weather conditions, forecasts and advisories for any location
- find and contact Victory dealers
- local services search with integrated direct dialing, including gas stations, restaurants, and lodging
- save waypoints along your route
- track and save multiple rides
- automatic map caching so maps can still be viewed while on the trail and outside of data coverage areas
- multitasking on iOS4 for route tracking in the background
- share saved routes to Twitter or Facebook
- export route data in GPX or CSV format
Another Day - Another Record. The first thing that jumped out at me: no snow on the ground, even at Duluth and International Falls. I guess a high of 72 at Duluth and 78 at INL would make it pretty hard to keep snow around. Highs ranged from 64 at Grand Marais to 78 St. Cloud, 79 Twin Cities and 80 Redwood Falls - all records. Off-the-scale records.
TODAY: More clouds than sun. A few showers, T-showers. Winds: SW 10-15. High: near 70
TUESDAY NIGHT: Lingering clouds, another shower or two. Low: 58
|Low Max Temp:||66|
|High Min Temp:||708|
"Man is a complex being: he makes deserts bloom - and lakes die." - Gil Stern
NASA Confirms: .75 C Warm-up Since 1900. The U.K. Daily Mail has more details: "Updated records of global temperatures stretching back more than 160 years confirm the world has warmed b .75 celsius since 1900, scientists said today. The new version of a Met Office "temperature series" dating back to 1850 adds information from weather stations in Africa and from Canada and Russia, where the Arctic is warming more quickly. The full data behind the study is to be available, to prevent a repeat of the "Climategate" scandal in which scientists were accused of "editing" climate data to suit their theories of global warming. The report comes in the wake of a release from NASA's GRACE gravity-measuring satellite, which shows the "deforming" effect melting ice has had on Earth's gravity."
Photo credit above: "Data from Nasa's twin gravity-sensing Grail satellites was used to asssemble a 3D map of how melting ice has changed the gravity of Earth." Graphic: NASA. Image courtesy of the Daily Mail.
Met Office: World Warmed Even More In Last 10 Years Than Previously Thought When Arctic Data Added. The story from the U.K. Telegraph: "The controversial record of climate change, put together by the Met Office Hadley Centre and the University of East Anglia, is one of only a handful of global temperature data sets stretching back since the end of the 19th Century. The temperature series was at the centre of the Climategate scandal in 2009, after hacked emails from the University of East Anglia showed scientist were unwilling to release original data. Critics claimed that the whole argument for global warming could not be trusted if the data set was questioned. However a series of inquiries found the science was correct, although the University of East Anglia was criticised for failing to share information."
Photo credit above: " Photo: REX."
Even With Global Warming Reined In, Rising Sea Levels Rise Pose Threat To Future Generations. The story from newjerseynewsroom.com: "Even if humankind manages to limit global warming to 2 degrees C (3.6 degrees F), as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recommends, future generations will have to deal with sea levels 12 to 22 meters (40 to 70 feet) higher than at present, according to research published in the journal Geology. The researchers, led by Kenneth G. Miller, professor of earth and planetary sciences in the School of Arts and Sciences at Rutgers University, reached their conclusion by studying rock and soil cores in Virginia, Eniwetok Atoll in the Pacific and New Zealand. They looked at the late Pliocene epoch, 2.7 million to 3.2 million years ago, the last time the carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere was at its current level, and atmospheric temperatures were 2 degrees C higher than they are now."
Photo credit above: "Cherry blossoms at or near peak bloom in Washington, D.C.'s Tidal Basin, March 18, 2012. Photo: Michael Halpern."
Photo credit above: "Tim Osborn/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association - Rising sea levels near Leeville, La., during the past 100 years have left this 1905 cemetery entirely underwater."
Address Climate Change With Science, Not Opinion Polls. An Op-Ed from The Seattle Times: "SHOULD elected officials and policymakers let public-opinion polls decide our nation's future response to climate change? Indisputably, no. The roller-coaster path of public acceptance on climate change charted by political polls is frustrating to the pragmatists among us. With nearly 98 percent of the world's climate scientists saying climate change already is affecting the natural world, effective action requires the knowledge we gain from focused investigations and sound science — not political polls. We should solicit the views of those not subject to political debates — fish and wildlife. Biologists do that through field investigations on the distribution and abundance of species in habitats that meet their life-cycle requirements."