83 F. average high on July 24.
82 F. high on July 24, 2014.
.23" rain fell at MSP International Friday.
July 25, 2000: An F4 tornado hits the town of Granite Falls. One person is killed and there is 20 million dollars in damage.
July 25, 1915: Frost hits northeastern Minnesota. Source: Twin Cities National Weather Service.
Tell Me A Story
All of us are drowning in information, tweets and posts. 400 channels and nothing's on right? So much data, so little wisdom. "I heard about it - but what does it mean?"
From the first caveman's excited rant about this new thing called "fire" to reading a newspaper or watching TV news to find stories of relevance that resonate with our lives - it's in our DNA to appreciate a good story.
Online or on your smartphone the blur between media become inconsequential, but these digital content centers are still the best source of perspective, context and meaning.
Speaking of context: based on cooling degree data we've spent 10 percent less than average cooling our homes so far this summer. Blast-furnace heat is bubbling and boiling just south of Minnesota. We get an occasional taste but not much more - a trend which should continue into much of August. Historically the hottest days are behind us now, but I expect a handful of 90-degree days into September.
A potentially epic El Nino brewing in the Pacific, maybe the biggest since 1997-98, would tend to keep a mild bias into the fall, winter and spring of 2016. On paper.
But just like every storm is different every El Nino is unique. Computer models help, but only to a point. The future is largely unknowable.
* Image credit above here.
Summer temperature data courtesy of AerisWeather meteorologist D.J. Kayer.
Image credit above: "A comparison of the November 1997 and July 2015 El Niños in the Pacific Ocean west of Peru. Areas of warm water, shown in red, in 1997 contributed to relentless, damaging storms in California that winter. Note: This image has been edited to add a key and to express degrees in Fahrenheit." (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Environmental Visualization Laboratory).
Photo credit above: "Visitors leave as part of a mandatory evacuation, Wednesday, July 22, 2015, near East Glacier Park, Montana." Image: Brenda Ahearn/The Daily Inter Lake via AP/Associated Press.
Photo credit above: "The Canadian flag flutters in the breeze Monday, Sept. 8, 2003, by the lighthouse at Machias Seal Island. The Canadians man the lighthouse on this island claimed by the US and Canada in The Gray Zone waters between the two countries." (Fred J. Field/CP).
SATURDAY: Warm sunshine. Dew point: 65. Winds: SE 5-10. High: 89
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and warm. Low: 72
SUNDAY: Sunny start, stray T-shower late? Winds: Southeast 10. High: 91
MONDAY: Steamy, PM pop-up T-storms. Dew point: 71 Wake-up: 74. Heat index: 95-100F. High: 91
TUESDAY: Uncomfortable. Few storms. Dew point: 74. Feels like 100F+ late. Wake-up: 75. High: 93
WEDNESDAY: Sunny, turning less humid. Dew point: 60. Wake-up: 73. High: 86
THURSDAY: Blue sky, pleasantly warm, slight dip in humidity. Wake-up: 66. High: 87
FRIDAY: Muggy sunshine, late-day thunder. Wake-up: 69. High: 89
July 23 photo credit: Ian Thomas Jansen-Lonnquist/The New York Times.
Photo credit above: "Rear Admiral David Titley tours the USS Slater in Albany, N.Y. April 26, 2012, as part of the United States Navy's 50/50 Program, an outreach effort that features 50 senior Navy leaders in 50 U.S. cities." (Skip Dickstein/Times Union archive)
A New Climate Change Danger-Zone? Elizabeth Kolbert takes a look at the recent fuss over climate scientist James Hansen's latest research on the rate of Antarctic ice and the level of risk posed to coastal cities. Here's an excerpt at The New Yorker: "...In a paper set to appear online this week in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, the modellers, led by James Hansen, the former director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, warn that an increase of two degrees Celsius could still be enough to melt large portions of Antarctica, which, in turn, could result in several metres’ worth of sea-level rise in a matter of decades. What’s important about the paper from a layperson’s perspective—besides the fate of the world’s major coastal cities, many of which would be swamped if the oceans rose that high—is that it shows just how far from resolved, scientifically speaking, the question of danger levels remains. And this has important political implications, though it seems doubtful that politicians will heed them..."
Graphic credit above: Alec Doherty.