* Moderate risk from Lake City and La Crosse, WI east to Madison and the Wisconsin Dells.
.38" rain expected by Monday morning in the Twin Cities.
58 F. high on Saturday (60 at Crystal and St. Paul).
76 F. high expected today, before winds shift to the west/northwest and temperatures begin to cool down.
Watches/Warnings likely this afternoon - the best chance of 1-2" diameter hail and an isolated tornado coming over southeastern MN and western Wisconsin.
35 mph. winds possible Monday, on the backside of today's intense storm.
Damage Reports. It looks like Iowa was hit pretty hard Saturday night - damage reports coming in from the town of Mapleton. Tweet courtesy of TweetDeck.
Wedge Tornado. There's no confirmation (yet), but this may be the tornado that hit Mapleton, Iowa. It looks like a "wedge", not the classic funnel. This may have been a large, long-lasting, especially violent tornado, possibly EF-2 or EF-3 strength. Thanks to Adam woydziak and Twitpic for the photo.
Tuesday, April 12th - Severe Weather Watches and Warnings, and How to Receive Severe Weather Information
Wednesday, April 13th - Flash Floods
Thursday, April 14th - Tornado Safety Information
Friday, April 15th - Heat Waves
Evidence Of A "Dry Tongue"? A wedge of dry, desert air wrapping into the storm's circulation may keep rainfall amounts down over parts of southwest and central Minnesota today, the heaviest rain forecast to fall over the Red River and east of the Twin Cities (some 1.5"+ amounts are predicted near Eau Claire, Wisconsin).
Warm Sector Blues. The warmth will feel good, highs well up into the 70s today - I wouldn't be shocked to see a few 80-degree readings over far southeastern Minnesota as the warm front lifts north. The more sun (and warmth) we do see, the greater the odds of severe storms redeveloping during the afternoon hours, especially south/east of MSP. The NAM solution above is valid around lunchtime today.
Saturday Memories. Persistent clouds kept temperatures a few degrees cooler than expected, although Crystal did record a high of 60. The mercury peaked at 59 in St. Cloud, St. Paul, 58 at MSP International Airport.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
Question: The debate over climate science has involved very complex physical models and rarefied areas of scientific knowledge. What role do you think social scientists have to play, given the complexity of the actual physical science?
Answer: We have to think about the process by which something, an idea, develops scientific consensus and a second process by which is developed a social and political consensus. The first part is the domain of data and models and physical science. The second is very much a social and political process. And that brings to the fore a whole host of value-based, worldview-based, cognitive and cultural dimensions that need to be addressed."