31 days at/above 90 F. in 2012.
75 F. average high on September 9.
75 F. high on September 9, 2012.
Trace of rain fell at MSP International Monday.
A long range weather forecast is more of a horoscope than a credible prediction to be taken seriously. The skill just isn't there yet.
Case in point: in the spring I predicted summer would be a bit cooler & stormier than average. Hit the buzzer Paul - you don't even get the parting gifts. I thought the cool, wet bias obvious in April might linger into much of summer, but Mother Nature had other plans.
National Weather Service cooling degree data shows we've spent 28 percent more than average cooling our homes since June 1. And severe storms? SPC data shows only 9 tornadoes this year in Minnesota, well below average.
Remind me to stick to the 7-Day, which is challenging enough. Moral of the story: take any winter outlooks with a boulder-size grain of salt. Weather is chaos, and a 6-month prediction is a joke.
We cool off into the 80s today, but by the end of the week there will be no doubt in your mind that it's September: dew points in the 40s, a risk of a light jacket at the bus stop by Friday morning? The best chance of rain? Next Sunday. But we may have to wait until October to get the moisture we need to replenish dusty topsoil.
Minnesota's drought will probably get worse before it gets better.
Hope I'm wrong about that one too.
* more details on the 800-acre Morgan Fire from NBC News.
Map credit above: "A model predicted the tsunami wave height from a Jan. 8, 1817, earthquake offshore South Carolina. The earthquake's magnitude was estimated at 7.4 from newspaper accounts." Credit: Susan Hough, USGS.
- Vertigo (Alfred Hitchcock, 1958)
- Citizen Kane (Orson Welles, 1941)
- Tokyo Story (Yasujirô Ozu, 1953).......
TODAY: Some relief. Partly sunny - Isolated storm. Dew point: 64. Winds: W 8. High: 82
TUESDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds and fog. Low: 65
WEDNESDAY: Warm sun, less humidity. Dew point: 54. High: 84
THURSDAY: Blue sky, very nice. Dew point: 47. Wake-up: 59. High: 75
FRIDAY: Jackets at the bus stop? Sunny - feels like September. Wake-up: 49. High: 69
SATURDAY: Clouds increase, drier day of the weekend. Wake-up: 50. High: 72
SUNDAY: Cold rain possible. See a movie. Wake-up: 55. High: 63
MONDAY: Damp start, clouds linger. Wake-up: 54. High: 64
* Highs may approach 80F again by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
Long term, they're probably in trouble.
Here's the New York Times' Diane Cardwell quoting Clark Gellings of the Electric Power Research Institute, a utility industry association: "We did not get in front of this disruption...It may be too late."And earlier this year, Bloomberg's Chris Martin and Noreen S. Malik quoted the CEO of Duke Energy, the largest utility owner in the country, that solar was truly disruptive. "It is obviously a potential threat to us over the long term,” said Jim Rogers, chairman and chief executive officer of Duke Energy Corp. (DUK), the largest U.S. utility owner..."