49 F. average high on November 3.
43 F. high on November 3, 2012.
November 3 in Minnesota Weather History - courtesy of the Twin Cities National Weather Service:
1982: 20 inches of snow falls in the Kabatogema area.
1901: With a high temperature of only 22 and a low of 15, 175 boxcars of potatoes were in peril at the Minneapolis rail yard. Workers scrambled to move the rail cars full of tubers in roundhouses and transfer potatoes to refrigerated cars. Individual stoves had to be purchased on the spot for 59 remaining cars. Thankfully, most of the spuds were saved.
1853: Cold snap begins at Ft. Snelling. The next four days would be 16 degrees or lower.
1727: The first outdoor celebration at the chapel of Fort Beauharnois on Lake Pepin was postponed due to "variableness of the weather."
What Did You Eat?
My niece, Anna Ball, just got back from an extended stay in Italy. She told me locals don't greet each other with "How are you?" They ask "What did you eat?" Life revolves around food. Can't remember?
"If you can't remember what you ate it must not have been very good" Anna told me.
I'm lobbying St. Paul to replace "What do you think of this weather?" OK, don't hold your breath.
What may be our first accumulating snow event of the winter season may materialize from a sloppy southern storm; a cold rain Tuesday afternoon changing to wet snow Tuesday night.
Ground temperatures are still fairly mild, so I expect some melting on contact, but a few inches could pile up on metro lawns; roads becoming slushy and slick after 7 PM. The ECMWF (European) model prints out 6+ inches for southwest counties.
And so it begins.
This is just Old Man Winter firing a warning shot across our bow. After a couple days in the 30s midweek we thaw into the 40s; I could see a few days above 50F next week. No sign of anything frigid just yet.
A puff of cooler air sparks a few rain showers today. Within 36 hours there will be no doubt in your mind that it's November.
What DID I eat? I'd rather focus on food.
Winter Storm Watch Posted. Map courtesy of Ham Weather. The Twin Cities office of the NWS has issued a Winter Storm Watch, which means a potential for "plowable" amounts of snow, coming Tuesday night. Details:
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATION: 4 TO 7 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * TIMING: RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURRING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: THE FIRST HEAVY SNOW OF THE SEASON IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTES. IN ADDITION...IT IS LIKELY TO BE A WET SNOW AND ANY TREES WITH LEAVES LEFT ON THEM MAY BE STRESSED...LEADING TO BROKEN TREE LIMBS AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.
Winter Hazard Awareness Week In Minnesota. Map above shows average annual snowfall for Minnesota, courtesy of the Twin Cities NWS. Here's an excerpt of some good (timely?) information from the local National Weather Service office: "During Winter Hazard Awareness Week the National Weather Service, in cooperation with the Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Management will issue daily statements pertaining to winter safety. These statements are available below, and will also be broadcast over NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio and sent over the NOAA Weather Wire."
In summary, we offer these basic reminders:
Winter Weather Preparations
- Keep ahead of the winter storm by listening for the latest weather statements, watches and warnings.
- Your vehicle should also be ready. Get it winterized, before the onset of winter weather.
- Be equipped for the worst. Carry a winter survival kit in your car, especially when traveling in rural or open areas. Try to travel with others.
- Yield to snowplows, and give them plenty of room to operate.
- If your vehicle becomes stranded, stay with it until help arrives.
- Do not try to walk for help during a blizzard, you could easily become lost in the whiteout conditions.
- If you will be outside during storms or extreme cold, dress in layered clothing and avoid overexertion.
- Do not kill yourself shoveling snow. Shoveling is very hard work and may induce a heart attack.
- If you will be snowmobiling, avoid alcohol. Most snowmobile deaths are alcohol related. Take a snowmobile course offered by the DNR or check with your snowmobile dealer.
- Every year, there are fatalities in Minnesota when people fall through thin ice.
Snowfall Last Winter. Nearly 68" of snow fell last winter, most of it during the latter half of winter (well into "spring"). The odds of this happening two winters in a row? Slim, but not zero. With any luck we won't be shoveling in May of 2014. Map above courtesy of the Twin Cities National Weather Service.
Obama Signs Order On Response To Weather Disasters And Climate Change. Here's a clip from an article at The Washington Post: "A year after Hurricane Sandy devastated the East Coast, President Obama signed an executive order Friday to make it easier for states and local governments to respond to weather disasters. The executive order establishes a task force of state and local officials to advise the administration on how to respond to severe storms, wildfires, droughts and other possible effects of climate change. The task force includes governors of seven states — all Democrats — and the Republican governor of Guam, a U.S. territory. Fourteen mayors and two other local leaders also will serve on the task force. All but three are Democrats..."
Photo credit above: "The Trans Tech/Motiv SST-e all-electric school bus can save a school district about 16 gallons of fuel a day, or around $11,000, over a year." Photo credit: PRNewsFoto/Motiv Power Systems.
Photo credit above: "Dave Black, Ed Bolian and Dan Huang pose in front of the car they would use to attempt to break the record. Bolian is the leader and main driver, Black acted as the co-driver and Huang was the team's spotter - keeping an eye on the car's considerable technology while looking out for obstacles."
TODAY: Mostly cloudy, few showers. Winds: SW 10-20. HIgh: near 50
MONDAY NIGHT: Partial clearing, turning cooler. Low: 33
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain developing. High: 45
TUESDAY NIGHT: Rain changes to wet snow, a few inches possible - some roads may become slushy and slick, especially west of MSP. Low: 29
WEDNESDAY: Slow AM commute? Slow clearing. High: 39
THURSDAY: Partly sunny, still chilly. Wake-up: 26. High: 36
FRIDAY: More clouds, few rain showers. Wake-up: 30. High: 43
SATURDAY: Showers taper, few flurries. Wake-up: 33. High: 41
SUNDAY: Blue sky returns, a bit milde.r Wake-up: 29. High: 46
"First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."
Photo credit above: "Retired Rear Admiral David W. Titley, who led the U.S. Navy's Task Force on Climate Change, delivers the President's Lecture Series speech at ODU on Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2013. Titley, who is director of the Center for Solutions to Weather and Climate Risk at Penn State University, gave a speech titled "The Evolving Understanding of Climate Risk: The Challenge that Won't Go Away." (Steve Earley | The Virginian-Pilot).
Photo credit above: "Morgan Schaller, James Wright, and the core sample that helped them understand what happened - and how fast it happened - 55 million years ago." Credit: James Wright, Rutgers University.
Image credit above: "Departure from average of Arctic surface temperatures during the first decade of the 21st century, as compared to the 1971-2000 average. The map illustrates that no part of the Arctic experienced cooler-than-average conditions during this period." Credit: NOAA.