35 F. average high on March 2.
3 F. high on March 2, 2014, after waking up to -15.
Trace of snow on the ground at KMSP at 7 PM yesterday.
1977: Snowstorm across region with over 400 school closings in Minnesota and Wisconsin.
Winter's Last Gasp?
Yesterday Vineeta Sawkar at the Star Tribune asked me if today's snow event meets the definition of a storm. It's stretch but considering the timing (AM rush hour), the amounts (1 to 3 inches with a band of 3-6" from near Alexandria and Morris to Little Falls) and high winds kicking in behind the storm, compounding blowing & drifting, the answer is yes. The definition of "storm" has less to do with amounts, and more to do with temperature and impacts.
So far this winter the biggest single-storm snowfall was 3.4 inches, on November 10-11, again December 27. Residents of Boston have a word for that. "Flurries".
A quick burst of snow this morning gets whipped around by 30 mph gusts this afternoon, marking the leading edge of what MAY be the last subzero swipe of winter. Blizzard criteria with near white-out conditions are expected west of MSP. Then mercury dips below zero again Thursday morning.
Embrace the burn because a dramatic change is likely as mild Pacific air streams back into the USA. A string of 40s are likely next week; both the GFS and ECMWF models hint at a few days near 50F by late next week. Like turning on a light switch. Instant spring.
February was 9.7F colder than average at MSP. I have a hunch mid-March may feel more like late April.
* GFS model, valid Friday evening, March 13, shows a surge of moisture and warmth from the Gulf of Mexico, hinting at air temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s with periods of rain. Map: WSI.
...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST TUESDAY... * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND TAPER OFF LATE TUESDAY MORNING...AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH AND VISIBILITY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE IN OPEN AREAS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE A BIT BETTER WITHIN CITY LIMITS. THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS TUESDAY WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.
Photo credit: Andreas Fuhrmann AP.
Those values start with a basic notion: We are losing control over the tools that once promised equal opportunity in speech and innovation—and this has to stop.Control is moving back to the center, where powerful companies and governments are creating choke points..."
Photo credit above: "Mario Anzuoni | Reuters. "Vivint Solar technicians install solar panels on the roof of a house in Mission Viejo, Calif."
TODAY: 1-3" snow this morning with icy roads. Blizzard risk west of MSP with blowing/drifting and white-out conditions. Winds: NW 20-30+ High: 30 (falling into the teens this afternoon).
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing and very cold. Low: -2
WEDNESDAY: Sunny and numb. Feels like -20F. High: 9
THURSDAY: Cold start, turning breezy with fading sun. Wake-up: -8. High: 16
FRIDAY: Much-needed thaw with some sun. Feels like March. Wake-up: 11. High: 36
SATURDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, pleasant. Wake-up: 21. High: 37
SUNDAY: More clouds, slightly cooler. Wake-up: 20. High: 33
MONDAY: Intervals of sun, milder breeze. Wake-up: 23. High: near 40
* models suggest a string of 40s next week, even a shot at 50F by the end of next week.
Cold Weather Doesn't Mean Climate Change Isn't Happening. Canada's CBC News has some perspective; here's a clip: "...Usually, the jet stream moves along, providing breaks from the cold during winter, but recently, it has been sluggish. Whether that's due to climate change cannot be determined yet because two years of cold is not enough to see a long-term pattern. But a recent experiment at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California has directly measured the warming effect of our carbon emissions, using data from instruments that measure the infrared radiation being reflected back to the ground by the atmosphere - the so-called greenhouse effect..."
An international team of researchers shows that, during the last 4,000 years, there appears to have been a close correlation between solar activity and the sea surface temperature in summer in the North Atlantic.
Since the end of the Last Ice Age about 12,000 years ago, the Earth has generally experienced a warm climate.