TODAY: Some sun, humid, stray shower or T-shower (best chance south/east of MSP). Dew point: 65. Winds: NW 10. High: 82
FRIDAY NIGHT: Showers linger over southern MN - partial clearing central/northern MN. Low: 59
SATURDAY: Partly sunny - noticeable drop in humidity, A few PM showers/T-showers (best chance north/west of St. Cloud). Dew point: 58 Winds: SE 7-12. High: 78
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, a bit more comfortable. Low: 63
Dew Point/Wind/Weather Predictions For The Twin Cities:
Today: 65 (W/NW: 10-15) Few T-showers, best chance south/east of the Twin Cities. [77-83 F.]
Saturday: 58 (North: 3-8) Mix of clouds and sun. PM pop-up shower near Alexandria and Wadena. [74-79 F.]
Sunday: 54 (West: 5-10) Patchy clouds, shower far south, partly to mostly sunny central/northern MN. [75-80 F.]
4 dead in Belgium from yet another stage collapse, this time at a rock concert. Violent, straight-line T-storms winds are to blame.
Hurricane Next Week? Is this meteorological hype, or are the long-range models onto something? Normally I would dismiss a 180 hour forecast (the GFS forecast above is valid next Thursday evening at 7 pm). But we've had similar solutions for the last 2-3 days, so I'm inclined not to dismiss this out of hand. The GFS shows a strong tropical storm or possible hurricane centered near Cuba. It may just be noise in the models - I want to see a few more model runs to see if there's continuity from one model run to the next. Residents of Florida and the southeastern USA from Savannah to the Outer Banks of North Carolina should stay up on the latest forecasts - my gut is telling me that next week may be a busy week for storm-tracking. See the latest GFS model run for yourself here - courtesy of NCAR in Boulder.
Friday Severe Risk. A quieter day is on tap for much of America - SPC is predicting a few strong/severe storms from Cheyenne into western Nebraska and northwestern Kansas.
Photo Of The Day. We're getting some great content on the WeatherNation Facebook page. This photo was tweeted to us by Steven Harrell, who says his brother took it Thursday morning near Carolina City, in North Carolina. More details and video clips from live5news.com.
Texas Drought Facts:
- Only 93% of the state is in extreme or exceptional drought, compared to 94% last week.
- 94 percent of pasture and rangeland is rated as poor or very poor and nearly all of the hay supply is being brought in from other states.
- Statewide agricultural losses in 2011 could be double the record of $4.1 billion in 2006.
One Week's Worth of Rainfall. Here are Doppler radar rainfall estimates for just the last week, some 5-7" amounts from near Baltimore, Wilmington and Philadelphia to New York City. Much of south Florida has been drenched with 2-4" of rain' similar amounts from the Twin Cities into the central and northern Plains - while the west has been bone-dry. Click here to see the latest information from NOAA.
Best Chance of Rain: Southern Minnesota. A fizzling cool front will focus the heaviest showers and T-storms over south central and southeastern Minnesota over the next 48 hours, the latest NAM model predicting some .5 to 1"+ amounts from near Albert Lea to Rochester and Winona.
Today: Cool Frontal Passage. The (NAM) forecast for 1 pm today shows the leading edge of cooler, more comfortable, Canadian air pushing across the state, with the best chance of (mostly PM) showers and T-storms just south/east of the Twin Cities.
Saturday: "Dirty High". Although the main frontal boundary gets nudged into central/southern Wisconsin tomorrow, a few residual, PM pop-up showers may sprout, especially from Alexandria and Wadena to Bemidji. Even so, most of the day should be dry with dew points in the 50s. The best odds of seeing the sun: morning and midday hours.
Sunday: Anemic High Pressure. By 1 pm Sunday the NAM/WRF model shows a few showers near the Iowa border - but dry weather should prevail across most of Minnesota, skies getting sunnier the farthern north you go.
Another Deadly Stage Collapse. This time in Belgium. The BBC has the latest: "At least two people have been killed at the Pukkelpop music festival in Belgium after a sudden storm caused two stages to collapse, reports say. Television pictures from the scene, about 65km (40 miles) east of Brussels, showed fallen stage rigging and people scrambling for cover. About 60,000 people were believed to be at the event, one of Europe's largest outdoor festivals. Matt Cole reports."
Four Die As Storm Hits Belgium Fest; U.S. Band Safe. MSNBC has the very latest here:
"A storm slammed an east Belgium open-air music festival as American band Smith Westerns was on stage, killing four people and injuring more than 70 others, officials said. Video from the Pukkelpop festival near the town of Hasselt showed stage equipment dangling in high winds as rain-soaked concertgoers ran for cover. Chicago-based band Smith Westerns was on stage when the structure collapsed around them, NBC station WMAQ reported. None of the band members were injured but their equipment was destroyed. Winds toppled trees and blew over the Chateau tent, dining tent and several sponsor booths, said media outlet Nieuswblad.be. Heavy rain and hail drove the audience to seek shelter in festival tents. A collapsed metal frame blocked the main entrance, preventing many from leaving when the storm swiftly moved in and dumped up to four inches of rain, witnesses said."
