41 F. average high for March 15.
44 F. high temperature a year ago; March 15, 2011.
5 more record highs likely, from today through next Tuesday.
6 days above 70 in March? We've already had one (73 on Wednesday). I'm predicting 5 more days above 70. If we do experience 6 days above 70 it'll set a record for the most in March. Old record: 5 days of 70+ in 1910. Good grief.
80 Saturday & Sunday? If the mercury reaches 80 it'll be the earliest 80 in modern-day history. The previous record for earliest 80 at KMSP? March 23, 1910 (83 F.)
September 26. Today the sun will be as high in the sky as it was on September 26. It is possible to get a tan (or burn) in mid-March. If you're sprawling outside in the warm, record-breaking sun this weekend, don't forget the sunscreen.
71 F. today (1930) 78
76 F. Saturday (1894) 82
71 F. Sunday (1921) 80
72 F. Monday (1910) 72
66 F. Tuesday (1938) 69
* all these records will be broken. The only question is Tuesday. If it rains hard enough (?) daytime temperatures may stay just below 66. It'll be a close call.
"Spring shows what God can do with a drab and dirty world." - Virgil A. Kraft
9 subzero nights this past winter at Marquette, Michigan - fewest ever recorded. Details below.
4. Lowest spring river flood threat in 4 years, nationwide, according to NOAA.
80 F. at Rockford, Illinois, the earliest 80-degree day on record.
|Low Max Temp:||150|
|High Min Temp:||618|
"Paul, I have read much on tipping points, particularly studies of the ice sheet cores. While meteorologists often say that weather is not climate is not weather, couldn't a tipping point change that...that, in fact, it could be a switch? I don't mean to scare people but something is off. There is so low soil moisture in some parts of the state that planting could be rough...not good. Boy, I pray we don't have the Summer of '88 times 2!"
- Peter Tharaldson, Best Buy - via Facebook
As far as tipping points go, all I can say is if you warm up the atmosphere, even by a few degrees, you dramatically increase the potential for more extreme events (more water vapor aloft), and you greatly increase the potential for record warm events - which is exactly what we're seeing this year. Many climatologists are concerned that we are, in fact, nearing a tipping point. I don't pretend to know. All I know is that the past 2 years have probably been the most severe in U.S. history, coming at a time when temperatures continue to warm, worldwide. It may be the greatest coincidence ever, but (connecting the dots) I suspect a link of some sort.
* the maps above are from NOAA's Drought Portal at drought.gov. NOAA is predicting "improving conditions" for Minnesota in the coming weeks - I hope they're right, but right now I see no (short-term) evidence of a return to wetter than normal conditions.
"After last year’s brutal snowfalls, I put snow tires on my car for the first time in my 20 years in MN. Of course, this year I barely needed them. What are the predictions for spring 2012 snowfalls? Do you think it’s safe to take the snow tires off?"
Disc-Golfing In A Tornado? Now I've officially seen everything. Darwin must be turning over in his grave. I shouldn't have to say this out loud, but don't try this at home. The ridiculous YouTube clip is here. "How far can you throw in a head wind like this? Tornado that Hit Dexter, Michigan n we were caught dead center as it circled us."
"Dreams are answers to questions we haven't yet figured out how to ask." - X-Files
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
DC's Cherry Blossoms As Climate Change Canary. The story from Huffington Post: "Amid all the screaming signs about Global Warming's increasingly serious impact on the world around us and on human civilizations future prospects, the 'luxury' symbolic canaries in the coal mine always create mixed emotions. Global Warming's threat to skiing (and declining viable Winter Olympics locations), and to wine making and bourbon and beer and chocolate and maple syrup and ... production, etc ... Yes, these are tangible examples of how global warming impacts the world around us and impacts us. On the other hand, compared to increasing natural disasters, devastating storms and droughts threatening vulnerable populations and disruptions to global agricultural production systems, these are "luxury" items whose (in and of themselves) disruption does not represent a fundamental threat to human civilization (no matter how important the maple syrup for your pancakes or that bourbon for warming up after a day on the slopes). Yes, as we all know in our Madison Avenue dominated world, symbols matter and cherished symbols even more so."
Photo credit above: "Flooding in New York City last summer from Hurricane Irene. Scientists are predicting a possible 1-meter rise in sea level, which may impact coastal cities. Peter Morgan/AP/File."
Photo credit above: "Flooding in Baltimore's Turner's Station after Tropical Storm Isabel, 2003 (Glenn Fawcett)."