.95" rain predicted for MSP by Thursday night (NAM model).
38-45 F. highs much of next week. ECMWF model.
A Healthy Dousing
The nagging, perpetual, slow-motion drought that has plagued many counties of Minnesota in recent years finally shows signs of easing. NOAA expects the drought designation to be lifted in coming weeks, and gazing at the current pattern that's not hard to believe.
We've had a few warm blips (Easter Sunday was a balm for the senses) but overall a cool bias is forecast to linger into May. This, in turn, increases temperature contrasts over the lower 48 states, whipping up stronger storms, capable of pulling moisture north from the Gulf of Mexico.
Another factor: El Nino, forecast to kick in by summer, which also tends to favor cooler and wetter weather. With any luck meteorologists won't be dragging around the D-word (drought) much longer.
NAM model guidance shows 1-2 inches of rain from today into Thursday as a slow-moving storm approaches. By the weekend you may be able to actually hear your lime-green lawn growing.
Latest ECMWF guidance shows another wave of moisture moving in with more rain, heavy at times, from Saturday night into Monday, possibly ending as a mix of rain and wet snow by Tuesday of next week. Don't pack away the jackets - it looks like a string of 40-degree highs shaping up for next week as spring loses its bounce once again
Yes, it's been a challenging 5 months to be a weather-guy.
TODAY: Windy with rain, thunder risk. Winds: SE 15-30. High: 53
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Periods of rain, heavy at times. Low: 43
THURSDAY: Heavy rain. Spotty street flooding? High: 56
FRIDAY: Some sun, drying out. Wake-up: 45. High: 62
SATURDAY: Clouds increase, showers and T-storms possible late: 41. High: near 60
SUNDAY: Cloudy and soggy with periods of rain. Wake-up: 46. High: 53
MONDAY: Chilly with a chance of a cold rain. High: 46
TUESDAY: Rain may mix with a little wet snow before tapering. Wake-up: 34. High: 41
That's the scariest thing for us. There is no exit strategy that is available for many of the problems...."
Photo credit above: "An F/A-18 from the Blue Angels flight demonstration squadron is fueled with a 50-50 blend of biofuel and jet fuel. Experimenting with biofuels is part of the military's push to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels." Kiona Miller - U.S. Navy.