36 F. average high on March 5.
30 F. high on March 5, 2013.
19" snow on the ground at KMSP.
40s likely by early next week.
You can only imagine the earful I've gotten this hyper-winter. I feel like an economist, standing in the wreckage of 1929's Great Depression. "It WILL get better!" Because it can't get any worse.
I looked at the weather maps this morning and couldn't decide whether to wake the neighbors or weep for joy. New colors are showing up: less blues and purples, more yellow and orange. We're limping into spring, and your faith in March may be partially restored in the week ahead as steering winds aloft become zonal; blowing west to east. The Polar Vortex gives way to a Pacific breeze.
Expect a thaw today - the drive home will be a sloppy slush-fest, but who cares? The short-term outlook calls for occasional showers of blue windshield washer fluid, but I still don't see any Tournament Storms looking out at least a week.
Nearly 20 inches of snow on the ground will limit just how mild it can get in the short term; ECMWF guidance hints at a few 40s early next week. Above average? Unheard of. Nothing subzero looking out a week, just an Ice Dam Advisory.
In today's weather blog: a rough winter for Minnesota's white-tail deer & Lake Superior ice cover is approaching 95 percent, the all-time record set in 1979.
Yes, we've seen worse, but not lately.
* GFS forecast temperatures midday Monday courtesy of Climate Reanalyzer at the University of Maine.
Image credit above: "NASA’s Terra satellite captured this image of a powerful storm swirling off the coast of New Zealand on March 4. The storm has caused what has been reported as a 100-year flood in the city of Christchurch." (Source: NASA).
Image credit above: "One of the three Joint Polar Satellite Systems satellites." (Credit: NOAA/NASA).
Image credit above: "Superstorm Sandy as it slams the Northeast in October 2012." Credit: NOAA/NASA.
• better address Minnesota’s achievement gap in STEM education.
• inspire the next generation of STEM workers needed by Minnesota businesses.
• expand University of Minnesota environmental, biological and astrophysical information and education for schools and families.
• create the flagship planetarium in Minnesota.
• increase it statewide reach by investing the increased revenues generated by a new facility to expand.
Dr. Mark Seeley is involved in the ongoing campaign to turn this vision into a reality. Here is an excerpt of what he told me: "I, like you, give a strong priority to do all I can to support science literacy among Minnesotans, and also to support all efforts to increase appreciation and awareness of our state's natural history. The new Bell Museum and Planetarium will provide far more opportunities to educate and engage students and citizens about science and about our natural history (including climate and weather). The planetarium will help us understand the universe we live it. These are investments that our needed to forge a path for the future where we can engage citizens on important issues of science and we can deploy new knowledge to better manage and preserve our natural resources."
Tell your local legislator that our kids deserve a world-class planetarium and natural history museum.
TODAY: Ring the churchbells. Partly sunny. Thaw likely. Winds: S 20. High: 34
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, patches of fog. Low: 29
FRIDAY: Patchy clouds, still sloppy. High: 31
SATURDAY: Sunny, slight cooler. Wake-up: 13. High: 28
SUNDAY: Some sun, breezy, turning milder by afternoon. Wake-up: 10. High: near 40
MONDAY: A faint whiff of early April. Wake-up: 30. High: 45
TUESDAY: Nice to be average again. Some sun. Wake-up: 27. High: 40
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny and cooler, still pretty quiet. Wake-up: 18. High: 32
* graphic above courtesy of buzzle.com.
Photo credit above: "BHP Billiton CEO Andrew Mackenzie speaks at the IHS CERAWeek energy conference in Houston on March 4, 2014." (Mayra Beltran/Houston Chronicle).
* more details on the implications of rising seas and increased climate volatility on the military at The Center for Climate & Security.
Photo credit: "Icebergs and sea ice floating atop near-freezing surface waters of the Weddell Sea." Courtesy of Eric Galbraith.
Cartoon credit above: "The climate contrarian guide to managing risk." Created by John Cook.