54 F. average high for October 24.
62 F. high on October 24, 2011.
.10" rain fell at KMSP yesterday.
Rain mixes with wet snow by midday today.
Severe drought lingers over most of the Twin Cities, extreme drought southwestern MN.
.85" rain predicted today, mixing with wet snow possible by midday. Some slush is possible on lawns, roads stay wet. The evening rush hour should be (a little) easier than getting to work or school this morning.
Touch of Wet Snow? A cold rain will end as a little wet snow, a coating to an inch of slush (on lawns and fields) possible by midday, mainly north/west of the metro area. Roads will stay wet with temperatures staying above 32 F.
Half-Decent Halloween? Nothing to scary in the extended outlook, a couple of chilly days, a dry weekend as temperatures slowly moderate. The ECMWF is hinting at highs near 50 Tuesday and Halloween, a slight chance of a shower next Wednesday. But no heavy, steady rain. We're in a drought, come to think of it.
Major Impacts Into Friday:
Special Balloon Launch. NOAA is launching weather balloons with greater frequency in the coming days. The reason? To improve the data set that goes into the supercomputer simulations, trying to pinpoint track and intensity for Sandy. Would they do this for a major blizzard in the Midwest? I'd like to think so. More from NOAA via FB: "Therefore, it was announced today that beginning Thursday, October 25th, all NWS upper air sites in the contiguous US (Eastern, Southern, Central, and Western regions) will be performing special balloon releases every 6 hours over the next several days. During normal day-to-day operations, upper air sites release weather balloons every 12 hours. This is the first time in our office’s history that the *entire* CONUS will participate in special 6-hourly balloon releases in support of tracking a significant weather system. In August 2011, only NWS offices located east of the Rockies participated in special 6-hourly balloon releases to improve forecasts for Hurricane Irene..."
Photo credit above: "Rain brought by the outer bands of tropical storm Sandy, which is now a Category 1 hurricane, fall in the Standpipe neighborhood of Kingston, Jamaica, Tuesday." David McFadden/AP
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and chilly. Low: 31
U.S. Looks To Old Arctic Ship Logs For Climate Change Clues. Reuters has the story; here's an excerpt: "Using citizen scientists to transcribe thousands of pages of logbooks from Navy, Coast Guard and other ships from 1850 to World War Two will fill a big data gap, NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco said. Scientists in recent decades have gotten weather data from satellites and ground observations, and such tools as ice samples show ancient patterns, she said. But the archived logs could establish a baseline of historical weather data. "Naval and Coast Guard records are an invaluable window into the past which will let us know what it was like then," she told Reuters after a news conference. NOAA scientists have said that the Arctic is undergoing dramatic change as world temperatures climb. Arctic sea ice shrank to a record low of 1.32 million square miles (3.41 million square kilometers) by mid-September."