Saturday, July 31, 2010

Growing Thunder Potential

Todd's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota

Sunday: Morning sun with some afternoon storms possible. High: 86

Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, some strong? Low: 69

Monday: Slight chance of thunder and lingering rain showers. High: 87

Tuesday: Looking brighter, better and not as humid. High: 85

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and comfortable. High: Near 85

Thursday: Sun & Cloud mix with more humidity. High: 84

Friday: Chance of thunder grows late day. High: 83

Saturday: Unsettled. Warmer and more humid. High: 85


Sunday Storms Possible

I heard a number of different adjectives, explanations and expletives used to describe yesterday's weather. Stubborn AM clouds brought out the worst of moods, but the PM sunshine and mild weather settled all cloudy concerns. It took a while, but we managed a pretty decent Saturday. No complaints. Good news, we managed a pretty decent Sunday too, but some late day storms may chase you indoors for a short time, especially in western Minnesota. No all day rains are expected, so you should get in most of your play time at the lake and most of that 'hone do' list done around the house.

So long to the month of July. We are now two thirds of the way through meteorological summer (June and July) and stand slightly above normal in the temperature department and just under an inch above normal in the precipitation department for the season. Back to school items are now showing up in stores near you, flowers are abundant, but showing signs of summer stress and thunder icons are becoming the norm on seven day forecasts. Ahh, summer. Keep it coming! August be good to us, please. We deserve it. Welcome to National Golf Month and Romance Awareness Month, no joke. Enjoy and have a good Sunday - Todd Nelson


Sunday Storm Potential - Storm Prediction Center

The Storm Prediction Center has parts of Minnesota under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather for Sunday.



Timing Sunday Storms

The image below is from the 4km WRF - a high resolution weather model that does a fair job at placing and timing storms... here's what it's saying for Sunday at 7pm:


It actually has storms developing around 1pm through central Minnesota, but becoming more widespread in the late afternoon/early evening hours, some of which could be strong to severe.

If you'd like to see the latest high resolution model run yourself, check the links below - note that when you go to the links below, you will be redirected to the NCEP site, which has a number of blue links on the left... click on blue links to see the selected time periods. Take a chance, check it out! Maybe you'll find it interesting or useful. Go nuts!

00Z Run - 7pm (Not available until around 11pm):
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/cent4km/conus/00/

12Z Run - 7am (Not available until around 11am):
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/cent4km/conus/12/

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