18 F. high in the Twin Cities Monday.
27 F. average high on December 16.
34 F. high on December 16, 2012.
1.1" snow fell at MSP International Airport yesterday.
5" snow on the ground.
6 subzero nights in the Twin Cities since December 4.
Minnesota Weather History on December 16. Data: Twin Cities National Weather Service:
1996: 20 to 40 mph winds combined with recent snowfall produced blizzard like conditions for about a 36 hour period over much of the area. Whiteout conditions were common in rural and open areas. Every county road in Yellow Medicine county was impassable by the morning of the 18th. Travelers heading west were stranded in Clara City as plows were pulled off the road. Wind chills were as low as 60 degrees below zero.
1946: Heavy snow with wind across northern Minnesota. Duluth has winds up to 62 mph.
NOAA reports 53 percent of the contiguous USA had snow on the ground as of December 15, the most in 11 years. No need to worry about a white Christmas this year.
I'm looking forward to removing a few extra layers of clothing Wednesday, as highs "surge" into the 30s. A chilly weekend gives way to another potential thaw Christmas Eve, then colder Christmas Day. A clipper drops another inch of fluff on your favorite freeway this morning. Leave a little extra time.
It's human nature to wonder & worry about what comes next. "Is it going to be this miserable all winter?" Based on numerous factors, including a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation and a brewing El Nino for 2014 I think there's a very good chance January may wind up a little milder than December.
Winter came on with a vengeance. The January Thaw will also come early, and if I had to bet I'd go with an early spring in 2014. Snowfall? Close to normal, around 55 inches.
That's based more on intuition and gut feel vs. hard science, but I do see a little relief from The Numb in coming weeks.
December is 11F colder than average; 6 subzero nights so far this month. But it's not necessarily a taste of what's to come.
TODAY: Few flurries - dusting possible. Turning milder. Winds: W 15. High: 27
TUESDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, not quite as cold. Low: 16
WEDNESDAY: Glimmers of sun, risk of a thaw (first since December 3). High: 33
THURSDAY: Colder, period of light PM snow. Wake-up: 20. High: 26
FRIDAY: Clearing, chilly again. Wake-up: 3. High: 15
SATURDAY: More clouds than sun, brisk. Wake-up: -1. High: 13
SUNDAY: Partly sunny - good MN travel. Wake-up: 2. High: 16
MONDAY: Fading sun, turning milder. Wake-up: 6. High: 24
Highs in the mid 20s to near 30F are possible on Christmas Eve.
A new study by British and Canadian researchers shows that the global temperature rise of the past 15 years has been greatly underestimated. The reason is the data gaps in the weather station network, especially in the Arctic. If you fill these data gaps using satellite measurements, the warming trend is more than doubled in the widely used HadCRUT4 data, and the much-discussed “warming pause” has virtually disappeared.“There are no permanent weather stations in the Arctic Ocean, the place on Earth that has been warming fastest,” as New Scientist explained five years ago. “The UK’s Hadley Centre record simply excludes this area, whereas the NASA version assumes its surface temperature is the same as that of the nearest land-based stations...”
Graphic credit above: "The corrected data (bold lines) are shown compared to the uncorrected ones (thin lines)." Via RealClimate.
Photo credit above: "Evidence from studies of past climate change suggest if longer-term factors are taken into account, the Earth's sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 could also be double than predicted." Credit: world.edu.
Photo credit above: "Despite being the world’s biggest greenhouse gas emitter, China is increasing its renewable sources of energy." AAP/HOW HWEE YOUNG.