TODAY: Partly sunny, breezy, milder. Winds: S 10-20. High: 53
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouds increase, not as chilly. Low: 42
MONDAY: More clouds, few showers. High: 58
TUESDAY: Partly sunny, cooler breeze. Wake-up: 40. High: near 50
WEDNESDAY: Weak clipper, few rain showers. Wake-up: 37. High: 46
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy and chilly. Wake-up: 34. High: 44
FRIDAY: Breezy & milder, showers north. Wake-up: 29. High: 48
SATURDAY: Clearing skies, still pretty quiet. Wake-up: 37. High: 49
School of Hard Knocks
"Most of what you learn won't be in a classroom or out of a book" my father told me 40 years ago. "You learn from your mistakes" he said. He was right. It's a painful learning curve, and it applies to most fields.
The atmosphere is a fluid; calculus predicts how parcels of air should behave, but the math isn't perfect. Neither is our digital snapshot of current weather, worldwide. We have good data over North America, Europe & Asia, but satellites fill in the blanks over much of the planet. Junk in - junk out. That's why the 7-Day accuracy is still sketchy.
We're drowning in weather models; hundreds to choose from. What to believe, and when?
That's why weather forecasting is still as much art as science. Bad art. Finger painting in the dark, some days.
All the models show seasonable warmth much of this week, with colder air returning next weekend - the atmosphere cold enough for snow by mid-November. But will there be any moisture? The pattern favors big storms on either coast; a cool, dry northwest flow aloft over Minnesota. Rain showers drift into town Monday, again Wednesday.
The first snow flurries of winter may be about 7-10 days away, about 3 weeks later than average.
Photo credit above: "The sun rises above a graveyard in Normanton, West Yorkshire on the UK's warmest recorded Halloween." Credit": Michiko Smith.
Image credit above: "Images by J.T. Reager, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, from "The Global Groundwater Crisis," Nature Climate Change, November 2014, by James S. Famiglietti."
Why The U.S. Has Fallen Behind In Internet Speed and Affordability. Where are the broadband disruptors? Because, according to this article at The New York Times, America's internet providers are providing substandard speeds at inflated prices; here's an excerpt: "...Downloading a high-definition movie takes about seven seconds in Seoul, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Zurich, Bucharest and Paris, and people pay as little as $30 a month for that connection. In Los Angeles, New York and Washington, downloading the same movie takes 1.4 minutes for people with the fastest Internet available, and they pay $300 a month for the privilege, according to The Cost of Connectivity, a report published Thursday by the New America Foundation’s Open Technology Institute..."
How Iowa Scientists Are Fighting To Get Climate Change on the Political Radar. Think Progress has the story - here's the introduction: "A little less than three weeks ago, over 180 Iowa scientists sent a clear message to their state’s leaders: climate change is here, is impacting Iowans and needs to be taken seriously. The Iowa Climate Statement 2014: Impacts on the Health of Iowans was the fourth iteration of an annual effort by the Iowans who actually study climate change to raise awareness among their fellow residents, their state lawmakers and their national representatives..."
* The Weather Channel's official Position Statement on climate change is here.