85 F. high in the Twin Cities Thursday.
82 F. average high on August 4.
82 F. high on August 4, 2015.
August 5, 1904: A Detroit Lakes woman is hit by lightning. It melts her hairpins and the steel in her corset, but does not kill her.
An Order of Amazing Weekend Weather - To Go
"Hi, I'd like a Weather Happy Meal. Blue Sky, over easy. A side of Low Humidity, washed down with a Cool Breeze. And a Big Gulp of Good Sleeping Weather please?"
No problem. Please pull forward.
Imagine if we could make weather to order. Human hubris has no limits, it seems. Ever since the first washed-out campfire at the local cave we've tried to hack the weather. Cloud-seeding can squeeze more snow and rain out of some clouds, but this is still more hand-waving than science. That said, 52 nations, including the USA, have weather modification programs.
Tinkering with the sky - what can possibly go wrong?
Personally I'd like to enjoy the warmth, without snarling thunderstorms trying to blow me off the map. We get a break into Monday as a cooler, cleaner bubble of high pressure pushes out of Canada. Expect highs from 78-82F with comfortable dew points in the 50s into Sunday.
80s return next week with a dash of humidity, but the core of antiperspirant heat stays south of Minnesota the next 2-3 weeks. Minor heat here - with frequent T-storms.
Drought optional this year.
* Image credit here.
Tracking Standing Water. The animation above shows the condition of area highways as a line of strong to severe T-storms pushed across the state Thursday morning. The bright red/purple highlights areas of extreme rainfall rates, standing water and likely hydroplaning as derived by our internal models. Source: Aeris Enterprise.
Wet, Warm and Wild. Here's an excerpt from the AerisWeather Blog: "A total of 22 locations saw a top ten wettest July on record, mainly across the mid-section of the country. A few location up in the Northwest, however, did break into the top ten as well. Some of these top ten locations included:
- Wichita, KS (9.67″)
- Columbia, MO (10.91″)
- Bismarck, ND (5.10″)
- New York-JFK Airport (6.06″)
- Glasgow, MT (3.42″)
"...Electric costs were high across parts of the nation during the month of July as temperatures reached record levels in spots. In total, twelve long-term climate locations across the South and Southeast saw their warmest Julys on record. This included places such as:
- Columbia, SC (average temperature: 87.2)
- Tampa, FL (average temperature: 84.9)
- El Paso, TX (average temperature: 88.7)
- Charleston, SC (average temperature: 86.2 – previous warmest month ever: 86.1 in July 1986)
- West Palm Beach, FL (average temperature: 86.2 – previous warmest month ever: 85.7 in July 2011)
- Midland, TX (average temperature: 88.2 – previous warmest month ever: 88.0 in June 2011)..."
* More on FEMA's mobile app here.
Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasts. Models do a pretty good job with hurricane track, but intensity is much more difficult to predict. NASA is about to launch 8 new CYGNSS "micro-satellites" that may help; here's an excerpt: "Hurricane track forecast accuracy has improved since 1990, but there has been little improvement in intensity forecast accuracy. A new NASA mission using eight micro-satellites will make accurate measurements of ocean surface winds in and near the eye of the storm throughout the lifecycle of tropical cyclones, typhoons & hurricanes. The Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) will probe the inner core of hurricanes to learn about their rapid intensification. The mission will launch on Nov. 21, 2016, from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida, on a Pegasus XL rocket. The University of Michigan is developing CYGNSS..." (Image credit: NASA).
