79 F. average high on August 26.
96 F. high on August 26, 2013.
August 26, 1992: A chilly night in Embarrass. The temperature dipped to 28 degrees.
The good news: we're all going on a date. The bad news: the guest of honor is Old Man Winter! After the polar pain of last winter, the toughest in a generation, factoring relentless cold and snow, we can be excused for premature pangs of paranoia.
Betty Magnuson wrote me an e-mail, confused and curious about who was right: Dr. Mark Seeley, predicting a milder winter thanks to El Nino, or The Farmers' Almanac, forecasting another severe winter east of the Rockies?
Personally, I'd err on the side of listening to Dr. Seeley. Our harshest winters often come during ENSO-neutral winters (no El Nino or La Nina). Models still point to a mild to moderate warming phase of the Pacific, which SHOULD tilt the odds in favor of a more forgiving winter.
Then again I bought ENRON stock, so hedge your bets.
Lukewarm sun today gives way to a soaking rain Thursday; over an inch may perk up your lawn with temperatures stuck in the 60s. We dry out Friday but showers may brush MSP again Saturday. Sunday looks like the nicest, driest, sunniest day of the holiday weekend. Storms rumble in on Labor Day so have a Plan B.
As for next winter let me go out on a limb. Ready? Here goes:
"Colder with some snow."
Photo credit above: "In a newly published scientific paper, researchers attributed modest uplift in areas of the Sierra Nevada and Coast Ranges across central California to human-caused groundwater depletion in the adjacent San Joaquin Valley. GPS stations such as this one, P311 in the eastern Sierra Nevada, are administered by the EarthScope Plate Boundary Observatory." Photo courtesy of UNAVCO.
Researchers have known for some time that human activity can be linked to localized seismic effects. In particular, much of the debate about fracking in California in the past few years has centered on evidence that the process of injecting large volumes of liquid underground can lubricate fault lines and increase local earthquake risk.
- See more at: http://sfpublicpress.org/news/2014-05/groundwater-depletion-is-destabilizing-the-san-andreas-fault-and-increasing-earthquake-risk#sthash.S1I1Q4xa.dpuf
File photo credit: Marine debris washing up onto the coast of Hawaii courtesy of Wikipedia.
Image credit: Vintage Publishing.
TODAY: Plenty of sun, still pleasant. Dew point: 56. Winds: East 5. High: 77
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouds increase, showers possible late. Low: 63
THURSDAY: Cool, soaking rain. Over 1 inch possible, especially south of MSP. High: 68
FRIDAY: More clouds than sun, a drier day. Wake-up: 62. High: 75
SATURDAY: Risk of showers, possible thunder, especially southern/eastern Minnesota and Wisconsin. Wake-up: 63. High: 74
SUNDAY: Best day.Warm sun, pleasant. Dew point: 58. Wake-up: 61. High: 81
LABOR DAY: Unsettled, few T-storms. Dew point: 66. Wake-up: 65. High: 79
TUESDAY: Sunny, less humid. Dew point: 55. Wake-up: 62. High: 76
Photo credit above: Tim McCabe/USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service. "No-till planting is under way at an alfalfa field on a farm in Montgomery County, Iowa."