23 F. average high for January 16.
15 F. high temperature a year ago, January 16, 2011.
First subzero low of winter in the Twin Cities: Thursday morning.
March 2: last time the mercury dipped below zero at KMSP (-3 F.)
1"+ powdery snow today, up to 2" in some spots. With temperatures near 10 F. much of the day traffic may compress that light snow into black ice. Roads will be slippery.
2-5" new snow on the ground in the Twin Cities by Saturday? 3 separate systems come sailing through town this week, the best chance of a few inches Saturday. It may actually look like January out there within 96 hours.
January 24-25: significant storm forecast to track south/east of Minnesota. A plowable snowfall is possible early next week, especially south/east of MSP. Too early for any more specifics, but the pattern is definitely looking a bit more interesting for snow-lovers.
5: number of subzero nights last winter in the Twin Cities as of January 17.
17: average number of subzero nights at KMSP as of mid January.
January 18: latest (first) subzero in the Twin Cities (2002). This year we'll come very close to breaking this record.
Subzero lows expected here at MSP Thursday and Friday of this week, the only negative numbers in sight.
Temperature Trend. The Ham Weather temperature graph for Minneapolis - St. Paul shows temperature blipping well above average over the weekend, followed by another dip (into the normal range) by the end of next week. Click here to plug in your zip and get your own personalized temperature trend.
.9" Twin Cities (MSP International).
1.8" Louisville, Kentucky.
-56 F. at the North Pole weather station. More details from the NWS here.
Looking Better For "S-N-O-W". I don't want to get your hopes up - or mine for that matter, but the arrival of much colder air will create a more favorable environment for snow. The arrival of colder air sets off an inch or two today, another 1-2" Thursday night, maybe a few more inches on Saturday. By the weekend we may have 2-4" of snow on the ground. I know - I'll believe it when I see it.
Accumulating Snow? 6-8" by midday Saturday? That may be a stretch, but a series of (minor) clippers may drop a "plowable" amount of snow by the weekend - the heaviest amounts south/west of the Twin Cities. Finally - some good news for snow lovers (and anyone with a plow or snow blower).
February 1: Seasonably Cold (More Frequent Snows?) The 500mb forecast valid Feb 1 (GFS) shows a modified zonal flow with a continuation of unusually strong jet stream winds aloft, meaning frequent weather changes, a parade of clipper-like systems - probably no major storms late January and early February. Temperatures should trend close to average: highs in the 20s, even some 30s from time to time.
Extended Outlook: Closer To Average. After a close-encounter with a significant storm early next week we dry out again from January 26 - February 1, highs ranging from upper teens to near 30 at times, another arctic swipe possible by Ground Hog Day (Feb. 2).
Forecast models are still very inconsistent on the path and behavior of this storm, which will make a great difference in when the changeover occurs. It's possible several inches of snow will fall before the changeover, and amounts will vary depending on the storm's track."
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
TODAY: Light snow and flurries. 1-2" snow (more south of MSP metro). Icy roads. Wind chill: -5. Winds: NW 10-15. High near 10
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and cold. Low: 2
* A significant storm possible by Tuesday of next week, the greatest potential for accumulating snow January 24=25. The heaviest snow bands may set up south/east of MSP - too early to say with any level of confidence.
“ To be without some of the things you want is an indispensable part of happiness." - Bertrand Russell
Finding The Polluters: A Step Toward Accountability On Global Warming. From NRDC, the National Resources Defense Council: "A new EPA web tool documents global warming pollution from about 6,700 facilities across the United States, filling a critical gap in the public's right to know about pollution. Polluters have been required to report on toxic chemical emissions for years, but in 2010, for the first time, big industrial polluters were asked to provide information on emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping pollutants. Why is this important? For those of us who track this issue every day, the data is unsurprising. Power plants are far and away the biggest emitters of global warming pollution, responsible for nearly 75 percent of the pie. But making the information specific, local, and easily accessible for the public brings the issue of global warming out of the clouds, so to speak, and down to earth. Knowing who the polluters are, and where they're located, is the first step toward holding them accountable."