64 F. average high for October 3.
83 F. high on October 3, 2011.
Winter Storm Warning in effect for the Red River Valley, for 6-10" of heavy wet snow by Friday.
First flurries of the winter season possible in the metro area by Saturday.
Frost possible Saturday, a frost/freeze is even more likely Sunday morning for even the close-in suburbs.
Indian Summer. 60s & 70s return to much of Minnesota from late next week thru October 18.
...EARLY WINTER STORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA THURSDAY. AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS...RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY MORNING FROM WEST TO EAST. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ON THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY...AND 10 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. NORTH WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN BY THURSDAY...LEADING TO AREAS OF NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY.
First Stab Of Winter. Fresh surges of bitter air often spin up strong storms; the greater the contrast in temperature the stronger the winds and potential for intensification. A vigorous storm blows up over the Red River Valley, the heaviest snow bands setting up just north/west of the storm track, dumping some 5-10"+ amounts on much of the Red River Valley. Showers and T-storms stalk Florida, while the western USA remains dry and seasonably warm. NAM model data courtesy of NOAA.
* will climate change slow marathon times? Hmm. Not this year, at least not in the Twin Cities. Mother Nature Network takes a look at this vexxing question here. More details below.
A nuclear bomb of marketing
Sure, calling that next winter storm by a proper name will get people talking, and that will help ensure a high awareness of winter storms. Then again, is that ever a problem? No, and this is more about marketing and branding than improving weather communication with the public, and TWC tips their hand in the fourth bullet above when they mention social media..."
* personally, I'm kind of looking forward to Yogi, the blizzard. Not sure why so many of my colleagues are getting their undies in a bunch. It's America, Land of the Free, Home of Creative Marketing and Endless Corporate Hype! I say let them name these storms and let's see how it goes. Life is too short to get agitated over storm names. Good grief...
* Ouch. Stay tuned for the latest on Blizzard-Name-Gate.
Consider, for example, what happens when you stop doing the following 10 things:
People make mistakes. Employees don't meet your expectations. Vendors don't deliver on time.
So you blame them for your problems.
But you're also to blame. Maybe you didn't provide enough training. Maybe you didn't build in enough of a buffer. Maybe you asked too much, too soon..."
Photo credit above: Flickr Creative Commons.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota: