September 28, 1895: A 'furious wind' at Pleasant Mound in Blue Earth County blows down grain stacks and corn shocks.
One Word to Describe 2016's Weather: "Mega"
Live long enough and you'll see almost everything. Even 2 "mega rains" in one year. A mega-rain is defined as 6 inches of rain over at least 1,000 square miles, with a core of 8 inches. "This is the first time we've seen 2 mega rains in 1 year" said Pete Boulay at the State Climate Office.
Boulay adds that the storm that unleashed over 10 inches on Waseca last week didn't qualify as "mega", because it only had 300-500 square miles of 6-inch rains. Welcome to what may become Minnesota's wettest year on record, statewide.
Mother Nature must be a golf fan. Expect cool sun much of today as chilly winds ease up. Talk about serendipity: this year's Ryder Cup (have you heard about this?) falls on some of the best weather of the entire year. A weak storm stalls over Michigan, but a bubble of high pressure overhead treats us to lukewarm sun & a cool breeze Thursday into Monday morning. Somehow we were able to squeeze a world-class golfing event between floods this year.
NOAA's GFS run brings frosty air into the metro in 2 weeks. Will mega-rains give way to mega-snows?
"We have determined that the automated tipping bucket at the Waseca Airport is in error, especially the reading of 4 inches in one hour. The U of M Waseca manual gauge is about 1/2 mile away and has readings more representative of the area and what was seen on radar. The official gauge at the U of M Waseca site was 2.52 for the 21st and 7.64 inches on the 22nd for two-day total of 10.16 inches.
This event was not classified as a "mega" rain event because it only had about 300-500 square miles of six inches or more.
We did have two mega-rains in Minnesota for 2016.
July 11-12 http://www.dnr.state.mn.us/
and August 10-11 http://images.dnr.state.mn.us/
Yes, this is the first time we have seen two "mega" rains in one year, there may have been other "mega" rains before 1973 that we have not been able to document. The two events from 1866 and 1867 likely exceeded the "mega" rains that we saw this year."
Weather Model Fantasies, Version 1.0. Here is the 12z ECMWF solution for late next week, showing a major hurricane approaching south Florida. Wouldn't it be ironic if this verified and Big Weather became the "October Surprise"? I think the probability of a direct strike on Miami is small, but not zero. Map: WSI.
Weather Model Fantasies, Version 1.1. Not to be outdone by the European, NOAA's GFS simulation brings a major hurricane into the Mid Atlantic and New York City area. No, I don't believe this solution either, but I'm showing you this (now) to give you some sense of how problematic it is to look at weather models and make a credible forecast. During Sandy in 2012 the ECMWF gave about 8 days lead time that a strong tropical system would hook into New Jersey, 2-3 days more lead time than NOAA's models. But no model is perfect; we learned that (again) with Hermine, when even the ECMWF failed. We'll look at multiple models in the coming days to see if this is a fluke or a real trend. I wouldn't get too excited yet.
The group's ring laser was able to "clearly show the frequency spectrum of the infrasound," he said. Specifically, they were able to detect infrasound from tornadoes 30 minutes before the tornado funnel was on the ground. The group also determined that infrasound from a tornado can travel 1,000 kilometers—which confirms earlier studies by NOAA.
Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2016-09-high-tech-future-early-hurricanes-tornados.html#jCp
THURSDAY: Bright sun, a flawless sky. Winds: NE 7-12. High: 67
FRIDAY: Lukewarm sun, still postcard-perfect. Winds: NE 7-12. Wake-up: 48. High: 71
SATURDAY: Sunny start, patchy PM clouds. Winds: NE 7-12. Wake-up: 51. High: 68
SUNDAY: Partly sunny, extra-fine fall weather. Winds: E 5-10. Wake-up: 52. High: 69
MONDAY: Milder breeze as clouds increase, showers at night. Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 55: High: 73
TUESDAY: Soggy again, showers and heavy T-storms. Winds: S 10-20. Wake-up: 61. High: 68