55 F. average high for April 9.
58 F. high temperature on April 9, 2011.
15 F. The wind will make it feel like 15-20 F. this morning. Time to dig out the heavy jackets.
Frost/Freeze likely again Wednesday morning, the last sub-freezing morning in sight.
42.5 F. average temperature across the USA for March.
51.1 F. average March temperature in 2012; closer to the average for April.
15, 292 warm weather records in March. A record number of records. Map above: NOAA NCEP.
All 50 states broke at least one warm weather record last month.
First Quarter Of 2012: Warmest on record across the USA.
35:1. Warm weather records blew away cold weather records across the USA in March by a ratio of more than 35 to 1.
4 1/4" hail reported at Woodward, Oklahoma reported at 5:21 pm Monday - "windows broken". That's baseball size.
"Even looking at the span from March 15 to March 31, 2012 was the first time that the second half of March did not have a minimum temperature below freezing." (1891-2012 records) - Pete Boulay, Minnesota Climatology Working Group. Photo: Matt McKean/AP.
“When you look at what’s happened in March this year, it’s beyond unbelievable,” said University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver.....The first quarter of 2012 broke the January-March record by 1.4 degrees. Usually records are broken by just one- or two-tenths of a degree. U.S. temperature records date to 1895." - from a Washington Post article below.
“Everybody has this uneasy feeling. This is weird. This is not good,” said Jerry Meehl, a climate scientist who specializes in extreme weather at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. “It’s a guilty pleasure. You’re out enjoying this nice March weather, but you know it’s not a good thing.” - from an article at goupstate.com.
Not Just March, But Start Of 2012 Shatters U.S. Records For Heat, Worrying Meteorologists. Here's an excerpt of an article from The Washington Post: "WASHINGTON — It’s been so warm in the United States this year, especially in March, that national records weren’t just broken, they were deep-fried. Temperatures in the lower 48 states were 8.6 degrees above normal for March and 6 degrees higher than average for the first three months of the year, according to calculations by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That far exceeds the old records. The magnitude of how unusual the year has been in the U.S. has alarmed some meteorologists who have warned about global warming. One climate scientist said it’s the weather equivalent of a baseball player on steroids, with old records obliterated. “Everybody has this uneasy feeling. This is weird. This is not good,” said Jerry Meehl, a climate scientist who specializes in extreme weather at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo."
Map credit above: NASA.
Minnesota Fire Status Report. The Minnesota DNR has the latest on a very dangerous fire situation statewide. Today's winds, low humidity and bright sun made a bad situation even worse: "....The MNICS Incident Management Team A (Aultman) has been assigned to the Jeep Fire near Nimrod. Evacuations were ordered to protect citizens in the path of the fire. The fire is currently 80 percent contained and will be assessed for potential peat fire. RED FLAG WARNINGS have been issued for this afternoon and early evening for areas south of a line from Wheaton in Traverse County to Rushford in Fillmore County. All areas are staffed with a full complement of personnel and equipment, prepared for heavy initial attack. Additional hand crews and air resources have been deployed to assist with fires. Prescribed burns have been temporarily shut down until fire danger conditions lessen." Map above: Minnesota DNR.
Wednesday Morning Freeze, Then 60s By Thursday Afternoon. Talk about a temperature roller coaster: waking up to 27 or 28 Wednesday morning with clear skies and light winds, followed by low to mid 60s just 36 hours later. The best chance of weekend 60s: Saturday.
ECMWF: Spring Fling. I know it's depressingly chilly out there - but the sun is too high in the sky for any chill to last for long. Highs reach the mid 50s to mid 60s from tomorrow through much of next week.
April 17-25: Slight Mellowing Trend. There's a small chance of frost in the outlying suburbs a week from now, but I don't think the frost will be nearly as widespread or severe as this morning and Wednesday morning. Highs reach the 60s the weekend of April 21-22; no more vigorous cold fronts in sight through April 25.
Photo credit above: "DAN SCANLAN/The Times-Union. Riverside Avenue’s trees disappear into the smoke at 10 a.m. Monday, looking southwest."
"How many tornadoes touched down in Minnesota in 2011? Nationally?"
Andra Van Kempen
Communications Specialist, CetraCare Health System
Andrea- here is the raw information from SPC, NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. Minnesota experienced 30 tornadoes; nationwide the (preliminary count - still subject to revision) was 1,894.
Photo credit above: "Kevin Systrom, Instagram CEO, Speaks at IGNITION West." Courtesy: Business Insider.
April? More Like Third Week of March. Under a mostly-blue sky temperatures were stuck in the 40s across most of Minnesota yesterday, ranging from 42 at Alexandria to 44 St. Cloud, 48 in the Twin Cities and 50 at Redwood Falls. Yes, this too shall pass...
"Cover Up Your Dandelions!" Some good advice from WeatherNation TV meteorologist Todd Nelson. That's his back yard up in St. Michael - he's ready for a freeze this morning, again Wednesday morning. Winter's last gasp? I hope so.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota
Predicted Lows This Morning Tuesday Morning Predicted Wake-up Temps.
* maps courtesy of NOAA.
March Heat Records Crush Cold Records By Over 35 To 1; Scientists Say Global Warming "Loaded The Dice". Some amazing details from Think Progress: "The final data is in for the unprecedented March heat wave that was “unmatched in recorded history” for the U.S. (and Canada). New heat records swamped cold records by the stunning ratio of 35.3 to 1. This ratio is almost off the charts, even with the brutally warm August we had, as this chart from Capital Climate shows. For the year to date, new heat records are beating cold records by 22 to 1, which trumps the pace of the last decade by more than a factor of 10! I like the statistical aggregation across the country, since it gets us beyond the oft-repeated point that you can’t pin any one record temperature on global warming. A 2009 analysis shows that the average ratio for the 2000s was 2.04-to-1, a sharp increase from previous decades. Lead author Dr. Gerald Meehl explained, “If temperatures were not warming, the number of record daily highs and lows being set each year would be approximately even.”
Photo credit above: "Huge investment will be needed if the Danish government's goals are to be met." BBC.
Photo credit above: "Resident Tryson Walters points to areas along the sea coast in Crawford, St Elizabeth, that has been established as a fish sanctuary. Minister of Climate Change Robert Pickersgill said the effects of climate change may threaten the country's economy, health, agriculture and natural resources.- Photo by Mark Titus."