26.8" Snowfall as of January 28, 2010.
11" Snow on the ground at MSP.
7 F. High temperature on January 28, 2010.
23 F. Normal high on January 28.
12.3" Snowfall so far this month in the Twin Cities (which is average for January). Chances are we'll wind up with closer to 15 or 16" of snow this month, factoring in Monday's predicted snowfall.
Weather Highlights: A cooling trend over the weekend (Saturday looks like the better day for outdoor fun, highs well up into the 20s). A clipper may brush the MSP metro area with a few inches (2-5+") Sunday night into Monday. Commutes on Monday will be much slower than usual, a potential for compacted snow and ice as air temperatures drop through the teens into single digits by Monday night. Next week will be colder than average, at least 3-4 nights dipping below zero - but not quite as cold as last week. That said, it will probably be one of the 3 coldest weeks of the winter. Temperatures rebound late next week, a chance of another thaw by next Sunday, Feb. 5.
Monday Mess? We haven't seen a significant snowfall since January 13-14, when 4.4" fell over 2 days. In all probability Monday's snowfall will be at least 2-3", with an outside chance of 6" close to home. My strong hunch: Monday will be the slowest, iciest drive of the entire week. This (NAM) prediction shows accumulated snow from 1 pm to 7 pm Monday.
"It looks more and more likely as each passing day comes by, and each puff of snow falls down, that spring flooding will be a MAJOR issue across much of the upper Midwest. Along the Red River in the Fargo and Grand Forks areas they could once again see near-record crest territory this spring. Here in southern MN, we won’t miss out either, with major flooding possible along the Mississippi, South Crow, and Minnesota Rivers (as well as others) as you can see in the chart above (more places and percentages can be found by going to the National Weather Service). We want to pay attention to the STC area though, and what might happen. First, the chances of flooding:"
For the Sauk River at St. Cloud…
- There is a 82% chance of minor flooding (a crest over 6′)
- There is a 32% chance of moderate flooding (a crest over 7′)
- There is a 4% chance of major flooding (a crest over 9′)
Friday Stats. The mercury reached 30 in the Twin Cities, Eden Prairie and Crystal, a balmy 32 at Redwood Falls. It was a few degrees cooler than predicted (thought we might see 32). We have yet to see 32 F this month. A dusting of flurries fell during the morning hours.
Sundog. I captured this photo a few days ago at sunset, a vivid "sundog" on the right - the result of white sunlight being refracted (bent) by tiny hexagonal (plate-like) ice crystals - which behave like prisms - into the colors of the rainbow. More than you ever wanted to know about "parhelia" and sundogs (which are only visible near sunrise and sunset) here and here.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
SATURDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, getting colder. Low: 9
• In 2010, only 75% of respondents were at least ‘fairly convinced’ that the world’s climate is changing, falling significantly from 87% in 2006.
• The proportion of respondents who were at least ‘fairly concerned’ about climate change has fallen from 81% in 2006 to 70% in 2010.
• In 2010, 72% of respondents said they were willing to change their behaviour to help limit climate change, down from 77% in 2006.
Running Out Of Time On Climate Change: Ban Ki-Moon. Outlook India has a story quoting the U.N.'s Secretary General: "Warning the world that time is running out fast for addressing climate change issues, the UN today said the current economic development model is akin to a "suicide pact". "We need a revolution. We need revolutionary change, revolutionary action. We need a free market revolution for global sustainability," United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told the participants in the annual WEF meeting here. The days of consumption without thought are over, Ban cautioned saying "climate change is rendering the old model obsolete. The old economic model now amounts to a global suicide pact". The Secretary-General further said ways must be devised to manage scarce resources. "We are running out of time on climate change, on clean energy," he said, adding that developing a sustainable growth agenda has become "the agenda for the 21st century". "Together we need to tear down the walls between a green agenda and a growth agenda. There is no time to waste," he said."