53 F. average high on October 26.
39 F. high on October 26, 2012.
October 26 in Minnesota Weather History:
1943: Said to be one of the worst fogs in the Twin Cities in memory. A very dense area of fog, with an average of 75 feet in thickness, blanketed the area. At the worst, street lights could not be seen 25 yards away. Drivers refused to cross unmarked railroad crossings and traffic was brought to a standstill.
1931: Storm hits the Duluth area. Barometer falls to 29.02. Data courtesy of the MPX National Weather Service.
This is why I spend much of the day massaging my pet ulcer and plucking at grey, thinning wisps of hair on top of my aching head.
Weather models rarely agree. During the winter this numerical dysfunction becomes even more problematic. Which model has the best track record - which one do you trust?
NOAA's NAM model brushes southern Minnesota with a coating or inch of slushy snow Tuesday, while the ECWMF (European) model takes the brunt of the storm just south of Minnesota. Although the "Euro" tends to nail hurricanes and coastal storms, the NAM can't be dismissed.
I'm hedging my bet and mentioning a (slight) risk of a coating on Tuesday. With surface temperatures above freezing most roads would probably remain wet, but snow may accumulate on lawns, fields and slow-moving neighbors, mainly south of the MSP metro area. Check the weather blog for updates.
A second, more significant surge of southern moisture arrives Wednesday, when the atmosphere should be warm enough for all-rain. The good news: the back edge of the rain may be just east of town in time for a gray, damp, mostly-dry Halloween.
The Werewolf Watch remains in effect. Let's see if a Snow Advisory is issued for Tuesday, but right now I don't think it's going to be a big deal.
12 Strange Weather Features Of Superstorm Sandy. Yes, Sandy set a number of "firsts". AP has an eye-opening list, reported at The Fresno Bee; here's a clip:
3. SNOW: This is the first time the National Hurricane Center ever listed snow or blizzard in their warnings. Three feet of snow fell in West Virginia.
4. GREAT LAKES: It is unusual for 20 foot waves, large surges and tropical force winds to be recorded in the Great Lakes for a coastal tropical storm, but it happened with Sandy.
5. ENERGY: NOAA's Hurricane Research Division has an experiment program that measures integrated energy of a storm's surge and waves on a 0 to 6.0 scale. Sandy reached 5.8, passing Katrina as the highest recorded so far...
Image credit: " NOAA — AP Photo.
Photo credit above: "Christine Cina and her dog amid what is left of her house on Staten Island, a year after Sandy blew through." Photo: Reuters.
Related: Chinese city shut down by off-the-charts pollution
One of the worst of these episodes, and one that helped focus attention on U.S. air pollution, was the choking, deadly smog that covered Donora, Pa., in the Monongahela River Valley, 20 miles southeast of Pittsburgh from Oct. 27 to 31, 1948..."
Photo credit above: "On Oct. 30, 1948, Donora’s main business district was cloaked in smog, the sunlight virtually obliterated by thick low-hanging pollution." (Associated Press).
TODAY: Partly sunny. More hints of Indian Summer. Winds: W/SE 10-20. High: 57
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, turning colder. Low: 31
MONDAY: Patchy clouds, cooler again. High: 43
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, chance of a light mix. Slushy coating south? High: 39
WEDNESDAY: Warm enough for rain, steady and heavy at times. Wake-up: 35. High: near 54
HALLOWEEN: Wet start. Partial clearing by afternoon. Probably dry for Trick or Treating. Wake-up: 45. High: 53
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, windy & cooler. Wake-up: 37. High: 47
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy and brisk. Wake-up: 33. High: 44
* photo credit above: Mike Hall.
Photo credit above: "Ocean acidification due to excessive release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere is threatening to produce large-scale changes to the marine ecosystem affecting all levels of the food chain, a University of B.C. marine biologist warned Friday." Photograph by: Nick Didlick , VANCOUVER SUN.
Photo credit above: "Elon Musk in the new Tesla Model S high performance electric car in the showroom at Westfield London." Photograph: Sarah Lee for the Guardian.
Open Letter — October 2013
To: Diane Carol Bast, Executive Editor, The Heartland Institute
Re: Release of Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science
Dear Mrs. Bast,
Thanks for sending out your helpful, if somewhat self-congratulatory, memo to so many US teachers (PDF). Its subject is important: the NIPCC’s gripping sequel “Climate Change Reconsidered II”, a title as original as the ‘Not the IPCC’ nomenclature is witty.
While I’m sure nobody would question your organisation’s motive in wanting to reach out to so many young and impressionable minds (and I’m sure very few will conflate this initiative with Heartland’s sturdy defence of the embattled tobacco industry during the 1990s) there are some minor issues that might demand attention....
Photo credit above: "Dead science lives on, thanks to the Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change." Scott Beale.