33 F. average high on November 29.
40 F. high on November 29, 2012.
Minnesota Weather History on November 29. Source: Twin Cities National Weather Service:
2000: A surface low pressure system which moved over extreme southwestern Minnesota from South Dakota, continued southeast into northern Iowa during the evening hours on the 30th. The heaviest snow reported was in the 6 to 8 inch range, and fell in a narrow band just southwest of the Minnesota River in and around the Canby(Yellow Medicine County) and Madison(Lac Qui Parle County) areas. Northeast winds rising out of the Minnesota river valley up the slopes of the Buffalo Ridge in southwest Minnesota helped enhance snowfall amounts. The northeasterly winds between 10 and 20 mph were responsible for producing visibilities in the one to two mile range.
1991: A storm dumps 14 inches in the Twin Cities in about 12 hours.
1896: Quite chilly across Minnesota. 45 below zero at the Pokegama Dam.
Anyone who tries to tell you how many inches of snow will fall on your yard beyond 24-36 hours is trying to sell you something. Buyer beware. Meteorologists, as a profession, over-predict snow.
No kidding, Paul.
Why? One of our biggest fears is hearing this: "You said flurries, but what about the FOOT of flurries in my driveway?!" So we compensate.
Over 30 years I've discovered, the hard way, that it pays to be conservative with snowfall amounts; try not to go off the deep end. Because Mother Nature always finds a new and exotic way to kill off most anticipated snowstorms.
A friend summed it up best: "If I take the average snow predictions from all MSP media sources and divide by 2.5 I get a much better estimate of what will really fall."
Pound in the driveway stakes today as temperatures thaw into the upper 30s; no problems getting home Sunday. A nuisance coating is possible on Monday but the main event comes Wednesday, as a storm tracks toward Minnesota. The challenge: what flavor storm? This system may pull enough mild air north for mostly rain in the metro; plowable snow possibly confined to western and central Minnesota by midweek.
High confidence: one of the 2 or 3 coldest blasts of winter is brewing for late next week, with highs holding in single digits. Uffda!
TODAY: Partly sunny & mild-ish. Winds: West 10. High: 38-40
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 24
SUNDAY: Clouds increase, still dry. Good travel weather. Winds: SE 5. High: 35
MONDAY: Very light snow possible. Coating of flurries? Wake-up: 28. High: 33
TUESDAY: Cloudy, travel still OK. Wake-up: 29. High: 33
WEDNESDAY: Cold rain metro. Heavy snow northern and western MN? Wake-up: 30. High: 38
THURSDAY: Blustery, turning sharply colder - falling temperatures. Wake-up: 17. High: 18
FRIDAY: A fresh Siberian breeze. Wind chill: -10. Wake-up: 0. High: 9