December - March: coldest 4 month winter period at MSP since 1936
Turning of the Wheel
This is a test. This is only a test. Can you keep your sense of humor, a sunny sense of long-range optimism, while knee-deep in slush - on the 5th day of April?
I'm developing a severe case of weather-amnesia, but a reader reminds me we picked up nearly 18 inches of snow last April. The latest 30 year average is 2.4 inches in April, if anyone has the courage to ask.
More fun with weather statistics: NOAA reports the period from December 1 to March 31 averaged 13.8F; the 10th coldest such stretch on record and the coldest since 1936. Have a nice day!
Target Field will be miraculously devoid of slush for Monday's Twins Opener; temperatures in the 50s with a stray (rain) shower. ECMWF guidance even hints at a few glorious 60s next week.
The wheel is turning, the cycle is shifting. My (few) supernaturally serene Buddhist friends describe the yin and yang of everyt4hing including the weather. Less yin, please. Temporary pain, but no long-term weather suffering, as spring finally surges into Minnesota next week.
The extended outlook calls for more whiplash. The maps I'm staring at hint at 60s, strong thunderstorms and potential flash flooding the weekend of April 12-13.
Like turning on a light switch.
Let's start with the good news:
Photo courtesy of KARE-11 and Ronni V, via Facebook.
- 8 confirmed tornado reports yesterday, per the SPC. At least 3 in Texas, 2 in Missouri, 1 in Illinois (tough to tell on the map)
- Over 200 reports of wind/hail
- More than 37,000 without power (as of 2 AM) in Arkansas
- Nearly 3,000 without power in northern Ohio
- "Several thousand" power outages in NE Texas
- About 3,000 without power in Missouri as of late yesterday
- 7.17" of rain in St. Ann, MO (near St. Louis), 5.87" in Jefferson City, MO
-Over 5" in Evansville, IN
|2302||RICH FOUNTAIN||OSAGE||MO||3840||9188||CONFIRMED TORNADO SPOTTED BY MISSOURI TROOP F (LSX)|
|0027||PRINCETON||COLLIN||TX||3318||9650||HAMS REPORTED THAT TORNADO CROSSED HWY 380 AT NORTH 6TH STREET (FWD)|
|0107||5 NE DONIPHAN||RIPLEY||MO||3667||9076||(PAH)|
|0111||5 NE FAIRDEALING||BUTLER||MO||3671||9055||(PAH)|
|0222||3 S COOPER||DELTA||TX||3333||9568||BRIEF TORNADO BETWEEN COOPER AND COOPER LAKE (FWD)|
|0245||MOUNT VERNON||FRANKLIN||TX||3317||9522||TORNADO ON THE GROUND NORTH OF MOUNT VERNON ALONG HIGHWAY 37. (SHV)|
|0246||5 NNW MOUNT VERNON||FRANKLIN||TX||3324||9525||BARN MOVED OFF FOUNDATION AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR WHITE OAK CREEK BOTTOM (SHV)|
* The list above is from NOAA SPC, with details on each tornado touchdown yesterday. Some of the most extensive damage was in and around Denton, Texas, just north of Dallas.
-1.75" hail - Commerce, TX
-1.75" hail - Orange Grove, TX
-1.5" hail - near Pearsall, TX
-1" hail - Lewisville, AR
-1" hail - Jackson, TN
-0.88" hail - Texarkana, AR
-0.88" hail near Walnut Hill, IL
65 MPH wind gust in Olive Branch, MS
64 MPH wind gust in Cullman, AL
60 MPH wind gust in Robinsonville, MS
60 MPH wind gust in Dubach, LA
59 MPH wind gust near Metcalfe, IN
-12.5" of snow in Mouth of Brule, MN
-12.5" of snow in Oulu, WI
-12" of snow near Redridge, MI
-12" of snow in Hawthorne, WI
-11.3" snow in Hutchinson, MN
-11" snow in Winchester, WI
-10.5" of snow two miles from downtown Minneapolis
-9.8" of snow in Superior, WI
-8.8" of snow near Chanhassen, MN
-4.8" of snow near Northwood, IA
Paul Douglas - Senior Meteorologist - Alerts Broadcaster (with special thanks to WeatherNation TV meteorologist Chris Bianchi for helping me compile these severe weather reports and updates).
Graphic credit above: "A hand-drawn map by Ted Fujita showing the 1974 Super Outbreak of tornadoes in the U.S." Credit: National Weather Service, Wilmington.
TODAY: Plenty of sunshine. Slushy meltdown. Winds: S 10-15. High: 45
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear to partly cloudy, not as chilly. Low: 36
SUNDAY: Spring regains its bounce. Milder. High: 56
MONDAY: More clouds - spotty rain shower for Twins Opener? Wake-up: 38. High: 57
TUESDAY: Some sun, a bit cooler. Wake-up: 37. High: 52
WEDNESDAY: Serious jolt of spring fever. Nice! Wake-up: 32. High: 68
THURSDAY: Showers, then windy, cooler. Wake-up: 48. High: 56 (falling by afternoon).
FRIDAY: More sun, more hints of spring. Wake-up: 34. High: near 60
* More 60s are possible the weekend of April 12-13
Graphic credit above: Data from NWS, CDC and DOT. Infographic by Holly Allen.
"If you want to measure global warming on timescales of about a decade, measure the temperature of the oceans. The deeper you measure, the more accurately you'll measure the warming."As I've said before, there is no "pause" in global warming. The Earth continues to absorb enormous amounts of energy. My own research and my colleague's have shown this, so too does updated and available data from NOAA. This paper is just the umpteenth nail in the coffin of that myth. It is also a note of caution from this paper: don't confuse the "slosh" with the "fever", or you might end up with egg on your face."