November 20, 1980: On this date, around 28 thousand Canadian geese spent their nights on Silver Lake in Rochester.
Think of the 7-Day as good incentive to bulk up to your winter weight. Go for that extra slice of pumpkin pie! What I lack in warmth & sunlight I plan to make up for in sugar and cool calories.
Welcome to the 11th day in a row below freezing; typical for January - a bit unusual for November. No match for 1874-75, when the Twin Cities enjoyed 83 days in a row colder than 32F. Ouch.
A few friends are freaking out, huddled in their weather bunkers, expecting another winter identical to last year. It may be more prayer than prediction but I still think we'll see more variability, more swings in temperature.
El Nino appears to be strengthening in the Pacific, increasing the odds of milder air pushing into the western half of the USA from time to time, reducing the odds of another perpetual polar vortex blocking pattern similar to last winter.
Place your bets.
We finally thaw out Saturday. Rain stays to our east on Sunday - a snowy coating Monday. The risk of snow on Thanksgiving has dropped off a bit; there may be too much cold air pushing the storm track well south of Minnesota. A cold smack late next week gives way to 30s, even a few 40s the first week of December.
Get ready for some BIG ups and downs over the next 3+ months.
* graphic above from a 2003 paper by Burnett, et all available via PDF here.
TODAY: Clouds increase, not as cold. Winds: S 15. High: near 30
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy, not as chilly as recent nights. Low: 28
SATURDAY: First thaw in 12 days. Gray skies - not as numb. High: 38
SUNDAY: Cloudy, chance of drizzle. Wake-up: 32. High: near 40
MONDAY: Coating of flurries, light snow. Wake-up: 29. High: 33 (falling)
TUESDAY: Clearing skies, chilly again. Wake-up: 16. High: 22
WEDNESDAY: Inch or so of snow showers? Wake-up: 13. High: 26
THANKSGIVING: Feels like January again. Mostly cloudy. Wake-up: 5. High: 18
Photo credit above: "Robert Kenner’s documentary Merchants of Doubt looks at professionals working for the fossil fuel industry to sow doubt in the US climate change debate." Photograph: Sony Pictures Classics.
Graphic credit above: Washington Post-ABC News poll - Click for details