Sunday, July 24, 2016

A Touch Warmer Monday - Storms Return By Mid-Week

Had to include this picture in the blog of four ducks (Psyducks?) I took out at Lake George in St. Cloud early in the day on Sunday.
90 Degree Day Check
After our stretch of heat over the past week, I thought it would be a good time to take a look at the number of 90 degree days that certain cities have seen across the state. Here in the Twin Cities we added three days to the tracker over the past week, bringing our yearly number to 10 and pretty well on par for average for the entire year. St. Cloud added two days bringing their total up to four. Meanwhile, Duluth saw one 90 degree day last week (Friday), bringing their total above average for the year.
One Inch Rain Days This Year
Meanwhile, after heavy rain moved through the region on Saturday, I thought it would also be a good time to pull out the days with 1"+ rainfall tracker. Duluth and St. Cloud have both seen four days so far this year with over an inch of rain - the largest of which both occurred July 11. Meanwhile, the Twin Cities has seen three days with 1"+ of rain so far this year, the heaviest one occurring last Saturday.
A Welcome Break from the Heat Wave This Week
By Paul Douglas
Growing up I played cello and bass guitar; I also learned how to write music. I'm composing a "Sonata for Chainsaws and Sump Pumps" in honor of Minnesota's crazy summer. 100-mph winds in Duluth; another 1 in 1,000 year flood from the Brainerd Lakes to northwest Wisconsin. Some towns have been drenched with over 2 month's worth of rain in the last 2 weeks.
With all the bad news I'm afraid to turn on CNN. With the recent treadmill of flooding thunderstorms I'm afraid to turn on the Doppler. No wonder we're all freaked out.
Mother Nature shows her benevolent side today as a bubble of high pressure drifts overhead. That should be good for blue sky and mid-80s with a dew point near 60F. Downright tolerable. A weak wave of low pressure kicks up a few T-showers Tuesday night into Thursday, but skies should clear Friday with comfortable upper 70s by late week. The weekend looks fine with low 80s and a curious absence of monsoon rains. Models bring hotter air into town next week; even a run of 90s by the second week of August. Note to self: it's going to be a long, hot, sweaty summer.
Extended Forecast for Minneapolis
MONDAY: Warm sunshine. High 87. Low 68. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NW 5-10 mph.
TUESDAY: Sticky sun, nighttime T-storm. High 88. Low 70. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SW 8-13 mph.
WEDNESDAY: More numerous showers, T-storms. High 83. Low 68. Chance of precipitation 60%. Wind SW 8-13 mph.
THURSDAY: Leftover showers, cooler breeze. High 78. Low 64. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wind NE 8-13 mph.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny, fairly comfortable. High 80. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind NW 10-15 mph.
SATURDAY: Bright sun, light winds. Soak it up. High 81. Low 64. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind E 5-10 mph.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny, a bit warmer. High 84. Low 68. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind S 10-20 mph.
This Day in Weather History
July 25th
2000: An F4 tornado hits the town of Granite Falls. One person is killed and there is 20 million dollars in damage.
1915: Frost hits northeastern Minnesota.
Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
July 25th
Average High: 83F (Record: 99F set in 1999)
Average Low: 64F (Record: 50F set in 1891)
Average Precipitation: 0.13" (Record: 2.07" set in 1878)
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
July 25th
Sunrise: 5:51 AM
Sunset: 8:47 PM
*Length Of Day: 14 hours, 55 minutes and 49 seconds
*Daylight Lost Since Yesterday: ~2 mins & 8 secs
*Next Sunrise That Is Before 6 AM: August 3rd (6:01 AM)
*Next Sunset That Is Before 8:30 PM: August 8th (8:29 PM)
Monday And Beyond Minnesota Weather Outlook
Monday temperatures will be a few degrees warmer versus Sunday across the Twin Cities, reaching the upper 80s.
NAM 4km forecast precipitation and cloud cover for 1 PM Monday.
Another nice day is expected across the state of Minnesota Monday with mainly sunny skies. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible across northern Minnesota Monday night.
Rainfall with those storms across northern Minnesota is expected to be less than a half an inch Monday night.
Looking at the temperature trend, we continue to see that little cool down late this week across the Twin Cities, but the potential looms for another warm up next week.
Monday National Forecast Outlook
Scattered storms will be possible across a good portion of the nation Monday. The strongest are expected to be from the Northeast into the Ohio Valley, and in parts of the northern/central Plains. In those areas, storms could be capable of hail and wind.
Highs Monday will continue to climb across parts of the nation, with some areas of the Northeast potentially approaching records. The record in Philadelphia for the 25th is 96, and the forecast is calling for a high around 98. Highs will also be quite warm out west, with parts of Washington state reaching the mid 90s. The coolest weather across the nation will be along the Pacific coast, with highs only in the 60s and 70s.
Rain will be heaviest from the Northeast, through the Ohio Valley and into the south. Rainfall totals in these areas could be on the order of at least 1 inch in spots.
Washington D.C. 100 Degree Days
While 100 degrees has been hit before in Washington, D.C., it is actually not all that common. In fact, the last 100 degree day was back in 2012. Here's more from the Capital Weather Gang: "It’s been a while since Washington last hit 100 degrees. After amassing an incredible 17 days with high temperatures of at least 100 from 2010 to 2012, the city has witnessed zero since.  Hitting 100 degrees in Washington is less common than you might think.  That sweltering three-year stretch (from 2010 to 2012) was basically unheard of in the record prior. We often go a few years between 100-degree readings."
Thanks for checking in and have a great Monday! Don't forget you can follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!
-D.J. Kayser

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