August 3, 1898: Storms dump 4.5 inches of rain on Montevideo. Soure: Twin Cities National Weather Service.
I am in big trouble.
I forgot to set my alarm clock and somehow slept thru the entire month of August; waking up on September 4. I missed my father's 85th birthday, the big SAVE golf tournament at TPC in Blaine to benefit suicide awareness on August 10, and the wide array of heart-healthy foods and exotic-people-watching at the Minnesota State Fair.
My 7-Day Outlook calls for narcolepsy.
What the heck happened to August? Climate data indicates average highs drop from 83F on August 1 to 78F by the 31st. It wouldn't be August without the Dog Days, sweaty dew points and obnoxious Back to School Sales. I missed it all.
A brewing Super El Nino may spark some head-scratching weather into the winter months, with a warm bias likely over much of the USA into spring of 2016. No, this early puff of autumn doesn't mean an early fall or a harsh winter is imminent. This still falls under the heading of normal weather variability.
Temperatures trend below average into late next week as we enter a drier pattern now. T-showers are possible by Thursday, again on Monday of next week.
August is prime time for wildfires and tropical storms. The hottest days are behind us, at least on paper. Let's see if Mother Nature plays along.
Floods Swamp Tampa Area. Swarms of heavy thunderstorms sprouting along a temporarily stalled frontal boundary have squeezed out excessive rains on much of Florida for 2-3 weeks, with Tampa bearing the brunt of flash flooding, as reported by USA TODAY; here's an excerpt: "...Heavy rain caused widespread flooding in the Tampa Bay area Monday, closing roads, forcing evacuations and delaying air travel. Up to 1 1/2 feet of rain fell in parts of the Tampa metro area the past 10 days, the National Weather Service said. Measurable rain has fallen for 14 days consecutively in Tampa. By Monday morning, Tampa already exceeded its average August rainfall with more than 8 inches of rain, and it's only Aug. 3, the Weather Channel reported..."
Midwestern Storms: 1 Dead, 16 Injured, Lollapalooza Music Festival Briefly Evacuated. The Weather Channel has video and more details; here's an excerpt: "...One person died and 15 others were transported to local hospitals after strong winds toppled a tent at the Wood Dale Prairie Fest in Wood Dale, Illinois, the Chicago Tribune reported. Among those hurt, at least three were seriously injured, the report added. In a statement released Sunday, Wood Dale Mayor Nunzio Pulice said, "Our thoughts and prayers are with the family of the deceased and we are also praying for all those who were injured or affected by this tragedy..."
Circus Tent Collapses In New Hampshire, Killing Two. As meteorologists this is one of our greatest fears: hundreds or thousands of people outside, at the mercy of severe storms. Where are spectators or fans to go? Back to their vehicles in the parking lot? If there are no significant shelters (preferably below ground, below grade) nearby, if all you have is a tent, or even an open-air stadium, the options for safe shelter are few. The New York Times reports.
Flash Flood Risk Thursday? It's early to making such pronouncements, but NAM guidance hints at a few waves of heavy showers and T-storms rippling along a stalled frontal boundary Thursday and Thursday night, capable of some heavy rainfall amounts across central Minnesota. With any luck Florida will finally dry out.
84 Hour Rainfall Prediction. This is courtesy of NOAA's 12 km NAM model, and it shows the heaviest rains pushing across the Ohio Valley and central Minnesota by Thursday and Thursday night. California remains bone-dry and prone to erratic wildfires. No sign of El Nino-fueled rains kicking in just yet. Source: AerisWeather.
Summer On Hold. It may look and feel a little more like early September than early August out there for the next 10-12 days. No drippy dew points, no extended stretch of 90s, no Dog-Day-babble on the radio or TV. Mornings will be a little on the cool side but afternoons will be very pleasant with dew points mostly in the 50s. The best chance of storms: Thursday, again Monday of next week. Source: Weatherspark.
Graphic image credit above: "California’s accumulated precipitation debt from 2012 to 2014 shown as a percent change from the 17-year average using the TRMM mission’s multi-satellite observations." Credit: Goddard’s Scientific Visualization Studio
Photo credit above: "
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny, closer to average. Wake-up: 60. High: 82
THURSDAY: Few T-showers in the area. Wake-up: 65. High: 78
FRIDAY: Sunny intervals, a drier day. Wake-up: 66. High: 81
SATURDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. Wake-up: 67. High: near 80
SUNDAY: Hazy sun, isolated T-shower. Wake-up: 66. High: 83
MONDAY: Better chance of T-showers. Wake-up: 66. High: 80
Photo credit above: "West Virginia, where this coal-fired power plant is located, and other coal-heavy states face pressure to cut emission as part of a new Obama Administration proposal." Photo by Skip Brown, National Geographic.
Image credit above: "Not so long ago, skeleton staff overwintering at the Ny-Alesund research center could walk on the Arctic town's frozen bay and race their snowmobiles across its surface."