F. average high on June 10.
F. high on June 10, 2014.
June 10, 1926: Downpour at Mahoning. 3.05 inches fell in 45 minutes.
Flash Flood Risk
Being surprised by flooding in June is a little like being indignant about snow in January - it comes with the turf. June is the wettest month of the year, on average. And Mother Nature is about to prove it.
Minnesota has warmed 3 degrees F. since 1800. That's not a climate model, that's based on observations, factoring in the urban heat island effect.
Basic physics: warmer air can hold more water vapor. There's more fuel floating overhead. When it does rain it tends to rain harder. 4 of the last 5 Junes have been "historically wet", according to Dr. Mark Seeley. Maybe it's a coincidence.
Rain becomes steadier and heavier as the day goes on today; the best chance of downpours during the PM hours. Models print out some 2-4 inch amounts. More parking lots, asphalt & concrete means a higher risk of flash flooding for urban areas.
The drive home later today may be a vehicular freak show; a white-knuckle ordeal of mud & construction cones. Good luck out there.
Skies clear Friday; sun much of Saturday giving way to more thunder Saturday night and Sunday.
From drought to flood, on a smaller scale than Texas, we pray. Are we in for some weather-whiplash?
It's looking that way.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THURSDAY MORNING AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH RAINFALL RATES UP TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEW ULM...TO HASTINGS...TO CHIPPEWA FALLS WISCONSIN. WITHIN THIS AREA...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE MOST LIKELY REGION FOR THAT RIGHT NOW BEING ALONG AND NEAR A LINE FROM FAIRMONT...TO OWATONNA...TO AUGUSTA WISCONSIN. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO LEAD TO RAPID RISES IN LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ALONG WITH PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS.
The Alaska statewide average temperature for May was the warmest on record in 91 years of record keeping at 44.9°F, 7.1°F above average. The warmth in Alaska was widespread with several cities were record warm, including Barrow and Juneau.Photo credit above: " .
Photo credit above: "
TODAY: Rain gets steadier and heavier. Flash flood risk by evening. Winds: East 15+ High: 68
THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain, a few embedded T-storms. Flood risk continues. Low: 56
FRIDAY: Damp start, becoming sunny. High: 76
SATURDAY: Lukewarm sun much of the day, thunder late at night. Wake-up: 57. High: 76
SUNDAY: Sticky sun, spotty T-shower. Dew point: 63. Wake-up: 62. High: 74
MONDAY: More sunshine, less humid. Wake-up: 64. High: 81
TUESDAY: Clouds increase, PM T-showers. Wake-up: 62. High: 76
WEDNESDAY: Thundery start, partial clearing. Wake-up: 63. High: 80
* file photo credit above: Bob Israel, RJI Photography.
File photo of noctilucent clouds above courtesy of NASA.
Image credit above: Virginia Department of Transportation.