Joplin Defies Odds, Just By Opening Schools. This is a major achievement, considering the level of (total) destruction triggered by the F-5 (2 mile wide) tornado that ripped across the city. The New York Times reports: "JOPLIN, Mo. — When the schools here were reduced to red-brick rubble in the deadly tornado three months ago, abruptly ending classes just before final exams, district leaders made a promise that seemed like a long shot: the new school year would start on time....The school year arrives as the city continues to regain its footing after the tornado killed 160 people, the most in the United States in more than a half-century, and destroyed thousands of homes as it tore across a third of Joplin on May 22. The cratered landscape has been tidied somewhat since then, and there are signs of rebirth like the wood frames of replacement homes, the “opening soon” declarations on rebuilt businesses and the green shoots on the storm-stripped trees, raising the hope that at least a few of them may survive. The most anticipated indication of progress, one that led residents of a nearby retirement home to line the street cheering for the arriving teenagers, has been the opening of the schools." (photo credit above: NOAA Visualization Laboratory).
Paul graciously responded to questions about this network over email.
1) Tell us a little about Weather Nation TV. What exactly is it and how can we tune in?
Paul Douglas: WeatherNation is a new, 24/7 national weather channel that has already launched on cable systems and (simultaneously) on Facebook (in the upper left click on “WNTV 24/7 Video Stream” to see the live channel on Facebook).
At a time when severe weather appears to be increasing, nationwide, we believe there’s room for a second voice when it comes to meteorology and keeping Americans updated on rapidly changing weather patterns - a channel devoted to weather, 24/7. No documentaries, specials or movies, just cutting edge graphics, a heavy emphasis on social media, and a staff of degreed meteorologists (most of whom have their Certified Broadcast Meteorologist seals). We’re very serious about the meteorology part of the equation."
Local Twin Cities National Weather Service On Facebook. Speaking of FB, our own (MPX) NWS office, based in Chanhassen, is now available - some great information here. Check it out.
Spacecraft Sees Solar Storm Engulf Earth. Here's a post from NASA (an unsual number of significant solar storms in recent weeks - I still think you may get a peek at the Northern Lights in the nights to come). "For the first time, a spacecraft far from Earth has turned and watched a solar storm engulf our planet. The movie, released today during a NASA press conference, has galvanized solar physicists, who say it could lead to important advances in space weather forecasting. “The movie sent chills down my spine,” says Craig DeForest of the Southwest Research Institute in Boulder, Colorado. "It shows a CME swelling into an enormous wall of plasma and then washing over the tiny blue speck of Earth where we live. I felt very small.”
Anderson Cooper Loses It. "This Has Actually Never Happened To Me Before." TVNewser has the details of CNN's Anderson Cooper losing his composure - this is pretty funny, and after watching the Dow and Nasdaq I could use something to laugh about right about now: "CNN’s Anderson Cooper couldn’t keep it together during his Ridiculist segment tonight. It was about French actor Gerard Depardieu who is accused of urinating on the floor of a Paris-Dublin flight. During the pun-filled segment (“yellow journalism flushed from our memories”) Cooper lost it when he read the line about how the cleaning crew “should thank their lucky stars this wasn’t De-part-two. “This has actually never happened to me,” Cooper says through giggles."
Baby Porcupine. Cue the aahhs and ooohs. Very cute. Thanks to my friend up in Herbster, Wisconsin, Pete Schenck, for passing this along.
Friday Recap. T-storms brushed far southwestern Minnesota, a few severe from near Sioux Falls, SD into western Iowa. We salvaged a nicer-than-expected day (severe storms never materialized). Highs ranged from 79 at Duluth to 83 in St. Cloud, 84 in the Twin Cities and 88 at Redwood Falls.
An "Irritable" Sky...
— Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Aug. 17, 2011
This is a pretty sweeping statement about global warming by the newly announced GOP candidate for president. Perry has long been a skeptic of the science behind global warming, having highlighted that stance in his book, “Fed Up!”
But these remarks, made in New Hampshire on Wednesday, seem to take his skepticism to a new level, with significant and specific allegations:
1. A substantial number of scientists have manipulated data so they will have dollars rolling into their projects.
2. Almost weekly or even daily, scientists are coming forward and questioning the original idea that man-made global warming is what is causing the climate to change.
How true is this?"
Rick Perry Defends His Climate Change Denial. Here's a post at scienceblogs.com: "In his book Fed Up, Rick Perry came out solidly in the climate denial camp, repeating long-discredited claims of that the underlying science is fraudulent. ThinkProgress quotes him writing:
"For example, they have seen the headlines in the past year about doctored data related to global warming. They know we have been experiencing a cooling trend, that the complexities of the global atmosphere have often eluded the most sophisticated scientists, and that draconian policies with dire economic effects based on so-called science may not stand the test of time. Quite frankly, when science gets hijacked by the political Left, we should all be concerned. … And it’s all one contrived phony mess that is falling apart under its own weight. Al Gore is a prophet all right, a false prophet of a secular carbon cult, and now even moderate Democrats aren’t buying it."Perry was, it should be noted, Al Gore's Texas committee chairman when Gore ran for President in 1988. And Perry must have missed the headlines when about a dozen separate investigations refuted claims of "doctored data" or other manipulation. The claim of a "cooling trend" is easily refuted, as are claims that climate science is too hard or that climate change policy would be too hard.
But on the stump in New Hampshire, Perry doubled down, telling reporters:
"I do believe that the issue of global warming has been politicized. I think there are a substantial number of scientists who have manipulated data so that they will have dollars rolling into their projects. I think we're seeing it almost weekly or even daily, scientists who are coming forward and questioning the original idea that man-made global warming is what is causing the climate to change. Yes, our climates change. They've been changing ever since the earth was formed."
* photo credit above: Washington Post.
China doesn't have the equivalent of an Environmental Protection Agency, at least not yet. The result: levels of pollution that Americans can't even comprehend. This is what happens when greed and profits trump sustainable growth and environmental stewardship: