


And suddenly the wild, wicked winds of winter are in our rear-view mirror. At least for the foreseeable future - which is 15 to 20 days, give or take. How did this happen? We shovel our way through 13" of snow during the first 2 weeks of February, slapped around by sloppy southern storms and a family of windchill-stinging clippers. Then the sun comes out (and stays out) for the better part of 3 weeks, high pressure camped overhead, unusually light winds whipping up day after (endless, magnificent) day of blue skies, tinged with the faint whiff of smog. That's right, we're still under an air pollution health advisory, although a stronger weekend breeze coupled with precipitation should ease our stagnant air within 24-36 hours a bit. Let me get this straight: enough snow to shovel and plow from central Texas to the suburbs of Atlanta, 4 FEET of snow in some of New York's suburbs in February alone, and we're dealing with air pollution? Strange, but true. But wait, there's more! In the 80s I distinctly remember being lectured on the snowy vicissitudes of March, then the snowiest month of the year in Minnesota. I distinctly remember hushed whispers, talk of the dreaded "Tournament Storms". Beware, the meteorological ides of March...


It's official: winter has been neutered, at least until further notice. Subzero weather? Still possible, but the odds roughly equivalent to the chance of yours truly spontaneously grow new hair. Doubtful. The sun is as high in the sky as it was in early October, daylight increasing by nearly 2 minutes/day. The more snow that melts, the more of the sun's energy can go into heating up the air instead of melting the dirty, stubbly glacier in your yard. It's a feedback cycle, and it bodes well for spring-weather-lovers. Daytime highs consistently reach 40 through much of next week, nights dipping below freezing every night insuring that potholes will expand into pot-craters by month's end. Now there's something to look forward to.

I could build a sand castle with the grit in my garage - anxious to think ahead. Spring break. Tax time. Forget tax time, sorry to bring that up. Twins Opener. Fishing Opener. Get the dock in. Open up the cabin. The next few weeks will fly by, so let me be the first to congratulate you on surviving a ho-hum, fairly average winter of '09-10. Looking back it wasn't really all that tough; we're averaging warmer than average, a few inches of snow less than normal to date. So far: 40.9" - but keep in mind that average March snowfall is close to 10". I don't see any accumulating snow for the Twin Cities looking out through mid March, in fact the GFS model brings a chance of moderate/heavy rain into town the middle of March, highs in the low, even some mid 40s - consistently - through the middle of the month. More cold fronts? Yes, but the potential for sustained (nanook) weather, highs in the teens/20s with nights dipping below zero? I don't see it. I think we've turned a very big corner. El Nino may be to thank for taking the edge off our late winter weather.
It's a little premature to be babbling about spring fever, but I honestly can't help myself, and chances are you can't either. It's programmed into our DNA. We exhale at 30 F, celebrate 40, 50 is cause to hug a complete stranger, and God help us all if the mercury spikes to 70 anytime soon. All bets are off if that happens (especially along Minnesota's streams and rivers). For many valid, logical reasons I'm hoping for a nice, gradual, reasonable thaw.
Weather Stories

"Monster Wave." Click here to see video of the incredible rogue wave (25-30 feet high?) that hit a cruise ship in the Mediterranean Sea - unexpectedly I might add. At least two people on the cruise ship were killed with the wave crashed through the ship's windows, possibly crushed by furniture whipped up by the churning water.

"Undersea arctic methane could wreak havoc on climate". Click here for a bizarre story about what's lurking deep beneath the sea - methane is 17 times more potent than carbon dioxide - this may have some implications in the ongoing climate puzzle.
"Glacier melting a key to tracking climate change". An interesting story from Reuters here.
Paul's Conservation MN Outlook for the Twin Cities, and all of Minnesota
Today: Fading sun, breezy, still very pleasant for early March. Winds: SE 10-15. High: 43
Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low: 26
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, rain late in the day and at night, possibly mixed with wet snow. High: near 40
Sunday: Ice/slushy start outside of the metro, lingering clouds, drizzle? High: 41
Monday: Becoming partly sunny, a brighter day. High: 42
Tuesday: Plenty of sun, still above average. High: 41
Wednesday: Sun giving way to increasing clouds. High: 42
Thursday: Another chance of rain. High: 43
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