76 F. average high for June 5.
84 F. high temperature last year, on June 5, 2011.
Dry Wednesday on tap, highs topping 80 with more sun than clouds.
Slight severe risk Friday - best chance late afternoon into the early nighttime hours.
.14" rain predicted by Saturday morning in the Twin Cities (NAM model).
90+ highs still expected Saturday and Sunday.
Dew Point Predictions:
Today: 58 F. (still fairly comfortable)
Thursday: 62 F. (humid)
Friday: 66 F. (very humid)
Saturday: 71 F. (tropical)
On Track For 90+ This Weekend. The ECMWF has been consistent, and I'm still leaning more toward the European model than the U.S. GFS model (which is predicting 88 Saturday and 87 Sunday). I've discovered (the hard way) that the ECMWF tends to do a better job looking 3-7 days out. It's far from perfect, but it's helped me nail the last couple of heat spikes at MSP. We'll see how it does this time around, but it still looks like a good weekend for the lake or pool.
Photo credit above: "Leon Whaley of Carteret-Craven Electric Cooperative watches as others work to restore power after the remnants of Tropical Storm Beryl spun off a tornado that destroyed homes and damages dozens of others in the Pelletier community near Swansboro, NC on Wednesday, May 30, 2012." (AP Photo/Tom Copeland)
Winter Flashback. It seems a bit odd to be showing a snowcover map (NOAA's National Snow Analyses) on June 6, about 2 weeks before the summer solstice. Flurries were reported yesterday as far south as Elko, Nevada. As much as 10-80" of snow remains on the highest peaks of the Cascade Range and northern Rockies. Meanwhile extreme heat will push from the Intermountain Region into the Plains and Upper Midwest by the weekend.
Whitewater-Baldy Complex Fire In New Mexico. Here's the latest from NOAA's Environmental Visualization Laboratory: "The Whitewater-Baldy Complex fire is up to 259,025 acres burned. Aerial ignitions along multiple portions of the fire boundary were carried out yesterday, June 4, 2012. This image was taken by the VIIRS instrument aboard the Suomi NPP spacecraft at 2015Z on June 4, 2012. The image combines high resolution bands 3, 2 and 1 to make the colored land areas and clouds."
Photo credit: "High winds tossed a tree into a home in Finksburg on Friday." (Photo submitted to WBAL News).
Photo credit above: BRUCE LIPSKY/The Times-Union. "The Times-Union sent out more than 500 tweets during the storm from Sunday morning to Monday evening."
Photo credit above: NOAA.
Photo credit above: "Installation: Workmen John Morales and Bruno Koti install Rolladen shutters at a Isle of Bahia home." LOU TOMAN/Sun Sentinel LOU TOMAN / Sun Sentinel.
Photo credit above: techpinions.com.
Pretty Close To Perfect. In case you slept in 'til the crack of sunset, or were in a self-induced food coma yesterday, the weather was extraordinary. A cool breeze blowing off Lake Superiod kept Grand Marais residents reaching for jackets; a high of only 56 (69 at Duluth, up on the hill). Elsewhere highs ranged from 81 at St. Cloud to 83 in the Twin Cities.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota
Photo credit above: "Crew members from the Granite Mountain Hotshots of Prescott, Ariz., cut a fire line along a mountain ridge outside Mogollon, N.M., Saturday, June 2, 2012, in an effort to manage and contain the Whitewater-Baldy fire which has burned more than 354 square miles of the Gila National Forest in New Mexico. Unlike last year's megafires in New Mexico and Arizona, this blaze is burning in territory that has been frequently blackened under the watchful eye of the Gila's fire managers." (AP Photo/U.S. Forest Service, Tara Ross)
Expert: Climate Change Will Increasingly Become Global Health Issue. Here's an excerpt from a report at U.S. News and World Report: "Previously just the worry of climate scientists, environmentalists, doomsday prognosticators, and gas-price watchers, climate change is starting to worry some others— public health specialists, who say that global warming could affect large swaths of the population. In a paper published in the journal PLoS Medicine Tuesday, a group of European public health experts write that climate change could alter "patterns of physical activity and food availability, and in some cases [bring] direct physical harm." Slight temperature increases could also change disease distribution in colder regions and make hotter regions less hospitable to humans."
Photo credit above: "Demonstrators hold up signs in front of the White House in Washington, Friday, Sept. 2, 2011, to protest the Keystone XL Pipeline project in the US, and the Tar Sands Development in Alberta Canada." (AP Photo/Luis M. Alvarez)
Photo credit above: "Quito, Ecuador. Photo: wikimedia/Patricio Mena Vásconez."