69 F. average high on May 16.
67 F. high at KMSP on May 16, 2015.
May 17, 1915: Old man winter's last hurrah dumps 5 inches of snow along the western shore of Lake Superior.
One of the Best Weather Weeks of 2016?
"I'm not an economist and we all know economists were created to make weather forecasters look good" quipped Rupert Murdoch. Add stock brokers and the pointy-headed political pundits who failed to forecast the meteoric rise of Bernie and The Donald.
Predicting the future is not for the faint of heart. Frankly, I prefer to tell people what already happened. Much safer.
TV meteorologists pointing to their magical green-screens may be at a rare (and welcome) loss for words this week; arguably one of the best of 2016. An atmospheric holding pattern will park a contented bubble of high pressure above the Midwest, forcing big storms south of Minnesota, keeping us sunny and balmy into next weekend.
Last week was the definition of cool, wet and foul. This week will be a rush of atmospheric euphoria. Expect 70s by Wednesday; we could see some low 80s in our zip code by Sunday and Monday. Have an extra comp day? Take it on Friday. I'll write you a note.
Models hint at a stickier, stormier pattern returning next week.
But forget next week. Put the weather-blinders on. Try to enjoy the here and now!
Map credit: "Sea surface temperature anomalies on May 12, 2016." Image: NOAA.
Image credit above: "Doppler radar image of the supercell thunderstorm that contained a large EF3 cyclonic tornado (the Sulphur tornado) and a weaker EF1 anticyclonic tornado (the Roff tornado). The reflectivity image (top, with reds indicating heavy precipitation) shows the classic hook echo in connection with the EF3 tornado (labeled in the velocity image at bottom). The anticyclonic tornado (labeled in the bottom image) is firmly embedded in the heavy rain core along the storm’s forward flank, as shown in the top image. Image credit: Courtesy Roger Edwards and his Weather or Not blog."
After Fort McMurray, Where Are The World's Most Fire-Prone Cities? Here's a clip from an article at The Guardian: "...There’s no definitive list of the world’s most fire-prone cities, mostly because of the many and often compounding factors that can increase the likelihood of fires. As well as the growing vulnerability caused by climate change and poor urban management, other factors range from the prevalence of dry vegetation and use of flammable building materials to widespread open-flame cooking and, all too frequently, arson. But there is one relatively straightforward indicator of fire risk that can be tracked and mapped. It’s what researchers and foresters call the wildland-urban interface: areas where naturally fire-prone wilderness areas such as forests and shrublands are close to, or even intermingled with, housing developments, neighbourhoods or even – as in the case of Fort McMurray – entire cities..."
Photo credit: "A mobile phone image of the wildfire raging through the Canadian city of Fort McMurray on 3 May." Photograph: Twitter.com/Jerome Garot/EPA.
Lloyd's of London Urges U.S. Government To Stop Insuring Floods. Financial Times ran an article that made me do a double-take; here's an excerpt: "Lloyd’s of London insurers have called on the US government to stop providing cover for flood damage, arguing that state support has become unsustainable and encourages irresponsible housebuilding. The national flood insurance programme has 5.2m policyholders, takes in about $3.4bn in premiums a year and covers $1.3tn worth of assets. But it has racked up debt of $23bn, mainly because of the costs from disasters such as Hurricane Katrina and Superstorm Sandy..." (File photo: NOAA).
Photo credit: "
TODAY: Sunny, spectacular. Winds: NE 5-10. High: 65
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear and cool. Low: 46
WEDNESDAY: Postcard-perfect. Outdoor lunch? Winds: SW 3-8. High: 70
THURSDAY: Blue sky, a bit milder. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: 50. High: 73
FRIDAY: Partly sunny, no complaints. Winds: SE 10-15. Wake-up: 52. High: 74
SATURDAY: Perfect day for the lake or pool. Winds: SE 8-13. Wake-up: 55. High: 76
SUNDAY: Sunny, breezy, more humid. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 59. High: 81
MONDAY: Sticky sun, T-storms at night. Winds: S 10-20+ Wake-up: 60. High: 82
Global Warming Worsens With Record Temps, Widespread Coral Bleaching. Hey, what's on TV tonight? Better yet let me call up my Facebook feed and distract myself beyond recognition. Here's a clip from USA TODAY: "...In the planet's Northern Hemisphere, where most of the world's population lives and burns fossil fuels, a benchmark reading from the Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii reached a monthly average of 407.42 parts per million in April. In the slightly cleaner Southern Hemisphere, readings from an Australian measuring station surpassed 400 parts per million last week, according to Australian scientists. The rate of 400 parts per million is significant because the planet hasn't seen that much carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for millions of years. "This is the new normal. This isn't going away," said Pieter Tans, chief greenhouse gas scientist for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration..."
Graphic credit: "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). As of May 16, 2016.
Ice Caps Melt, Prehistoric Virus Escapes. No, It's Not a Movie. We don't know what we don't know. Here's an excerpt from Huffington Post: "A couple of months ago I talked about the connection between global warming and the Zika virus. Today I would like to discuss another interesting side effect we might observe in the next decades thanks to global warming. The ice caps will melt. Big deal, we already knew that. But have you ever thought of the stuff trapped in that ice that’s going to thaw? What if some of that stuff isn’t really dead, just dormant, waiting to come back? Sounds like fiction, but it’s not..."
Photo credit: University of Washington.
Photo credit: "Food supplements for Asthma." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XAad9rc2xCk)
Photo credit: " ERIC THAYER.
Photo credit: "U.S. Representative Kevin Cramer (R-ND) talks at the public launch of the U.S. Agriculture Coalition for Cuba while at the National Press Club in Washington, January 8, 2015." REUTERS/Larry Downing/File photo.
Graphic credit: "Global mean surface temperature for El Nino years". Data source: GISS NASA.