"There are two seasonal diversions that can ease the bite of any winter. One is the January thaw. The other is seed catalogs" wrote author and journalist Hal Borland. All I know is any day above zero - in late January - in Minnesota - is a gift from on high.
40 degrees? That's a bad vacation.
Take the good with the bad and make the most of today's drippy thaw, as a puff of Pacific air swirls across the state. Temperatures may shoot into the 40s next Wednesday before a sharp tumble late next week; models hinting at a few nights below zero from February 1-3, followed by a rapid rebound. No prolonged school-closing cold waves are brewing.
I'm still seeing evidence of a weak El Nino resetting the storm track from the Gulf of Mexico right up the East Coast, sparking a veritable parade of major snow and ice events out east. Closer to home Minnesota snow lovers will have to be content with dribs and drabs of snow. Par for the course.
NOAA models aren't very impressive, but the ECMWF prints out a couple inches of snow Sunday. By the end of next week there will be no doubt in your mind that it's January.
But seed catalogs and The Boat Show are reminders that spring isn't that far off!
TODAY: Gray but mild. Touch of drizzle. Winds: SW 10+ High: near 40
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy, mild for late January. Low: 28
SATURDAY: Better travel day. Any sun gives way to increasing clouds. High: 36
SATURDAY NIGHT: Light snow develops late. Low: 27
SUNDAY: Fast-moving clipper. Coating to an inch or 2". Wake-up: 27. High: 32
MONDAY: Clouds and flurries. Wake-up: 20. High: 28
TUESDAY: Bright gray, but turning milder. Wake-up: 21. High: 35
WEDNESDAY: Early taste of March! Mild breeze. Wake-up: 28. High: 43
THURSDAY: Sunny peeks, last "mild" day. Wake-up: 30. High: 36
Image credit: "Ocean heat content data to a depth of 2,000 meters, from NOAA." Photograph: NOAA. You can find more data on ocean heating from NOAA here.
Image credit above: "The animation above shows Arctic ice melt from 1987 to 1990, left, and 2010 to 2014, right."
"It's Totally Unacceptable For Society Not To Act." Scientific American has an interview with Nobel laureate Mario Molina; here are 2 excepts that caught my eye: "...There has been a very well financed public relations campaign by some interest groups to question climate change science. And they have succeeded quite well—in response to these efforts the media very often still communicates the idea that there are two sides to this question...You wear seatbelts in your car not because you’re certain that you’re going to have a crash but because there’s a possibility. You build houses likely to withstand an earthquake not because you’re certain that there will be an earthquake but because there might be one. These examples involve probabilities that are much smaller than the probabilities that climate change will have very serious impacts. So it’s totally unacceptable for society not to act..."
Oregon Teens Sue State: Can Local Government Be Held Accountable For Climate Change? Here's a clip from a story at The Christian Science Monitor: "...This could be a landmark decision on the question: Does government, as trustee over our essential natural resources, have to protect [the atmosphere] from carbon pollution and the impacts of climate disruption?" said Julia Olson, executive director of the nonprofit Our Children's Trust, and originator of the youth-led lawsuit..."