68 F. average high for May 11.
78 F. high temperature May 11, 2011 in the Twin Cities.
Low 80s likely Monday.
Dry into Tuesday.
T-storms possible next Friday and Saturday as highs top 80 once again.
Weekend Weather For People In A Hurry:
Today: Plenty of sun. Highs: 65-70. Winds: NW 5-10.
Mother's Day: Sunny, milder. Highs: 69-74. Winds: W/SW 7-12
"The fishing was good; it was the catching that was bad." - A.K. Best
Lukewarm; Mostly-Dry Into Wednesday. The European ECMWF (which tends to do a better job with long-range weather than the GFS) shows a warming trend into Tuesday, when a puff of slightly cooler, Canadian air may spark a stray shower or T-shower. A surge of hot air arrives late next week, a good shot at 80 by next Friday and Saturday. The hot front will spark T-storms; best chance Friday and Saturday. Enjoy the quiet, dry spell while you can.
Meteorological Miracle. Yesterday's blustery cool front is pushing east, plenty of sun for the Upper Midwest today and Mother's Day. The northeast warms up, the next chance of showers late Sunday into Tuesday for much of the eastern seaboard. Meanwhile record heat settles over the Pacific Northwest over the weekend with the warmest temperatures of the year so far. NAM model data courtesy of NOAA.
May 1st: 1.73 inches at St Cloud Airport
May 2nd: 2.05 inches at Windom and 2.10 inches at Elk River
May 3rd: 2.21 inches at Zumbrota and Wabasha
May 4th: 1.70 inches at Amboy
May 5th: 2.41 inches at Winnebago and 2.33 inches at Sherburn
May 6th: 2.78 inches at Marshall, 2.86 inches at Hawley, 3.06 inches at Redwood Falls, 3.50 inches at Hastings, and 3.62 inches at Pipestone
The 3.62 inches of rainfall reported at Pipestone on May 6th was a new state record for the date, beating the 3.48 inches that fell at Minneota on May 6, 1983.
April Warming Trends. Here's an interesting nugget (and YouTube animation) from NOAA: “After a decade of warmer than average Aprils in the U.S., few highest monthly maximum temperature records for April remain from the 20th Century. This image plots the decade in which the highest average April temperature record was set for different regions of the country, starting in 1911 (i.e., 1911-1920) and running through 2010, using data from the NOAA National Climatic Center’s detailed archives. The records broken in 2011 and 2012 are shown separately. Most of the pixel colors are associated with the 2001-2010, 2011 and 2012 time periods. Gray indicates no data (records) are associated with that area of the country.“
Upper left photo credit: "Twin waterspouts seen off the coast of Grand Isle, La., on May 9. Click on image for a larger version. Credit: Capt. Danny Wray, via NWS/Facebook."
Upper right photo credit: "Four waterspouts seen at once off the La. coast on May 9. Credit: WRAL Mike Maze via Facebook."
Photo credit above: "
"Mammatus". Photo from the Bismarck National Weather Service, via Mark Zuckerberg: "Mammatus clouds that rolled through Minot during last night's thunderstorms. Photo courtesy of Sean K."
Most Expensive Weather Disasters Of 2012. 7 of the top 14 weather disasters worldwide during the first 4 months of 2012 were in the USA. Chart courtesy of Aon Benfield.
Photo credit above: "
Photo credit above: "Science satellites operated by NASA and NOAA track a broad range of environmental markers, including the thinning of ice sheets and changes in cloud cover and temperature. (NASA / June 26, 2010)."
Cloud-Cluttered. The sun tried to peek through, but clouds ruled the day yesterday; highs ranging from 61 at Hibbing and Alexandria to 65 St. Cloud, 71 in the Twin Cities and 76 at Rochester. A 75 mile-wide band of rain arrived in the metro around the dinner hour, forcing a 2 hour rain delay at Target Field.
"There is no such thing in anyone's life as an unimportant day." - Alexander Woollcott
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and cool. Low: 50 (mid to upper 40s on central and northern lakes).
Photo credit above: Ralph Timmermann / Alfred Wegener Institute. "Part of Antarctica's Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf is seen in the Weddell Sea. Two new studies project the shelf will disappear by 2100, potentially releasing ice trapped on Antarctica's largest ice sheet."
Photo credit above: Alexander Demianchuk / Reuters. "Lone tourists walk along Red Square in heavy smog, caused by peat fires in nearby forests, in central Moscow, Aug. 9, 2010."
* Hansen's paper can be found here (pdf).
Photo credit above: "A tornado makes its way through farmlands near Rush Center, Kansas, on April 14, 2012. Over 100 tornadoes ripped through several Plains states in just 24 hours that weekend." Gene Blevins / Reuters