27 F. average high for the Twin Cities on December 16.
40-43 F. predicted high for Sunday in the metro area.
50 F. possible Sunday over far southwestern Minnesota, about 20-25 F. warmer than average.
.2 to .8" snow possible Thursday night into Friday - a coating of snow is possible for Christmas Eve.
20s expected Christmas Eve and Christmas Day (little chance of accumulating snow).
40 F. possible New Year's Day (GFS model).
Think Twice Before Venturing Onto Area Lakes. With highs near freezing today and low 40s tomorrow already unstable ice may thin out even more. Ice on many area lakes is still not safe - be careful out there.
Mild Weekend, Then Cooling Back Down To "Average". Models are pretty unanimous: near freezing later today, topping 40 tomorrow, then chilling back down to near 20 by Christmas Eve.
Dry Into Thursday - Nuisance Snow Late Week? Models are suggesting a coating of snow late in the week - if we don't have at least 1" snow on the ground by Sunday we'll see the first brown Christmas since 2006 in the Twin Cities.
Snow Potential Next Week. The next storm will track well south/east of Minnesota, laying down a stripe of significant snow from the Texas Panhandle to Kansas City, with an inch or two possible for Chicago and the suburbs of Detroit.
RANKING OF 2011’S MOST COSTLY INSURED DISASTERS
1) Japan’s earthquake, tsunami, $36 BN insured losses
2) New Zealand earthquake, $12 BN
3) Thailand floods, up to $11 BN
4) US tornadoes, Alabama et al, $7.3 BN
5) US tornadoes, Missouri et al, $6.7 BN
6) Hurricane Irene, $4.9 BN
7) Australia floods, $2.3 BN
8) US storms, $2 BN
9) US storms, $1.5BN
10) US storms, $1.4BN
"Red Sky At Morning". Sailors take warning, right? That old proverb often works, but not this time. No significant storms are brewing, looking out the next 2 weeks. Photo courtesy of WeatherNation meteorologist Todd Nelson, who snapped this pic in St. Michael.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
CHRISTMAS EVE: Partly sunny and seasonably chilly. High: 27
CHRISTMAS DAY: Blue sky - a few degrees colder. High: 24
Brown Slams Global Warming Skeptic's "Cult-like Behavior". NBC in the San Francisco Bay Area has the story: "It's not a sequel to "Twins." But it is an unlikely-looking political duo. Arnold Schwarzenegger and Jerry Brown are headlining a climate change conference at the California Academy of Sciences in San Francisco. Brown, who spent much of his first year embroiled in California's budget fiasco, wasted no time today changing the subject. tossing a rhetorical bomb at skeptics of climate change. "The main thing we have to deal with in climate change is skepticism and denial, and the cult-like behavior of political lemmings that would take us over the cliff," Brown said, to the delight of his invited audience."
More Thuggery From Deniers And Their Enablers. More death threats for climate scientists? From The Cost of Energy at grinzo.com: "It has come to my attention that we now have yet another example of a threat to a highly respected member of the climate science community. This time, it’s Dr. Michael Mann, and the situation is a bit more convoluted than the normal, run-of-the-mill, denier-threatens-scientist story.
First, the evidence. On Judith Curry’s blog, one can find this piece of text:
Fifth, Mr. Matarese challenges me to support my calling him a goat buster.
Here is one quote:
"When I got a look into the e-mail communications which Dr. Mann mistakenly assumed would never get into the hands of the people he’d been so successfully defrauding and suppressing, I confess that it got my Sicilian up, and I began recalling remote locations in the Pine Barrens – well within driving distance of Centre County, Pennsylvania – where a little work with some shovels and a sack of quicklime could serve a genuine public benefit."