61 F. average high on October 9.
54 F. high on October 9, 2014.
October 10, 1977: A few locations received early snow, including Minneapolis with 2.5 inches, Gaylord with 2 inches, and Jordan with 2 inches of snow. Source: NOAA.
October 10, 1970: Early snowfall was recorded in west central Minnesota. Snow totals ranged from a trace to 4.2 inches in Benson. Other areas included Montevideo with 4 inches, Canby with 3.2 inches, Morris with 2.6 inches, Willmar with 2.5 inches. New London, New Ulm, and Buffalo all recorded 2 inches of snowfall.
October 10, 1949: Bizzare storm brings Hurricane force winds across Minnesota. This was possibly the strongest non-thunderstorm winds seen in Minnesota. Top winds were clocked at 100 mph at Rochester, with a gust of 89 mph at the Twin Cities International Airport. 4 deaths and 81 injuries were reported. Numerous store windows were broken, and large chimneys toppled. The top 10 floors of the Foshay building were evacuated with the tenants feeling seasick from the swaying building.
October 10, 1928: Record high temperatures were set across central Minnesota with high in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
From 80s to a Frost in One Week?
So you're telling me I can rake leaves in my shorts on Sunday? Yep. 80s while you take out the dock or drag the lawn furniture into cold storage. Sunday's record high is 84, set in 1930. We'll come close.
At a recent Edina Rotary talk someone asked if climate change might be a good thing for Minnesota.
"Longer growing season, less severe winters, what's not to like?" Good point. You may be surprised to hear me admit that a slow motion warming trend may, in fact, be a net positive for Minnesota into 2040 or 2050.
Agriculture will face pressure from big swings in rainfall - more whiplash, going from drought to flood - but most models predict ample moisture here. And we'll have something in short supply across the western USA. Water. Neighbors who fled to California or Arizona may think about moving back.
But for most of the planet more weather volatility and warming (rising) seas will be a net negative.
This weekend will feel more like late August. Soak it up, because October returns Monday. The first metro frost is possible in one week, coming 10 days later than average.
Photo credit above: "In this Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2015 file photo, pedestrians walk down Dorchester Road at Sawmill Branch Canal as it begins to wash away due to floodwaters near Summerville, S.C. Residents are concerned that the Ashley river will continue to rise as floodwaters come down from Columbia. South Carolina had problems with crumbling roads and bridges and old drinking water systems and dams long before the historic floods of the past week." (AP Photo/Mic Smith, File).
* Over $1 billion in damage from the Carolina flooding? Details via GreenvilleOnline.
South Carolina Floods a Wake-Up Call for the Future. Here's a clip from a story at NRDC, The National Resources Defense Council: "...We've heard many times this week how these floods are the result of a one thousand year storm (a storm with a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year). But the so-called "one thousand" or "one hundred" year storm of the past is likely to happen more frequently in the future. Flooding from Superstorm Sandy was considered a 500-year flood event, but scientists think similar levels of flooding could occur every two to twenty years due to climate impacts. Climate change slowly tilts the odds in favor of these kinds of extreme events. And the last time South Carolina experienced damages on this scale was not one thousand years ago. It was 26 years ago, when Hurricane Hugo made landfall in September 1989..."
Photo credit above: "The aftermath of the flooding in North Charleston, South Carolina caused by over 15 inches of rainfall resulting from Hurricane Joaquin." Photo by Ryan Johnson and used under Creative Commons license. http://bit.ly/1N1rAES
SUNDAY: Sunny. Near-record warmth. Winds: S 10-15. High: 83
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy, windy and cooler. Winds: NW 15-30. Wake-up: 59. High: 65
TUESDAY: Partly sunny, less wind. Wake-up: 43. High: 62
WEDNESDAY: Lot's of sun, breezy. Wake-up: 50. High: 64
THURSDAY: Showers, turning sharply colder. Wake-up: 41. High: 57 (falling)
FRIDAY: Some sun, frost at night? Wake-up: 41. High: near 50
FACT: Increased human fossil-fuel consumption over the past two centuries has increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Atmospheric CO2 recently surpassed 400 parts per million, the highest level in more than 800,000 years.
FACT: As a result of increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, global surface temperatures have increased by about one degree centigrade since 1880. The 10 warmest years ever recorded—with the exception of 1998—have occurred since 2000. 2014 was the warmest year ever recorded.
Image credit above: "It is a fact, not an opinion, that human consumption of fossil fuels has boosted global temperatures over the last century." Source: NASA, http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/
Photo credit above: " US Coast Guard, CC BY
Pumpkin Lovers Face Slim Pickings, Thanks to Climate Change. No, not the pumpkins? As if coffee and chocolate wasn't bad enough, Scientific American warns that prime pumpkin-growing locations are seeing the impact of climate change and greater weather volatility: "...Weather data appear to support Bakus. Over the past century, Illinois has seen a 10 percent increase in precipitation, along with increases in heavier rain events. Within the past decade, from 2005 to 2012, the state has experienced either very wet conditions or drought, according to Jim Angel, a state climatologist for the Illinois State Water Survey, part of the Prairie Research Institute at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. “We’re fairly certain that’s tied to climate change. The hard part is figuring out the impact of these weather events..."
File photo: FANCY (MARS).
Image credit above: "In 1980, Exxon acquired the Colony Shale Oil Project in Colorado to support the production of synfuels. Two years later, Exxon announced the termination of the project, in part due to low oil prices." (Credit: U.S. National Archives via Wikimedia Commons).