How Soviet and American Hurricane Fliers Set Aside Cold War Politics for Science. Jack Williams has a fascinating story at Capital Weather Gang; here's a clip that made me do a double-take: "...Unknown to the United States before Gilbert, Russian airplanes had flown out of Cuba into Hurricane Emily in 1987, Hurricane Floyd and Tropical Storm Chris the month before Gilbert. After Gilbert in 1988, the Russians flew into Hurricanes Gabrielle and Hugo, Tropical Storm Iris and Hurricane Jerry in 1989. In 1990, they flew into Hurricane Klaus and Tropical Storm Marco. The Russians also flew into several Pacific Ocean typhoons out of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam (commonly called North Vietnam in the United States) from 1984 until 1990. They didn’t risk conflicts with U.S. hurricane hunters; the United States had ended typhoon flights in 1987..."
Image credit: "
Is The Heat Index Real? The short answer is yes. More context from Mental Floss: "...The heat index is the temperature it feels like to your body when you factor in both the actual air temperature and the amount of moisture in the air. If the heat index is 103°F, that means that the combination of heat and humidity has a similar physical impact on your body as it would if the actual air temperature were 103°F. Even though it’s tempting to think of the heat index as an exaggerated temperature that only exists to make the heat sound worse than it really is, scientists came up with the measurements after decades of medical and meteorological research devoted to studying the impact of heat and humidity on the human body. It’s the real deal..."
Image credit: "Improved resolution of newly announced NOAA weather forecast model." Courtesy of NOAA.
Photo credit: "African countries like Uganda are among the world's most ethnically diverse, and they are also vulnerable to climate change. New findings suggest peace will be harder to achieve and maintain in places like Uganda as the climate changes." Credit: AMISOM Public Information/Flickr
Our Consumption of Earth's Natural Resources Has More Than Tripled in 40 Years. What would sustainable markets, sustainable capitalism look like? Huffington Post has the details: "Limestone and steel for our homes, wheat and vegetables for our dinner, fossil fuels for our industries: we rely heavily on our planet’s natural resources to survive. Yet we’re using up these resources at such an unsustainable pace that we may be “irreversibly” depleting some of them ― and critically damaging our Earth in the process, according to a new United Nations report. The report from the International Resource Panel, part of the UN Environment Program, said extraction of primary materials has more than tripled in 40 years. Rising consumption driven by a rapidly growing middle class is fueling the rate..." (Image credit: NASA).
TODAY: Comfortable sunshine! Winds: NW 10-15. High: near 80
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear and pleasant. Low: 61
SATURDAY: Plenty of sun, no complaints. Winds: NW 8-13. High: 81
SUNDAY: Blue sky, a little more humidity. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: 63. High: 83
MONDAY: Partly sunny and muggy. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 64. High: 84
TUESDAY: Some sun, risk of bumping into a T-storm. Winds: SW 5-10. Wake-up: 68. High: 86
WEDNESDAY: Lot's of sun, bordering on hot again. Winds: E 8-13. Wake-up: 70. High: near 90
THURSDAY: T-storms, locally heavy rain? Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 71. High: 82
Photo credit: "
U.S. Signed Pact To Keep Exxon Climate Probe Confidential. Reuters has more details: "A pact that 15 U.S. states signed to jointly investigate Exxon Mobil Corp for allegedly misleading the public about climate change sought to keep prosecutors' deliberations confidential and was broadly written so they could probe other fossil fuel companies. The "Climate Change Coalition Common Interest Agreement" was signed by state attorneys general in May, two months after they held a press conference to say they would go after Exxon, the world's largest publicly-traded oil and gas company, and possibly other companies. The signed agreement has not been made public until now, and Reuters reviewed a copy of it on Thursday..."
Photo credit: "A view of the Exxon Mobil refinery in Baytown, Texas - September 15, 2008." Reuters/Jessica Rinaldi.
Photo credit: "Waterfront properties on Lake Union in Seattle." (Photo via Shutterstock).
* Download State of the Climate in 2015 from the American Meteorological Society.
Image credit: "Ocean heat content in 2015 and trends over time." Credit: NOAA
Photo credit: "Park visitors eating dinner at Cracker Lake, a glacial-fed lake in Glacier National Park's backcountry." Credit: Jacob Frank/National Park Service.