72 F. record high for November 2 in the Twin Cities (1978)
9 F. record low for MSP on November 2.
49 F. average high on November 2.
56 F. high on November 2, 2014.
November 3, 1991: The Great Halloween blizzard ends with a total of 28.4 inches of snow at Twin Cities.
November 3, 1956: Parts of central Minnesota had record high low temperatures in the upper forties to the lower fifties. Minneapolis, Farmington, Chaska, and Gaylord all had high temperatures of 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
November 3, 1915: Severe thunderstorm in Chatfield, MN. One person killed by lightning.
More September than November
70F Next 2 Days?
"So dull and dark are the November days. The lazy mist high up the evening curled, And now the 'morn quite hides in smoke and haze; The place we occupy seems all the world" wrote John Clare.
I'm reading John's poetry on my smart phone from the tee box on the par-four fifth hole of my favorite golf course, wishing I could golf (well).
You see, it's going to be 70 degrees today. Blue sky, a soft, buttery breeze from the southeast. A few boats out on the lake. Huh? More September than November.
Winter is coming but Mother Nature is ignoring the memo. Computer models hint at 50s into the third week of November with occasional swipes of rain. We'll see a cold frontal passage later this week, another feeble push of Canadian air late next week. By the time it's cold enough for slush deep moisture will be long gone.
The pattern favors stormy weather in New England and the Pacific Northwest, a mild bubble of high pressure persisting over the nation's midsection.
Enjoy the warm front. Jackets return by late week, but no coats, no snow boots, shovels or ice scrapers required just yet.
Here's more background from Climate Nexus:
• Sea surface temperatures along the path of Cyclone Chapala are at record levels.
• Climate projections show a substantial 46 percent increase in cyclone frequency over the Arabian Sea by the end of the century.
• Climate change loads hurricanes with additional moisture, intensifying rainfall and raising the risk of flooding.
• There is strong evidence that climate change increases the frequency of the most intense cyclones, the winds of which incur exponentially greater damage compared to lesser cyclones.
• Due to the combined impact of an extreme El Niño and climate change, 2015 has been a record year for tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere.
Photo credit above: "The WB-57."
Residents Survey Damage after "Historic" Hits San Marcos for Third Time. Three "historic" floods in the span of 2 years? Here's a clip from a video and story at Time Warner Cable News in Austin, Texas: "The word "historic" is being used all too often to describe floods from Wimberley to San Marcos to Onion Creek. That was the case two years ago. So was the flood this past Memorial Day. Now that term is being used once again. Our Stef Manisero takes us to San Marcos as residents there weather yet another historic bout with Mother Nature. Families in San Marcos spent Saturday cleaning up their flood-damaged homes. Residents sifted through their belongings, determining which things could be saved, and which things were just too wet..."
Photo credit above: "Mike Stoner gets out of his flooded car, Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 in San Marcos, Texas. A fast-moving storm packing heavy rain and destructive winds overwhelmed rivers and prompted evacuations Friday in the same area of Central Texas that saw devastating spring floods." (Rodolfo Gonzalez/Austin American-Statesman via AP.
Image credit above: " " Emily Michot firstname.lastname@example.org
TODAY: What November? Mild sunshine, breezy. Winds: SE 10-15. High: near 70
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, unseasonably mild. Low: 55
WEDNESDAY: I feel a sick day coming on. Lukewarm sunshine. Winds: S 10-20. High: 72
THURSDAY: Cooling off, periods of rain likely. Wake-up: 57. High: 59 (quickly falling thru the 50s)
FRIDAY: More clouds than sun, brisk. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 42. High: 48
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, fresh breeze. Winds: W 8-13. Wake-up: 35. High: 45
SUNDAY: Blue sky, above average temperatures. Winds: S 10-20. Wake-up: 33. High: 54
MONDAY: Intervals of sun, milder than average. Wake-up: 41. High: 56
Image credit above: "A new NASA study says that Antarctica is overall accumulating ice. Still, areas of the continent, like the Antarctic Peninsula photographed above, have increased their mass loss in the last decades." Credits: NASA's Operation IceBridge.
* The Christian Science Monitor has more on what's happening in Antarctica.
Graphic credit: Figure 1: The global temperature record (smoothed) with different combinations of land and ocean adjustments.
At Sea Level, Climate Change in Georgia is More Than Theoretical. This level of flooding with no storm nearby? Blame rising sea levels and a king tide. Here's an excerpt of an Op-Ed at ajc.com: "...Forty-eight hours after the mayor returned, Tybee Island made a little history. On Tuesday morning, a 10.47-foot high tide swamped much of the island and U.S. 80, the only road that links 3,000 residents to Savannah and the mainland. It was the third-highest tide on record. But that doesn’t really tell the story. Those higher tides in 1940 and 1947 were produced by surges from hurricanes. No such storms struck the Georgia coast last week. We would have noticed. The king tides on Tuesday and Wednesday were the product of the moon making a closer-than-usual pass, a stiff wind, and rising sea levels. That last condition is the result of climate change. Heated water expands and ice caps melt. Volume increases..."
Photo credit above: "U.S. 80 on Tuesday, between Tybee Island and the mainland." Photo courtesy of Sean R. Compton
Image credit above: "Republican Presidential candidate, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks at the Iowa GOP's Growth and Opportunity Party at the Iowa state fair grounds in Des Moines, Iowa, Saturday, Oct. 31, 2015." (AP Photo/Nati Harnik).
Image credit above:"Sponsored content produced by the L.A. Times, via Powering California."
Climate Change is Forcing People to Migrate, And The World Doesn't Have a Plan to Handle It. Grist has the story; here's the intro: "How should governments treat people who are forced to migrate due to climate change? That question is on the working agenda for the upcoming Paris climate talks, at least sort of — and that’s a good thing. As it stands, there’s no clear definition of what, exactly, a forced climate migrant is; nor is there an international legal framework to deal with the mass movement of people (and, sooner than you might think, entire nations) displaced because of global warming. Paris could go a long way toward further recognizing the phenomenon, as well as helping to shape how to deal with it. If it doesn’t, some of the world’s most vulnerable people will remain in a bizarre legal and political limbo..."
Photo credit above: "Kiribati looks like a tough place to leave -- but some of its citizens driven from their homeland by rising seas are telling New Zealand that they had no choice." KevGuy4101
Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2015-11-liberals-mitigate-climate.html#jCp
Would you like to explore where your faith intersections with weather and climate change? On Saturday, November 7th at 9a in Prior Lake, Shepherd of the Lake Lutheran Church is hosting a Creation Care event that will examine the intersection of faith, climate change and weather. The event is free. Childcare is provided for those that RSVP. Presenters include faith leaders from the Lutheran, Methodist, MCC and Catholic church, Dr. John Abraham (climate scientist from the University of St. Thomas) and me. RSVP at: http://www.sollc.org/creationcare.