80 F. high in the Twin Cities Saturday.
First 80-degree high in the Twin Cities since September 30, 2013.
72 F. average high on May 24.
68 F. high on May 24, 2013.
.40" rain predicted for KMSP between now and Tuesday morning (NAM).
80+ F. highs likely Memorial Day into Saturday.
Minnesota's temperature thermostat isn't on a dimmer switch - the heat is either ON or OFF. Like flipping on a switch - this week's weather map looks like early July with 80s, increasingly stick dew points in the 60s, and a few random, pop-up thunderstorms to break up the monotony of purple haze & humidity.
No complaints here, not after what we've just been through. I feel like a drowning victim who's just been thrown a lifeline, in the nick of time.
The dreaded probability of precipitation ranges between 20 percent today to 50 percent tonight, backing off to 40 percent Memorial Day. What's important with POP is the trend, not so much the number. It gives you a rough guideline, but still doesn't answer the question: what time will it rain at my house or cabin, and how hard?
Warm frontal thunderstorms tend to flare up at night, then diminish morning hours. Highs are determined by how long the sun stays out, but 80s are likely today and Monday, after a thundery start.
Storms capable of downpours linger into Tuesday, and then a sprawling heat-pump high expands into Minnesota. I could see upper 80s, even the first 90 by late week.
From wind chill to heat index in less than 2 weeks. Here in Minnesota we call that "spring".
* more details on NOAA's 2014 hurricane prediction from The New York Times.
Image credit above: Wiertz Sebastien/Flickr.
TODAY: Some sun, late T-storms. Winds: S 15. Dew point: 61. High: 81
SUNDAY NIGHT: Much better chance of T-storms. Low: 65
MEMORIAL DAY: Storms early/late. Winds: S 10. Hazy sun. Dew point: 65. High: 83
TUESDAY: Muggy, lingering T-storms. DP: 66. Wake-up: 66. High: 84
WEDNESDAY: Drier, but sticky. Feels like July. Wake-up: 66. High: 85
THURSDAY: Dog Days of May. Hot & humid. Wake-up: 65. High: 87
FRIDAY: Hazy, lazy sunshine, steamy. Wake-up: 67. High: 86
SATURDAY: Still sticky, T-storms up north? Wake-up: 68. High: 88
“That [people's beliefs about climate change] doesn’t matter. You don’t need people’s opinion on a fact. You might as well have a poll asking which number is bigger, 15 or 5. … The debate on climate change should not be whether or it exists, it’s what we should do about it. There is a mountain of research on this topic.”John Oliver is right: Facts don’t depend on public opinion. However, the nature of democratic politics is such that public opinion is far from irrelevant for climate policy. Public opinion, in turn, depends on knowledge and awareness of climate science..."
Image credit above: "Evolution of IPCC’s assessment of the human role in climate change, including actual percentages." (IPCC via Weather Underground).
* the paper from Wuebbles, et all is available online, courtesy of EOS and AGU.