63 F. average high for April 26.
57 F. high temperature on April 26, 2011.
.88" rain predicted by Saturday night in the metro area.
Trace of snow (flurries) so far in April in the Twin Cities.
Coating of slushy snow possible in the metro area Saturday morning. Details below.
70s return next Tuesday and Wednesday, a 1 in 3 chance of 80 F. by Wednesday afternoon.
Severe storms possible next Tuesday and Wednesday.
Temperature Roller Coaster. The European ECMWF model hints at highs holding in the upper 30s to near 40 Saturday - I suspect we'll see highs in the 40s, but just barely. And then 3 days later the mercury soars into the 70s, in fact we may see 3-4 days above 70 next week. Don't despair: spring will stage a comeback.
Sliding Into A Wetter Pattern? Models are all predicting more than .5" rain from tonight into Saturday, another slug of significant rain the middle of next week. Again, we need about 3-6" to start replenishing lake water levels. As we transition into a warmer pattern I'm hoping we'll see more frequent storms capable of pulling Gulf moisture north into Minnesota. The trends are encouraging.
Try Not To Throw Your Computer Out The Nearest Window. I was really hoping not to show you this graphic again until...October (?). Models suggest a slushy coating of snow for the MSP metro Saturday morning, maybe an inch on some lawns, fields and dazed robins. 2-3"? Possible, but I think the odds favor less. I sure hope so. You've been warned.
Saturday Slop-Fest? I think the NAM may be overdoing the snow for central and southeastern Minnesota, but the last few runs have been fairly consistent. As much as I'd like to overlook the snowy possibilities, it'll be a close call, and I wouldn't be at all shocked to see a few towns from Alexandria to the Twin Cities to Rochester pick up a couple inches of slushy, sloppy snow.
* Even if it snows, chances are it'll melt by midday or afternoon - the sun is simply too high in the sky for snow to linger for lawn.
** Surface temperatures should be in the mid 30s early Saturday morning, so I suspect most roads will remain wet. That said, if it snows hard enough a little slush could build up on secondary roads and bridges, especially outside the metro. It's late April, right? This is the kind of event that tests Minnesota's collective sense of humor.
A "Worthy Rain". Yes, it may be an old-fashioned soaking, anywhere from .5 to 1" of rain for the Twin Cities, the latest NAM hinting at over 1" of rain for the southern suburbs, maybe some 1.5" amounts for far western Minnesota.
18. The Duluth metro area was recently ranked 18th among the "Top 25 Cleanest Cities for Year-round Particle Pollution" in the USA, according to the American Lung Association. Photo courtesy of Wikipedia.
"Three out of four U.S. voters favor regulating carbon dioxide as a greenhouse-gas pollutant, and a majority think global warming should be a priority for the president and Congress, a survey of American attitudes on climate and energy reported on Thursday." - from a Reuters/Chicago Tribune story; details and links below.
Map credit above: "Locations where average temperatures during April 2012 are likely to be cooler than March was, according to Climate Central research. Click for an interactive version."
* check out Paul's photo collection (available for purchase or license) here, courtesy of Facebook.
One Word: Hope. With slushy snow in the Saturday outlook some of my friends and family members are despairing. Even my dog, Leo, is moping around the house. Maybe it's my imagination. Cut down on the meds, Paul. Here's the deal: Sunday will feel like spring, 70s likely by Tuesday and Wednesday. I'm starting to feel more like a psychologist than a meteorologist. Yes, this too shall pass.
Brisk Thursday. At least the sun was out, a fresh breeze, no humidity to speak of - a few degrees cooler than average. Highs ranged from 55 at Eau Claire to 56 in the Twin Cities, 57 St. Cloud and 60 at Redwood Falls.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota
Graphic credit above: "
Photo credit above: "Wind turbines near Mojave, Calif., generate power. (Al Seib, Los Angeles Times / March 22, 2011)."