38 F. average high for March 10.
36 F. high on March 10, 2013.
15" snow on the ground as of Monday evening.
Blizzard potential Wednesday from Chicago to Detroit.
It may just be my imagination - perhaps I need to recalibrate my meds - but when it comes to the weather something seems....off. I can't quite put my finger on it yet, but the normal ebb & flow of the atmosphere is gummed up. The jet stream is misbehaving more than usual.
Exhibit A: two years ago it was already in the mid-60s; flowers were starting to pop. It was 80F. by mid-March! We had a 7 month boating season in 2012, the warmest year in recorded Minnesota history.
This winter? Coldest since the late 70s for much of the state. It's that variability, a jumbo case of weather-whiplash, that has us scratching our heads in wonder.
It's not just temperature extremes. Ask a farmer. We now live in perpetual drought, interrupted by an intense flood every now and then.
The forecast calls for greater swings of the weather pendulum, more eye-watering extremes.
For the record, I'm as happy as the next guy to see this week's thaw - I'm almost looking forward to studying the maps. A little rain early today ends as a coating of slush; a cool half foot for Chicago tonight, a foot for parts of New England. No intense weather drama here at home, just 40 wondrous degrees again by Thursday, followed by cooler weather next week.
But no Polar Vortex.
* Northern Hemisphere temperature anomalies for Monday courtesy of Climate Reanalyzer.
* thanks to Meteorologist In Charge Dan Luna at the Twin Cities National Weather Service for passing this along.
* Latest guidance more impressive for a burst of very heavy snow Wednesday morning from Chicago to Detroit. Some 8-12" amounts are possible, and sustained winds of 30-40 mph at the height of the storm will be capable of creating blizzard or near-blizzard conditions Wednesday.
* I expect numerous airline cancellations for Chicago and Detroit area airports Wednesday; traffic gridlock is possible on area highways as temperatures drop rapidly behind the storm, falling into the teens by late afternoon with a subzero wind chill.
* Blizzard conditions may extend to Toronto and Montreal late Wednesday and Wednesday night; I still expect 10-14" snowfall amounts for much of upstate New York and interior New England by Thursday.
* New York City will avoid heavy snow with this storm; the atmosphere warm enough for mostly rain.
Summary: Mid-March blizzards are unusual, but not unprecedented for the Great Lakes, and it looks increasingly like a major storm will temporarily shut down (most) travel by land and air. Wednesday will be the tough day, with some improvement Thursday. I would prepare staff and facilities for heavy snow, blowing and drifting and rapidly falling visibilities Wednesday with near blizzard conditions a very real possibility.
Paul Douglas - Senior Meteorologist - Alerts Broadcaster
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MONDAY: Light rain, then a coating of slush. Winds: N 10. High: 36
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing and colder. Low: 14
WEDNESDAY: Cool sunshine, light winds. High: 26
THURSDAY: Breezy and milder. Soggy Shoe Alert. Wake-up: 19. High: 43
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, cooler wind. Wake-up: 32. High: 40 (falling PM hours)
SATURDAY: Fading sun, better travel day. Wake-up: 25. High: 34
SUNDAY: Couple inches of snow early? Wake-up: 22. High: near 30
MONDAY: Breezy, another fleeting thaw. Wake-up: 21. High: 38
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